Yen Plunges Amidst BoJ's Speculations; Fresh Selling Seen in Sterling

Action Insight Mid-Day Report 7-21-23

Yen Plunges Amidst BoJ's Speculations; Fresh Selling Seen in Sterling

Japanese Yen experienced a sharp fall today after reports emerged suggesting that BoJ is "leaning towards" maintaining its current yield curve control policy unchanged in the upcoming meeting next week. The development has come in the wake of Japanese inflation data for June, which showed a relatively unchanged yet high level. Notably, 10-year JGB yield is presently trading comfortably below 0.5%, eliminating any necessity even to adjust the yield cap. This has intensified the pressure on Yen, leading to a significant downward shift.

Meanwhile, Canadian Dollar lost ground after release of weaker-than-expected retail sales data. Sterling, which exhibited relative stability earlier today, faced fresh selling pressure in early US session. Despite these developments, Australian Dollar and New Zealand Dollar are currently underperforming even more, edging out only the beleaguered Yen. On the other end of the spectrum, Swiss Franc currently occupies the strongest position for the day, followed by Dollar and the Euro.

Technically, GBP/USD's break of 1.2847 support argues that it's already in correction to rise from 1.2306 at least. Deeper fall would be seen to 55 D EMA (now at 1.2692), or even below. Downside momentum in GBP/USD would be affected by whether EUR/GBP could power through 0.8717 support turned resistance to confirm bullish trend reversal.

In Europe, at the time of writing, FTSE is up 0.29%. DAX is down -0.33%. CAC is up 0.41%. Germany 10-year yield is down -0.0266 at 2.461. Earlier in Asia, Nikkei dropped -0.57%. Hong Kong HSI rose 0.78%. China Shanghai SSE dropped -0.06%. Singapore Strait Times rose 0.12%. Japan 10-year JGB yield rose 0.0063 to 0.466.

Full Report Here

Top Movers | HeatMap | Pivot Points | Pivot Meters | Action Bias | Vol

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 139.29; (P) 139.90; (R1) 140.67; More...

Intraday bias in USD/JPY stays on the upside at this point. Rise from 137.22 should extend to retest 145.05 high first. Firm break there will resume larger rise from 127.20 to 61.8% projection of 129.62 to 127.22 from 145.06 at 146.76 next. On the downside, below 139.74 minor support will bring retest of 137.22 instead.

Full Report Here

EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

Recommended Readings

EUR/USD Price Analysis: Update on the Market Situation

Crypto Dragged Back to the Support Line on Risk-Off

Cable Can See More Weakness After a Rally

GBP/USD: Bears Taking a Breather Above Important Supports

USD/JPY: Recovery Accelerates on Expectations of Further Widening of Fed/BOJ Policy Gap

WTI Oil Technical: Potential Bullish Reversal "Descending Wedge" in Play

GBPJPY Neutral Outlook Unchanged for Now

Gold Price Dips While Crude Oil Price Could Extend Gains

USDCAD Downward Trend Continues; A New 2023 Low On the Cards

Gold (XAUUSD) in Correction Within Bullish Trend

Cliff Notes: Labour and Inflation Pressures Persist

Fundamental Analysis | Technical Analysis
In-depth Reports
alt
July Flashlight for the FOMC Blackout Period
alt
June CPI: More Convincing Progress Underway
Economic Calendar
GMT Ccy Events Actual Forecast Previous Revised
23:01 GBP GfK Consumer Confidence Jul -30 -26 -24
23:30 JPY National CPI Y/Y Jun 3.30% 3.20% 3.20%
23:30 JPY National CPI Core Y/Y Jun 3.30% 3.30% 3.20%
23:30 JPY National CPI Core-Core Y/Y Jun 4.20% 4.20% 4.30%
06:00 GBP Retail Sales M/M Jun 0.70% 0.20% 0.30% 0.10%
06:00 GBP Public Sector Net Borrowing (GBP) Jun 17.7B 20.7B 19.2B 15.8B
12:30 CAD Retail Sales M/M May 0.20% 0.50% 1.10% 1.00%
12:30 CAD Retail Sales ex Autos M/M May 0.00% 0.20% 1.30% 1.20%
12:30 CAD New Housing Price Index M/M Jun 0.10% 0.00% 0.10%