Yen Lower Again as Risk Turned On, Loonie Shrugs Retail Sales
Action Insight Mid-Day Report 7-23-21

Yen Lower Again as Risk Turned On, Loonie Shrugs Retail Sales

Yen drops broadly today as markets turn back into risk-on mode. It has indeed become the worst performing one for the week. Dollar is also staying to look a bit vulnerable against European majors and commodity currencies. Canadian Dollar is firm and shrug off retail sales data, which shows contraction. Question is now on whether S&P 500 and NASDAQ could make new record highs before weekly close.

Technically, USD/JPY's break of 110.33 resistance now suggests that correction from 111.65 has completed at 109.05 already. But that's more due to Yen's weakness then Dollar's strength. We'd now see if EUR/JPY and GBP/JPY could extend the rebound from 128.58 and 148.43 respectively.

In Europe, at the time of writing, FTSE is up 0.77%. DAX is up 0.96%. CAC is up 0.40%. Germany 10-year yield is up 0.023 at -0.400. Earlier in Asia, Hong Kong HSI dropped -1.45%. China Shanghai SSE dropped -0.68%. Singapore Strait Times dropped -0.07%. Japan was on holiday, as Olympics starts.

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USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 110.01; (P) 110.18; (R1) 110.36; More...

USD/JPY's break of 110.33 resistance argues that correction from 111.65 has completed at 109.50 already. Intraday bias is back on the upside for retesting 111.65 high. On the downside, though, break of 110.00 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for 109.05. Break will target 38.2% retracement of 102.58 to 111.65 at 108.18.

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EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

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Economic Calendar
GMT Ccy Events Actual Forecast Previous Revised
23:00 AUD Manufacturing PMI Jul P 56.8 58.6
23:00 AUD Services PMI Jul P 44.2 56.8
23:01 GBP GfK Consumer Confidence Jul -7 -9 -9
06:00 GBP Retail Sales M/M Jun 0.50% 0.50% -1.40% -1.30%
06:00 GBP Retail Sales Y/Y Jun 9.70% 9.60% 24.60%
06:00 GBP Retail Sales ex-Fuel M/M Jun 0.30% 0.70% -2.10% -2.00%
06:00 GBP Retail Sales ex-Fuel Y/Y Jun 7.40% 7.80% 21.70%
07:15 EUR France Manufacturing PMI Jul P 58.1 58.3 59
07:15 EUR France Services PMI Jul P 57 59 57.8
07:30 EUR Germany Manufacturing PMI Jul P 65.6 64.1 65.1
07:30 EUR Germany Services PMI Jul P 62.2 59.5 57.5
08:00 EUR Eurozone Manufacturing PMI Jul P 62.6 62.5 63.4
08:00 EUR Eurozone Services PMI Jul P 60.4 59.6 58.3
08:30 GBP Manufacturing PMI Jul P 60.4 62.7 63.9
08:30 GBP Services PMI Jul P 57.8 62 62.4
12:30 CAD Retail Sales M/M May -2.10% -3.00% -5.70%
12:30 CAD Retail Sales ex Autos M/M May -2.00% -5.00% -7.20%
13:45 USD Manufacturing PMI Jul P 62 62.1
13:45 USD Services PMI Jul P 64.8 64.6