Yen Surges after Shocking US GDP Data
Action Insight Mid-Day Report 7-28-22

Yen Surges after Shocking US GDP Data

Yen rises strongly today, and buying intensifies in early US session, after surprisingly poor US GDP data. Benchmark treasury yield in both the US and Germany tumble sharply, aiding Yen's advance. Swiss Franc is also strong For now, Euro is the worst performer for today, as selling started earlier in European session already, while Sterling is playing catch-up. Dollar is mixed while commodity currencies look indifferent.

Technically, USD/JPY's break of 134.73 support argues that it's already in correction to medium term up trend. Deeper fall could be seen to 126.35/131.34 support zone. Gold is also pressing 1745.21 minor resistance. Sustained break there will add to the case of bullish trend reversal, after hitting 1682.60 long term cluster support. That, if happens, would be verification of Dollar weakness.

In Europe, at the time of writing, FTSE is down -0.09%. DAX is up 0.18%. CAC is up 0.42%. Germany 10-year yield is down -0.072 at 0.874, below 0.9% handle. Earlier in Asia, Nikkei rose 0.36%. Hong Kong HSI dropped -0.23%. China Shanghai SSE rose 0.21%. Singapore Strait Times rose 0.48%. Japan 10-year JGB yield rose 0.0134 at 0.209.

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Top Movers | HeatMap | Pivot Points | Pivot Meters | Action Bias | Vol

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 136.15; (P) 136.80; (R1) 137.28; More...

USD/JPY's break of 134.73 support now suggests that 139.37 is a medium term top, on bearish divergence condition in daily MACD. Fall from there is seen as a correction to medium term up trend. Intraday bias is on the downside for 55 day EMA (now at 133.84) first. Sustained break there will target 126.35/131.34 support zone. On the upside, break of 137.44 resistance is needed to indicate completion of the decline. Otherwise, risk will stay on the downside in case of recovery.

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EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

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Economic Calendar
GMT Ccy Events Actual Forecast Previous Revised
01:00 NZD ANZ Business Confidence Jul -56.7 -62.6
01:30 AUD Import Price Index Q/Q Q2 4.30% 1.90% 5.10%
01:30 AUD Retail Sales M/M Jun 0.20% 0.40% 0.90%
09:00 EUR Eurozone Economic Sentiment Indicator Jul 99 102 104 103.5
09:00 EUR Eurozone Industrial Confidence Jul 3.5 6.9 7.4 7
09:00 EUR Eurozone Services Sentiment Jul 10.7 14.5 14.8 14.1
09:00 EUR Eurozone Consumer Confidence Jul F -27 -27 -27
12:00 EUR Germany CPI M/M Jul P 0.90% 0.60% 0.10%
12:00 EUR Germany CPI Y/Y Jul P 7.50% 7.40% 7.60%
12:30 USD Initial Jobless Claims (Jul 22) 256K 248K 251K 261K
12:30 USD GDP Annualized Q2 P -0.90% 0.40% -1.60%
12:30 USD GDP Price Index Q2 P 8.70% 7.20% 8.30% 8.20%
14:30 USD Natural Gas Storage 19B 32B