Swiss Franc Down Slight after CPI, Aussie Awaits RBA

Action Insight Daily Report 7-3-23

Swiss Franc Down Slight after CPI, Aussie Awaits RBA

Dollar falls broadly after ISM Manufacturing index indciates further deterioration in the sector. But loss is so far limited. Overall markets remain quiet. Swiss Franc and Yen persist are the softer performers. The Franc felt slight impact of Swiss CPI readings, which were lower than anticipated. However, market reaction remains mild, considering SNB's prior forecast of slowing inflation in the current year. The central bank's concern primarily lies in the potential for a resurgence in inflation thereafter. Meanwhile, Euro, Sterling, and Canadian Dollar remain steady, bounded within the range defined by Friday's trading.

On the other side of the spectrum, Australian and New Zealand Dollars are showing minor strength. Volatility around Aussie is set to surge in the forthcoming Asian session as the market braces for RBA rate decision. It's a split verdict among market observers, who are equally divided on the likelihood of a rate hike or a pause by the central bank. With two market surprises already in its repertoire for this year, the RBA may not shy away from a third.

Technically, NZD/JPY is trying to resume recent rally by breaking through 88.96 resistance. But there's a big question on whether it could power through 100% projection of 81.53 to 87.28 from 83.50 at 89.25. Rejection by this projection level, followed by break of 87.58 support, should confirm short term topping, and even reversal. But decisive break there will pave the way to 138.2% projection at 91.44. The next move could hinge on reaction to RBA.

In Europe, at the time of writing, FTSE is down -0.04%. DAX is down -0.24%. CAC is down -0.07%. Germany 10-year yield is up 0.017 at 2.411. Earlier in Asia, Nikkei rose 1.70%. Hong Kong HSI rose 2.06%. China Shanghai SSE rose 1.31%. Singapore Strait Times is up 0.04%. Japan 10-year JGB yield is up 0.0068 at 0.406.

Full Report Here

Top Movers | HeatMap | Pivot Points | Pivot Meters | Action Bias | Vol

AUD/USD Daily Report

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.6618; (P) 0.6645; (R1) 0.6687; More...

Intraday bias in AUD/USD remains neutral and further fall is in favor with 0.6719 resistance intact. On the downside, break of 0.6594 will resume the decline to 0.6457 support next. Nevertheless, firm break of 0.6719 will turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound.

Full Report Here

EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

Recommended Readings

Kiwi Waking Up, Pointing Towards 0.6250

Gold Attempts to Re-enter Range after Bearish Breakout

AUD/USD Pares Losses ahead of RBA Rate Decision

USD/CHF: Swiss Franc Falls on Lower than Expected June Inflation in Switzerland

The Great Divergence Between the Real Economy and Global Equities

USD/JPY: Bulls Hold Grip for Renewed Probe Through 145 Barrier

EURUSD Pulls Back But 50-day SMA Curbs Decline

EURGBP Sell Setup From Blue Box Works As Expected

EURCHF Stuck at Lower Part of Prevailing Rectangle

Fundamental Analysis | Technical Analysis
In-depth Reports
alt
As Yen Collapses, How Likely is FX Intervention?
alt
China's Sluggish—Short & Long-Term—Growth Outlook
Economic Calendar
GMT Ccy Events Actual Forecast Previous Revised
22:45 NZD Building Permits M/M May -2.20% -2.60%
23:50 JPY Tankan Large Manufacturing Index Q2 5 3 1
23:50 JPY Tankan Non - Manufacturing Index Q2 23 22 20
23:50 JPY Tankan Large Manufacturing Outlook Q2 9 5 3
23:50 JPY Tankan Non - Manufacturing Outlook Q2 20 21 15
23:50 JPY Tankan Large All Industry Capex Q2 13.40% 3.20%
00:30 JPY Manufacturing PMI Jun F 49.8 49.8 49.8
01:00 AUD TD Securities Inflation M/M Jun 0.10% 0.90%
01:30 AUD Building Permits M/M May 20.60% 4.90% -8.10% -6.80%
01:45 CNY Caixin Manufacturing PMI Jun 50.5 50.2 50.9
06:30 CHF CPI M/M Jun 0.10% 0.20% 0.30%
06:30 CHF CPI Y/Y Jun 1.70% 1.80% 2.20%
07:30 CHF Manufacturing PMI Jun 44.9 42.8 43.2
07:45 EUR Italy Manufacturing PMI Jun 43.8 45.4 45.9
07:50 EUR France Manufacturing PMI Jun F 46 45.5 45.5
07:55 EUR Germany Manufacturing PMI Jun F 40.6 41 41
08:00 EUR Eurozone Manufacturing PMI Jun F 43.4 43.6 43.6
08:30 GBP Manufacturing PMI Jun F 46.5 46.2 46.2
13:45 USD Manufacturing PMI Jun F 46.3 46.3 46.3
14:00 USD ISM Manufacturing PMI Jun 46 47.2 46.9
14:00 USD ISM Manufacturing Prices Paid Jun 41.8 44.2
14:00 USD ISM Manufacturing Employment Index Jun 48.1 51.4
14:00 USD Construction Spending M/M May 0.90% 0.50% 1.20% 0.40%