Euro Shrugs Strong Investor Confidence, Markets in Subdued Holiday Trading
Action Insight Daily Report 7-5-21

Euro Shrugs Strong Investor Confidence, Markets in Subdued Holiday Trading

Overall, the forex markets are relatively mixed today and trading will probably continue to be subdued with US on holiday. Sterling is currently the stronger one, followed by Yen and Aussie. Canadian is the weakest, followed by Kiwi and then Swiss. Eurozone is mixed despite strong investor sentiment data. But all major pairs and crosses are staying inside Friday's range. Some volatility could finally be seen again, especially in Aussie, with RBA rate decision scheduled in the upcoming Asian session.

Technically, it looks like AUD/CAD has defended 0.9247 key support again. Further rebound tomorrow, subject to RBA's decision and statement, could pop the cross back towards 0.9394 resistance. Firm break there will complete a double bottoming pattern (0.9258, 0.9245), and turn near term outlook bullish. We'll see if that would happen.

In Europe, at the time of writing, FTSE is up 0.52%. DAX is up 0.05%. CAC is up 0.35%. Germany 10-year yield is up 0.0232 at -0.211. Earlier in Asia, Nikkei dropped -0.64%. Hong Kong HSI dropped -0.59%. China Shanghai SSE rose 0.44%. Singapore Strait Times rose 0.39%. Japan 10-year JGB yield dropped -0.0104 to 0.036.

Full Report Here

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EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1823; (P) 1.1849; (R1) 1.1890; More...

Outlook in EUR/USD remains unchanged and intraday bias stays neutral first. Further fall is expected as long as 1.1974 resistance holds. Break of 1.1806 will resume the decline from 1.2265, as the third leg of the consolidation pattern from 1.2348, to 1.1703 support. On the upside, break of 1.1973 resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 1.2265 resistance.

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EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

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Economic Calendar
GMT Ccy Events Actual Forecast Previous Revised
22:30 AUD AiG Performance of Construction Index Jun 55.5 58.3
1:30 AUD Retail Sales M/M May 0.40% 0.10% 0.10%
1:30 AUD Building Permits M/M May -7.10% -5.00% -8.60% -5.70%
1:45 CNY Caixin Services PMI Jun 50.3 55.7 55.1
7:45 EUR Italy Services PMI Jun 56.7 56 53.1
7:50 EUR France Services PMI Jun F 57.8 57.4 57.4
7:55 EUR Germany Services PMI Jun F 57.5 58.1 58.1
8:00 EUR Eurozone Services PMI Jun F 58.3 58 58
8:30 EUR Eurozone Sentix Investor Confidence Jul 29.8 30.2 28.1
8:30 GBP Services PMI Jun F 62.4 61.7 61.7
14:30 CAD BoC Business Outlook Survey