Dollar Softens as Risk Sentiments Stabilize, FOMC Minutes Next
Action Insight Mid-Day Report 7-7-21

Dollar Softens as Risk Sentiments Stabilize, FOMC Minutes Next

The forex markets are generally range bound as traders await FOMC minutes. The main focus will be on discussions on the timing of tapering, which wasn't clearly indicated in the statement and economic projections. Dollar's rise appears to be losing steam as global sentiments stabilized today. DOW futures point to a recovery while S&P 500 and NASDAQ might be ready to resume record runs. Commodity currencies are currently the stronger for today while Yen is the weakest.

Technically, we'd reiterate again that Dollar was held below near term levels against most major currencies, despite yesterday's rally attempt. The levels include 1.1806 support in EUR/USD, 1.3730 support in GBP/USD, 0.7443 support in AUD/USD, 0.9275 resistance in USD/CHF. Return of risk appetite today could push the greenback further away from these levels. Meanwhile, extended weakness in yields could give Yen some support. Happening together, such developments could send USD/JPY through 110.41 short term support decisively.

In Europe, at the time of writing, FTSE is up 0.40%. DAX is up 0.95%. CAC is up 0.03%. Germany 10-year yield is down -0.027 at -0.293. Earlier in Asia, Nikkei dropped -0.96%. Hong Kong HSI dropped -0.40%. China Shanghai SSE rose 0.66%. Singapore Strait Times dropped -1.54%. Japan 10-year JGB yield dropped -0.0097 to 0.037.

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USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 110.43; (P) 110.71; (R1) 110.89; More...

No change in USD/JPY's outlook and intraday bias remains neutral first. On the downside, firm break 110.41 support will indicate short term topping. Intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for 55 day EMA (now at 109.77). On the upside, sustained break of 111.71 will carry larger implication. Next target is 61.8% projection of 102.58 to 110.95 from 107.47 at 112.64.

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EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

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Economic Calendar
GMT Ccy Events Actual Forecast Previous Revised
22:30 AUD AiG Performance of Services Index Jun 57.8 61.2
5:00 JPY Leading Economic Index May P 102.6 103.5 103.8
6:00 EUR Germany Industrial Production M/M May -0.30% 0.50% -1.00% -0.30%
6:45 EUR France Trade Balance (EUR) May -6.8B -6.0B -6.2B
7:00 CHF Foreign Currency Reserves (CHF) Jun 941B 902B
8:00 EUR Italy Retail Sales M/M May 0.20% 2.30% -0.40% -0.10%
9:00 EUR EU Economic Forecasts
14:00 CAD Ivey PMI Jun 65 64.7
18:00 USD FOMC Minutes