Euro Selloff Continues as German 10-Year Yield Hits Another Record Low Below -0.7%
Action Insight Mid-Day Report 8-16-19

Euro Selloff Continues as German 10-Year Yield Hits Another Record Low Below -0.7%

Selloff in Euro picks up momentum again today as Germany yields dive on ECB easing expectations. Swiss Franc is also pressured as SNB could sometime be forced to intervene. Yen is the third weakest, following rebound in stocks rather than falling yields. On the other hand, Sterling recovers broadly, with help from decline in EUR/GBP. Australian Dollar is second strongest, then Canadian.

Technically, USD/CHF's break of 09797 minor resistance suggests short term bottoming at 0.9659. Further rebound would be seen to 0.9975 resistance. EUR/USD is on track to retest 1.1026 low. USD/CAD appears to have lost momentum ahead of 1.3345 temporary top and more consolidations are likely. While Sterling rebounds, GBP/USD's kept below 1.2209 resistance, GBP/JPY kept below 130.06 resistance. Both pairs remains bearish for the near term.

In Europe, currently, FTSE is up 0.39%. DAX is up 0.74%. CAC is up 0.79%. German 10-year yield is up 0.022 at -0.690. Earlier in Asia, Nikkei rose 006%. Hong Kong HSI is up 0.94%. China Shanghai SSE rose 0.29%. Japan 10-year JGB yield rose 0.0017 to -0.236.

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EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1081; (P) 1.1120; (R1) 1.1147; More...

EUR/USD's fall from 1.1249 is still in progress. Intraday bias remains on the downside for 1.1206 low. Decisive break there will extend the downtrend from 1.2555. On the downside, above 1.1130 minor resistance will turn intraday bias back to the upside to extend the corrective. But in that case, we'd expect strong resistance from 1.1282 to limit upside.

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EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

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Economic Calendar
GMT Ccy Events Actual Forecast Previous Revised
22:30 NZD BusinessNZ Manufacturing PMI Jul 48.2 51.3 51.1
09:00 EUR Eurozone Trade Balance (EUR) Jun 17.9B 18.7B 20.2B
12:30 CAD International Securities Transactions (CAD) Jun -3.98B 6.55B 10.20B 10.28B
12:30 USD Housing Starts Jul 1.19M 1.26M 1.25M 1.24M
12:30 USD Building Permits Jul 1.34M 1.27M 1.23M
14:00 USD U. of Mich. Sentiment Aug P 97.2 98.4
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