Dollar Dips as PCE Inflation Slowed, But Loss Limited So Far

Action Insight Mid-Day Report 8-26-22

Dollar Dips as PCE Inflation Slowed, But Loss Limited So Far

Dollar dips in early US session following lower than expected PCE and core inflation data. But loss is so far limited as traders are holding their bets ahead of Fed Chair Jerome Powell's speech. Euro, Aussie and Swiss Franc are so far the stronger ones for the day, while Yen and Kiwi are the weaker ones. Trading in the stock markets is subdued with major European indexes, and US futures flat.

Technically, to confirm selloff in Dollar, some levels need to be violated decisively, at least. The levels include 1.0121 resistance in EUR/USD, 1.2002 resistance in GBP/USD, 0.9951 support in USD/CHF and 1.2826 support in USD/CAD. Otherwise, any dip in Dollar as reactions to Powell would be considered temporary first.

In Europe, at the time of writing, FTSE is up 0.18%. DAX is down -0.04%. CAC is down -0.09%. Germany 10-year yield is up 0.0382 at 1.357. Earlier in Asia, Nikkei rose 0.57%. Hong Kong HSI rose 1.01%. China Shanghai SSE dropped -0.31% Singapore Strait Times rose 0.05%. Japan 10-year JGB yield dropped -0.0094 to 0.221.

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Top Movers | HeatMap | Pivot Points | Pivot Meters | Action Bias | Vol

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9939; (P) 0.9986; (R1) 1.0024; More...

EUR/USD recovers mildly today but outlook is unchanged. Intraday bias remains neutral first. Consolidation from 0.9899 could extend, but upside of recovery should be limited by 1.0121 minor resistance to bring another fall. Break of 0.9899 will resume larger down trend to 61.8% projection of 1.0773 to 0.9951 from 1.0368 at 0.9860. Firm break there should prompt downside acceleration to 100% projection at 0.9546. However, firm break of 1.0121 will dampen this view and turn focus to 1.0368 resistance instead.

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EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

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Economic Calendar
GMT Ccy Events Actual Forecast Previous Revised
23:30 JPY Tokyo CPI Core Y/Y Aug 2.60% 2.50% 2.30%
06:00 EUR Germany Gfk Consumer Confidence Sep -36.5 -31.5 -30.6 -30.9
08:00 EUR Eurozone M3 Money Supply Y/Y Jul 5.50% 5.60% 5.70%
12:30 USD Personal Income M/M Jul 0.20% 0.60% 0.60% 0.70%
12:30 USD Personal Spending M/M Jul 0.10% 0.40% 1.10% 1.00%
12:30 USD PCE Price Index M/M Jul -0.10% 1.00%
12:30 USD PCE Price Index Y/Y Jul 6.30% 6.80%
12:30 USD Core PCE Price Index M/M Jul 0.10% 0.30% 0.60%
12:30 USD Core PCE Price Index Y/Y Jul 4.60% 4.70% 4.80%
12:30 USD Goods Trade Balance (USD) Jul P -89.1B -99.0B -98.6B
12:30 USD Wholesale Inventories Jul P 0.80% 1.50% 1.80%
14:00 USD Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index Aug F 55.2 55.1