Euro Up Against Europeans after CPI, Dollar Sluggish after ADP Miss

Action Insight Mid-Day Report 8-31-22

Euro Up Against Europeans after CPI, Dollar Sluggish after ADP Miss

Euro is extending near term rally against Swiss Franc and Sterling after even higher than expected record inflation. But it's struggling to gain against most other currencies. Dollar is also sluggish after ADP employment disappointment, while Yen's is recovering. Commodity currencies are mixed for now. It seems like traders would continue to hold their bets until US non-farm payroll employment data.

Technically, Gold's decline continues after brief recovery and it's on track to retest 1680.83 support holds. The question remains on whether this long term cluster support level would hold. Or, this level would be taken out decisively to complete confirm a long term trend reversal. In the latter case, it could be used as a confirmation for Dollar's up trend resumption, in particular against Euro.

In Europe, at the time of writing, FTSE is down -0.86%. DAX is up 0.02%. CAC is down -0.24%. Germany 10-year yield is up 0.049 at 1.557. Earlier in Asia, Nikkei dropped -0.37%. Hong Kong HSI rose 0.03%. China Shanghai SSE dropped -0.78%. Singapore Strait Times dropped -0.55%. Japan 10-year JGB yield rose 0.0027 to 0.230.

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Top Movers | HeatMap | Pivot Points | Pivot Meters | Action Bias | Vol

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9980; (P) 1.0018; (R1) 1.0053; More...

Intraday bias in EUR/USD stays neutral as range trading continues, and further decline is expected with 1.0094 resistance intact. On the downside, break of 0.9899 will resume larger down trend to 61.8% projection of 1.0773 to 0.9951 from 1.0368 at 0.9860. Firm break there should prompt downside acceleration to 100% projection at 0.9546. However, firm break of 1.0094 minor resistance will dampen this bearish view, and turn bias back to the upside for 1.0368 resistance instead.

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EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

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Economic Calendar
GMT Ccy Events Actual Forecast Previous Revised
22:45 NZD Building Permits M/M Jul 5.00% -2.30% -2.20%
23:01 GBP BRC Shop Price Index Y/Y Jul 5.10% 4.40%
23:50 JPY Industrial Production M/M Jul P 1.00% -0.50% 9.20% 9.20%
23:50 JPY Retail Trade Y/Y Jul 2.40% 1.90% 1.50%
01:00 NZD ANZ Business Confidence Aug -47.8 -56.7
01:30 CNY NBS Manufacturing PMI Aug 49.4 49.2 49
01:30 CNY Non-Manufacturing PMI Aug 52.6 52.2 53.8
01:30 AUD Private Sector Credit M/M Jul 0.70% 0.70% 0.90%
01:30 AUD Construction Work Done Q2 -3.80% 0.80% -0.90% -0.30%
05:00 JPY Housing Starts Y/Y Jul -5.40% -3.40% -2.20%
05:00 JPY Consumer Confidence Index Aug 32.5 29.4 30.2
06:00 EUR Germany Import Price Index M/M Jul 1.40% 1.60% 1.00%
06:45 EUR France Consumer Spending M/M Jul -0.80% -0.30% 0.10%
06:45 EUR France GDP Q/Q Q2 0.50% 0.50% 0.50%
07:55 EUR Germany Unemployment Change Aug 28K 27K 48K
07:55 EUR Germany Unemployment Rate Aug 5.50% 5.50% 5.40%
08:00 CHF Credit Suisse Economic Expectations Aug -56.3 -57.2
09:00 EUR Eurozone CPI Y/Y Aug P 9.10% 9.00% 8.90%
09:00 EUR Eurozone CPI Core Y/Y Aug P 4.30% 4.00% 4.00%
12:15 USD ADP Employment Change Aug 132K 300K 128K
12:30 CAD GDP M/M Jun 0.10% 0.10% 0.00%
13:45 USD Chicago PMI Aug 53.2 52.1
14:30 USD Crude Oil Inventories -0.4M -3.3M