Sterling Rebounds on Hawkish BoE Surprise, Risk Sentiments Improved
Action Insight Mid-Day Report 9-22-21

Sterling Rebounds on Hawkish BoE Surprise, Risk Sentiments Improved

Sterling rebounds strongly after two BoE MPC member voted for tapering. Also, recent developments strengthened the case of modest tightening. Commodity currencies are also firmer following mild rebound in the stock markets. On the other hand, Yen, Swiss Franc and Dollar turned softer on improvement overall risk sentiment. But for now, the Pound is still the worst performing for the week while Swiss Franc is the strongest.

Technically, GBP/USD's break of 1.3691 minor resistance suggests that fall from 1.3912 has completed, and stronger rise could be seen to retest this resistance. Similarly, GBP/JPY's break of 150.80 minor resistance suggests that stronger rise would be seen to 152.82 resistance. Focus will be on whether EUR/GBP would break through 0.8499 to target a test on 0.8448 low. Overall, there is prospect of a turnaround in Sterling.

In Europe, at the time of writing, FTSE is down -0.09%. DAX is up 0.70%. CAC is up 0.74%. Germany 10-year yield is up 0.0432 at -0.279. Earlier in Asia, Japan was on holiday. Hong Kong HSI rose 1.19%. China Shanghai SSE rose 0.38%. Singapore Strait Times rose 0.93%.

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GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3588; (P) 1.3639; (R1) 1.3668; More...

GBP/USD's break of 1.3691 minor resistance argues that fall form 1.3912 might have completed at 1.3608, after defending 1.3570/3601 support zone. Intraday bias is back on the upside for 1.3912 resistance. On the downside, however, break of 1.3570 will target 1.3482 key support level. Sustained break there will carry larger bearish implication and target 1.3163 fibonacci level.

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EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

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Economic Calendar
GMT Ccy Events Actual Forecast Previous Revised
23:00 AUD Manufacturing PMI Sep P 57.3 52
23:00 AUD Services PMI Sep P 44.3 42.9
07:15 EUR France Manufacturing PMI Sep P 55.2 57.3 57.5
07:15 EUR France Services PMI Sep P 56 56.1 56.3
07:30 CHF SNB Interest Rate Decision -0.75% -0.75%
07:30 EUR Germany Manufacturing PMI Sep P 58.5 61.3 62.6
07:30 EUR Germany Services PMI Sep P 56 60.3 60.8
08:00 EUR Eurozone Manufacturing PMI Sep P 58.7 60.4 61.4
08:00 EUR Eurozone Services PMI Sep P 56.3 58.4 59
08:00 EUR ECB Economic Bulletin
08:30 GBP Manufacturing PMI Sep P 56.3 59 60.3
08:30 GBP Services PMI Sep P 54.6 55 55
11:00 GBP BoE Interest Rate Decision 0.10% 0.10% 0.10%
11:00 GBP BoE Asset Purchase Facility 875B 875B 875B
11:00 GBP MPC Official Bank Rate Votes 0--0--9 0--0--9 0--0--8
11:00 GBP MPC Asset Purchase Facility Votes 0--2--7 0--1--8 0--1--7
12:30 CAD Retail Sales M/M Jul -0.60% -1.20% 4.20%
12:30 CAD Retail Sales ex Autos M/M Jul -1.00% -1.50% 4.70% 4.80%
12:30 USD Initial Jobless Claims (Sep 17) 351K 317K 332K 335K
13:45 USD Manufacturing PMI Sep P 61.1 61.1
13:45 USD Services PMI Sep P 55.1 55.1
14:30 USD Natural Gas Storage 76B 83B