Dollar Spikes Down after Huge NFP Miss, Gold Upside Breakout
Action Insight Mid-Day Report 9-3-21

Dollar Spikes Down after Huge NFP Miss, Gold Upside Breakout

Dollar spikes lower in early US session after huge NFP miss. But the selloff is only firm against commodity currencies at the time of writing. In particular, the greenback is trying to recovery against European majors, as well as Sterling. Traders might need a bit more time to make up their mind. While a September announcement on Fed tapering is now looking much less likely, it could still come in November.

Technically, EUR/USD is struggling to break through 1.1907 resistance with power for now. We'd continue to pay attention to this level. Sustained break would turn near term outlook bullish for 1.2265/2345 resistance zone. At the same time, Gold breaks out to the upside, but there is no follow through buying through 1832.47 resistance yet. Sustained break of this resistance should bring even stronger rise to 1916.30 resistance next.

In Europe, at the time of writing, FTSE is up 0.14%. DAX is down -0.01%. CAC is down -0.62%. Germany 10-year yield is up 0.014 at -0.368. Earlier in Asia, Nikkei rose 2.05%. Hong Kong HSI dropped -0.72%. China Shanghai SSE dropped -0.43%. Singapore Strait Times dropped -0.16%. Earlier in Asia, Japan 10-year JGB yield rose 0.0073 to 0.042.

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EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1849; (P) 1.1862; (R1) 1.1890; More...

EUR/USD rises to as high as 1.1908 so far today. Intraday bias remains on the upside with focus on 1.1907 resistance. Decisive break there will indicate that fall from 1.2265, as well as the consolidation pattern from 1.2348, have completed. Near term outlook will be turned bullish for 1.2265/2348 resistance. On the downside, break of 1.1792 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for 1.1602/63 support zone instead.

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EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

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Economic Calendar
GMT Ccy Events Actual Forecast Previous Revised
22:30 AUD AiG Performance of Construction Index Aug 38.4 48.7
01:45 CNY Caixin Services PMI Aug 46.7 52.6 54.9
07:45 EUR Italy Services PMI Aug 58.3 58
07:50 EUR France Services PMI Aug F 56.4 56.4
07:55 EUR Germany Services PMI Aug F 61.5 61.5
08:00 EUR Eurozone Services PMI Aug F 59.7 59.7
08:30 GBP Services PMI Aug F 55.5 55.5
09:00 EUR Eurozone Retail Sales M/M Jul 1.20% 1.50%
12:30 CAD Labor Productivity Q/Q Q2 -1.30% -1.70%
12:30 USD Nonfarm Payrolls Aug 750K 943K
12:30 USD Unemployment Rate Aug 5.20% 5.40%
12:30 USD Average Hourly Earnings M/M Aug 0.40% 0.40%
13:45 USD Services PMI Aug F 55.2 55.2
14:00 USD ISM Services PMI Aug 61.3 64.1