Dollar Paring Some Losses, Aussie Retreats Ahead of RBA
Action Insight Mid-Day Report 9-6-21

Dollar Paring Some Losses, Aussie Retreats Ahead of RBA

Trading in the currency market is rather subdued today and markets will stay quiet with US and Canada on holiday. Dollar is paring some of last week's large losses but upside momentum is weak. On the other hand, Australia Dollar is turning slightly weaker as tomorrow's RBA policy decision is awaited. The reaction in Aussie could be wild as it's unknown whether RBA would maintain the tapering plan, or delay it, or reverse and increase in.

Technically, we'd pay attention to AUD/USD in the upcoming Asian session. As long as 0.7394 minor support holds, we'd expect rise form 0.7105 to extend to 0.7530 support turned resistance. Sustained break there would open the bullish case for retesting 0.8006 high. However, break of 0.7394 minor support will mix up the near term outlook and bring pull back first.

In Europe, at the time of writing, FTSE is up 0.66%. DAX is up 0.75%. CAC is up 0.82%. Germany 10-year yield is up 0.0027 at -0.354. Earlier in Asia, Nikkei rose 1.83%. Hong Kong HSI rose 1.01%. China Shanghai SSE rose 1.12%. Singapore Strait Times rose 0.56%.

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EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1860; (P) 1.1884; (R1) 1.1903; More...

Intraday bias in EUR/USD is turned neutral as it retreated after failing to sustain above 1.1907 resistance. Further rise will remain mildly in favor as long as 1.1792 support holds. Sustained break of 1.1907 will indicate that fall from 1.2265, as well as the consolidation pattern from 1.2348, have completed. Near term outlook will be turned bullish for 1.2265/2348 resistance zone. However, on the downside, rejection by 1.1907 followed by break of 1.1792 support will dampen the bullish case, and turn bias back to the downside for 1.1663 support instead.

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EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

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GMT Ccy Events Actual Forecast Previous Revised
1:00 AUD TD Securities Inflation M/M Aug 0.00% 0.40%
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6:00 EUR Germany Factory Orders M/M Jul 3.40% -1.00% 4.10% 4.60%
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