Canadian Dollar Rises on Robust Job Data; Dollar and Yen Lose Ground

Action Insight Mid-Day Report 9-8-23

Canadian Dollar Rises on Robust Job Data; Dollar and Yen Lose Ground

Canadian Dollar is having a notable uplift in early US session, propelled by stronger than expected employment data that underscores a persistently robust and tight labor market scenario in the country. The revelations from the data could potentially pose hurdles in the path of Canada's disinflation journey, a process which, according to BoC governor Tiff Macklem, has already slowed. Despite BoC's decision to maintain rates unchanged earlier this week, the potential for future hikes remains, especially if the tight labor market persists and threatens the disinflation progress.

While Canadian Dollar displayed strength, US Dollar seemed to be retracting some of its recent gains, landing it among the day's underperformers. This setback for the greenback is potentially a mere digestion of its near-term ascents. Yen, after momentarily benefiting from Japan's verbal interventions, also showed signs of softening. Across the Atlantic, Euro recorded modest declines against its European counterparts. This slip can be attributed to anticipations of economic contraction in Germany - the Eurozone's economic powerhouse - this year, as forecasted by a leading German research institute.

Technically, EUR/CAD's fall from 1.4822 resumes after the Canadian job release. This decline is seen as the third leg of the consolidation pattern from 1.4879. Deeper fall is expected as long as 1.4661 resistance holds, to 1.4482 support, or further to 100% projection of 1.4879 to 1.4482 from 1.4822 at 1.4425.

In Europe, at the time of writing, FTSE is up 0.11%. DAX is down -0.07%. CAC is up 0.34%. Germany 10-yaer yield is down -0.0005 at 2.611. Earlier in Asia, Nikkei dropped -1.16%. China Shanghai SSE dropped -0.18%. Singapore Strait Times dropped -0.58%. Japan 10-year JGB yield dropped -0.0071 to 0.651.

Full Report Here

Top Movers | HeatMap | Pivot Points | Pivot Meters | Action Bias | Vol

USD/CAD Mid-Day Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3648; (P) 1.3671; (R1) 1.3711; More....

Intraday bias in USD/CAD is turned neutral with today's retreat, and some consolidations could be seen below 1.3693. But the favored case is still that correction from 1.3976 has completed at 1.3091. Further rally is expected as long as 1.3488 support holds. Above 1.3693 will resume the rally from 1.3091 to 1.3860 resistance, and then 1.3976 high.

Full Report Here

EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

Recommended Readings

GBP/USD: Consolidation to Precede Fresh Weakness

AUD/USD and NZD/USD Could Start Fresh Increase

Bitcoin Sets September High

USDCAD Rally Approaches Caution Area

Chinese Yuan Falls to Year's Low

EUR/USD: Bears to Resume After Limited Consolidation

Do GBPJPY Bears Have Strength for a Sizeable Downmove?

EURUSD Rally Expected to Fail for More Downside

No Significant Changes to Our Australia Growth Forecasts

Cliff Notes: The Enduring Impact of Inflation

Fundamental Analysis | Technical Analysis
In-depth Reports
alt
ECB Preview: A Final Rate Hike, But Restrictive Policies Are Not Over
alt
With Clouds Gathering Over the UK Economy, What's Next for Pound?
alt
Has Euro/Dollar Entered Bearish Trend or Is It in Correction?
alt
Research China - Downside Risks Return
Economic Calendar
GMT Ccy Events Actual Forecast Previous Revised
23:30 JPY Labor Cash Earnings Y/Y Jul 1.30% 2.40% 2.30%
23:50 JPY Bank Lending Y/Y Aug 3.10% 2.80% 2.90%
23:50 JPY GDP Q/Q Q2 F 1.20% 1.40% 1.50%
23:50 JPY GDP Deflator Y/Y Q2 F 3.50% 3.40% 3.40%
06:00 EUR Germany CPI M/M Aug F 0.30% 0.30% 0.30%
06:00 EUR Germany CPI Y/Y Aug F 6.10% 6.10% 6.10%
06:45 EUR France Industrial Output M/M Jul 0.80% 0.20% -0.90%
12:30 CAD Net Change in Employment Aug 39.9K 20.0K -6.4K
12:30 CAD Unemployment Rate Aug 5.50% 5.60% 5.50%
12:30 CAD Capacity Utilization Q2 81.40% 82.50% 81.90% 81.80%
14:00 USD Wholesale Inventories Jul F -0.10% -0.10%