Rising Oil and Yields, Falling Stocks, Stronger Dollar
Action Insight Weekly Report 10-8-22
Rising Oil and Yields, Falling Stocks, Stronger Dollar

After a brief recovery, risk sentiment turned sour again towards the end of the week. Solid data from the US that solidify expectation for continuous aggressive Fed actions was a factor. Strong rebound in oil price also raised concern of a second wave in inflation. The overall development suggests that risk sentiment remains fragile, and extended selloff in stocks and bonds ahead could give Dollar further boost ahead.

Dollar did rally broadly towards the end of the week, but that wasn't enough to push it through near term resistance levels against most major rivals. Greenback buyers were probably still on the sideline, awaiting upcoming inflation data. Indeed, Canadian Dollar eked out the first place for its resilience, while New Zealand Dollar was second only because of its earlier gains. Swiss Franc was the worst performer, followed by Euro and Sterling.

Full Report Here

USD/CHF Weekly Outlook

USD/CHF stayed in consolidation from 0.9964 last week and outlook is unchanged. Initial bias remains neutral this week first. On the upside, above 0.9964 will resume the rally from 0.9369 to retest 1.0063 high. For now, outlook will stay bullish as long as 0.9738 support holds, in case of retreat.

Full Report Here

EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

Recommended Readings

What's Next for Japan and the Yen?

Weekly Economic & Financial Commentary: Labor Market Cooling Jolts Markets

Week Ahead: Inflation Data, FOMC Minutes, and Earnings Season Kicks Off

The Weekly Bottom Line: Canada – More Work to be Done

Forward Guidance: U.S. Core Inflation to Tick Higher in September Despite Slower Energy Price Growth

Week Ahead – Earnings Season is Back

What Will It Take for the US Dollar to Lose its Crown?

Week Ahead – The Calm Before Another US Inflation Storm

Weekly Focus – Is the 'Central Bank Pivot' Here?

Fundamental Analysis | Technical Analysis
In-depth Reports
What's Next for Japan and the Yen?
What Will It Take for the US Dollar to Lose its Crown?
Q4 Outlook: What to Expect this Quarter
Update to Our Fed Funds Forecast: When the Facts Change, We Change Our Minds