Dollar closed the week broadly lower, with the only exception being its slight gains against the even weaker Yen. Risk-on sentiment dominated global markets, fueling strong rallies in equities across the US, Europe, and Hong Kong, which in turn kept the greenback under pressure. The greenback had previously enjoyed a tariff-driven boost earlier in the month, but that narrative has largely unwound following the delay in implementing reciprocal tariffs. This shift has more than offset growing expectations that Fed will maintain a prolonged pause in rate cuts. Dollar Index is now at a critical technical juncture. A bounce from current levels is possible. However, if risk-on sentiment persists and intensifies, deeper pullback could materialize, with risk of leading to bearish trend reversal. While Dollar's outlook appears increasingly vulnerable, other major currencies are struggling to establish clear directions. Most non-dollar pairs and crosses ended the week within their prior ranges, reflecting a lack of conviction among traders. Euro emerged as the strongest performer. Sterling followed behind, and then Aussie. On the weaker side, Yen underperformed the most, Dollar and Loonie followed in the lower tier. Swiss franc and Kiwi ended in middle positions.... |