Yen Extended Down Trend as US 10-Yr Yield Hit 2.5, Euro Vulnerable Again
Action Insight Weekly Report 3-26-22
Yen Extended Down Trend as US 10-Yr Yield Hit 2.5, Euro Vulnerable Again

Yen was once again the runaway loser last week as global benchmark treasury yields, except JGB, surged. BoJ has clearly put a cap in 10-year JGB yield and the result is widening spread and persistent Yen selloff. Euro showing some renewed weakness but it's so far still range bound against Dollar. Nevertheless, extended decline in Euro against Swiss Franc could finally prompt a breakout in EUR/USD.

Commodity currencies are the clear winners, with Aussie leading the way. While RBA is still in wait-and-see mode, traders are probably starting to price in more aggressive tightening should the cycle start late. Also, as a major export of agricultural product and raw materials, the Aussie would continue to be benefited from surging commodity prices.

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EUR/CHF Weekly Outlook

EUR/CHF gyrated lower last week but stays above 1.0184 minor support. Initial bias remains neutral this week first. On the downside, break of 1.0814 will indicate that rebound from 0.9970 has completed at 1.0400, ahead of 38.2% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9970 at 1.0420. In this case, intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for retesting 0.9970 low. On the upside, break of 1.0400 will resume the rebound to 1.0610 key structural resistance.

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EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

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