Pull Back in Treasury Yields Boosted Stocks to New Record, Dollar Set Up for More Downside
Action Insight Weekly Report 4-17-21
Pull Back in Treasury Yields Boosted Stocks to New Record, Dollar Set Up for More Downside

Dollar tumbled broadly again as falling treasury yield pushed US and German stocks to new record highs. Near term trend in the greenback should have reversed, but it's unsure whether it's ready for medium term down trend resumption yet. At least, EUR/USD will have to break through 1.2 handle with some conviction, while Dollar index has to break through 91.30 support. Nevertheless, risk is on the downside for the greenback.

Staying in the currency markets, Canadian Dollar ended as the second weakest, followed by Swiss Franc. New Zealand and Australian Dollar ended as the strongest, following broad risk on sentiments, as well as solid economic data. Sterling was also setting the stage for a come back, but takes more time to consolidate the momentum. Euro and Yen ended mixed.

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EUR/USD Weekly Outlook

EUR/USD rose further to 1.1994 last week, but struggled to break through 1.1988 resistance decisively. Initial bias is neutral this week for some consolidations first. Further rally will remain in favor as long as 1.1876 support holds. Sustained trading above 1.1988 resistance will affirm our bullish view that correction from 1.2348 has completed at 1.1703. Further rally would then be seen to 1.2242/2348 resistance zone. However, break of 1.1876 support will turn bias back to the downside for 38.2% retracement of 1.0635 to 1.2348 at 1.1694 instead.

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EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

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