Dollar, Yen, and Swiss Franc Lead Currency Markets, Suggestive of Risk Aversion
Action Insight Weekly Report 5-13-23
Dollar, Yen, and Swiss Franc Lead Currency Markets, Suggestive of Risk Aversion

In the currency markets last week, Dollar, Yen, and Swiss franc Emerged as the standout performers. Conversely, New Zealand and Australian dollars lagged, painting a picture suggestive of risk aversion within the markets. However, this sentiment has not yet manifested itself in the stock markets, at least not with major American and European indices. It's yet to be determined whether these developments in the currency markets are a precursor to trends in other sectors.

Euro and sterling also found themselves on the weaker side of the spectrum. Despite persistently hawkish comments from ECB officials, the common currency was relatively unmoved. The Pound maintained a cautious stance throughout most of the week until comments from BoE Governor concerning the possibility of a pause, following the anticipated 25-basis point rate hike, sent it into a tumble. Despite these fluctuations, the Canadian Dollar held its own, ending the week on a mixed note.

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EUR/USD Weekly Outlook

EUR/USD reversed after failing to break through 1.1094 resistance last week, and break of 1.0908 support confirmed short term topping. More importantly, considering bearish divergence condition in D MACD and break of 55 D EMA (now at 1.0880), it's possibly in correction to whole up trend from 0.9534 already. Initial bias stays on the downside this week for 1.0515 cluster support, 38.2% retracement of 0.9534 to 1.1094 at 1.0498. On the upside, though, above 1.0941 resistance will turn bias back to the upside for retesting 1.1094 high.

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EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

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