Dollar Solidified Strong Near Term Rally, But Not in Long Term Reversal Yet
Action Insight Weekly Report 6-19-21
Dollar Solidified Strong Near Term Rally, But Not in Long Term Reversal Yet

Dollar ended last week sharply higher as boosted by the surprisingly hawkish FOMC projections. Yen followed as second strongest on steep selloff in stocks, while Euro is a distant third. Commodity currencies were the worst performers, with Aussie leading the way, followed by New Zealand Dollar. Though, Swiss Franc were also one of the weakest.

Nevertheless, until the economic and health development warrant a rate Fed hike next year, Dollar will likely continue to follow an inverse path with risk appetite. We're not seeing stocks in long term correction for now, but just a medium term correction. Hence, while the near term strength in the greenback was solidified, current rally is still seen as just part of the medium term consolidations.

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AUD/USD Weekly Outlook

AUD/USD's corrective pattern from 0.8006 resumed last week by breaking through 0.7530 support. Initial bias stays on the downside this week. Deeper decline would be seen to 100% projection of 0.8006 to 0.7530 from 0.7890 at 0.7414. We'd expect strong support from there to bring rebound. On the upside, above 0.7560 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. However, sustained break of 0.7414 will argue it's at least in larger scale correction, and target 161.8% projection at 0.7120 next.

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EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

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