Yen Hits Multi-Decade Lows, Euro Bounces Back, Dollar Remains Indecisive

Action Insight Weekly Report 6-30-24
Yen Hits Multi-Decade Lows, Euro Bounces Back, Dollar Remains Indecisive

Yen remained in the spotlight last week, dominating headlines even as some significant global inflation data also moved markets. The Japanese currency continued its downtrend, reaching multi-decade lows. Despite the prolonged decline, Japanese authorities refrained from intervening directly in the markets. However, the looming threat of intervention kept traders cautious, resulting in a more controlled descent. Nevertheless, Yen ended the week as the worst-performing currency.

In contrast, Australian dollar emerged as the strongest performer, buoyed by increased speculations of another RBA rate hike following robust inflation data. Canadian dollar also showed strength, securing the third spot due to strong inflation figures that diminished the likelihood of an imminent rate cut by BoC. Euro, which had been impacted by political uncertainties in France, recovered and became the second strongest currency of the week. Despite this recovery, Euro remains the second weakest currency for the month, just ahead of Yen.

Swiss franc was the second weakest performer of the week. Global inflation data suggested that the monetary easing cycle would continue at a slow pace, keeping rate gap with SNB wide. New Zealand Dollar also struggled, ending as the third worst performer, partly due to additional pressure from its decline against Aussie.

Dollar and the British Pound finished in middle positions. While the greenback fell against Euro, Sterling, Loonie and Aussie, it remained within the previous week's range. Market participants have become cautious ahead of the upcoming election risks in France and the plethora of US economic data, including non-farm payrolls report, scheduled for the coming week. Similarly, the Pound has not found a clear direction, with ‎UK's upcoming elections adding to the uncertainty...

Full Report Here

https://GBP/USD%20Weekly%20Outlook

GBP/USD's fall from 1.2859 tied to continued last week but failed to sustain below 1.2633 resistance turned support. Still, further decline is expected as long as 1.2702 resistance holds. Sustained trading below 1.2633 resistance turned support will argue that whole rise from 1.2298 has completed, and target 1.2445 and below. On the upside, however, firm break of 1.2702 resistance will argue that pull back from 1.2859 has completed, and bring retest of this high instead.

Full Report Here

EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

Recommended Readings

Markets Weekly Outlook: French, UK Elections in Focus Followed by NFP Data

The Weekly Bottom Line: Services Spending and Prices Starting to Settle

Weekly Economic & Financial Commentary: Yen Reaches Its Weakest Level Against the Greenback since 1986

Labour Markets in Canada and the U.S. to Show Key Signs of Weakness

What Can We Expect from ISM Business PMIs Next Week?

Eurozone CPI Report: Further Noise or a Proper Signal to Cut Rates Again?

Week Ahead – French and UK Elections on the Horizon, US Jobs Report Eyed Too

Weekly Focus – A Summer Full of Data and Central Bank Meetings

Cliff Notes: The Slow Grind

When Stars Collide

Fundamental Analysis | Technical Analysis
In-depth Reports
alt
Is France Headed for Political Stalemate and How Bad is this for Euro?
alt
What Could UK General Election Mean for Pound?