Dollar Rose, Yen Fell as Traders Adjusted Bet on Fed Hikes
Action Insight Weekly Report 8-13-22
Dollar Rose, Yen Fell as Traders Adjusted Bet on Fed Hikes

Expectations on the size of next Fed rate hike shifted again last week, with stocks cheering lower than expected consumer inflation reading in the US. Dollar ended as the worst performer but it did have a late come back following rebound in benchmark treasury yields. Indeed, it was the late selloff in Sterling and Euro, the second and third last, that worth more attention.

Meanwhile, return of risk-on sentiment lifted commodity currencies with New Zealand and Australian Dollars being the best performer. Swiss Franc was the third with help from buying against other European majors.

Looking ahead, countering forces could keep Dollar going nowhere in general. The downside breakout in Sterling and Euro in crosses could take a front seat for the near term at least.

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USD/JPY Weekly Outlook

USD/JPY edged higher to 135.57 last week but dropped sharply from there. Yet, downside was contained above 130.38 support. Initial bias stays neutral this week first. Outlook is unchanged that corrective pattern from 139.37 is still unfolding. Range trading between 126.35/139.37 will continue for a while. On the downside, break of 130.38 will target 100% projection of 139.37 to 130.38 from 135.57 at 126.58. On the upside, above 135.57 will resume the rebound from 130.38 to retest 139.37.

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EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

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