Stocks at New Record, Dollar Plummeted, Aussie Turning Around
Action Insight Weekly Report 8-28-21
Stocks at New Record, Dollar Plummeted, Aussie Turning Around

Fed Chair Jerome Powell's speech at the Jackson Hole Symposium didn't disappoint. He did what the markets expected, affirming the openness for beginning tapering this year, without indicating the need for an imminent start. Just as Philadelphia Fed President Patrick Harker described, Powell laid out where the center of the FOMC is in terms of policy. US stocks cheered the speech with S&P 500 and NASDAQ closing at record highs.

In the currency markets, Dollar was sold off notably after Powell and end the week as the second worst performer. Yen was the weakest following rebound in major global yields, while Swiss Franc was third. On the other hand, commodity currencies closed as the strongest ones, led by New Zealand Dollar.

Development in Gold suggests that more downside in now in favor in the greenback. We'd like to see break of 1.1804 resistance in EUR/USD and 1.3785 resistance in GBP/USD very soon to affirm this case. Meanwhile, Aussie has the potential to outperform ahead, given that vaccination is speed up and investors are starting to look through the current lockdowns.

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EUR/USD Weekly Outlook

EUR/USD's recovery from 1.1663 extended higher last week but stays below 1.1804 resistance. Initial bias is neutral this week first with immediate focus on 1.1804 resistance. Break there will bring stronger rise to 1.1907 resistance first. Firm break there will indicate that fall from 1.2265, as well as the consolidation pattern from 1.2348, have completed. Near term outlook will be turned bullish for 1.2265/2348 resistance holds. In case of another fall, we'd continue to look for strong support from 1.1602/1703 key support zone to bring rebound.

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EURUSD | USDJPY | GBPUSD | USDCHF | AUDUSD | USDCAD

EURJPY | EURGBP | EURCHF | EURAUD | GBPJPY

Recommended Readings

Weekly Economic & Financial Commentary: Powell Keeps an Open Mind to Tapering

The Weekly Bottom Line: Delta Variant Dims The Outlook

Week Ahead: Jackson Hole Fallout and the Importance of Non-Farm Payrolls this Week

Week Ahead – Action Packed End to Summer

Forward Guidance: Canada GDP to Show Recovery Accelerated in June ahead of Delta Wave

Week Ahead – The Calm Before Nonfarm Payrolls Storm

Weekly Focus – Risk Back On

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