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By Michael Shepherd - Oct. 27, 2022
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📷 These screenshots come from two recently aired ads by the party campaign arms in the race between Rep. Jared Golden of Maine's 2nd District and former Rep. Bruce Poliquin.
Good morning from Augusta. There are 12 days until Election Day.

What we're watching today


Here are the party playbooks for ads they want in Maine's 2nd District. The advertising war over Maine's swing congressional seat is a wild one. The race between U.S. Rep. Jared Golden of Maine's 2nd District and former Rep. Bruce Poliquin is the main driver behind the $14 million in ads set to air statewide in the two weeks before Election Day, according to AdImpact data. Our state is by far the smallest one to see this level of traffic.

There are a few reasons for this. The first is that the 2nd District rematch has always been among the 30 or so races in the House chamber deemed as toss-ups. Another is that the national map has moved further toward Republicans in the last few weeks despite Golden has hanging onto polling leads here. Perhaps thinking that he is one of their more durable toss-ups, Democrats are moving money in to counteract a recent Republican advantage on the air.

Outside groups that now dominate ad spending cannot formally coordinate with candidates or parties, but there are all sorts of ways around that, from posting B-roll for those groups to use in ads to specifically laying out the claims they want highlighted at key times in the campaign.

You do not have to look any further than the party campaign websites. As of about two weeks ago, the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee told groups that they should be highlighting Poliquin's anti-abortion record in the Bangor and Portland markets "excluding Fox News viewers" and especially to abortion-rights voters on YouTube. In the older and more socially conservative Presque Isle market, they want Medicare and Social Security highlighted.

Their counterpart goes into detail as well. The National Republican Congressional Committee recently published a 12-page backup document laying out how to continue linking Golden with a group that "red-listed" the Maine lobster due to sustainability concerns linked to endangered whales. (Poliquin hammered Golden for taking a 2020 contribution from the group's CEO, but the congressman recently proposed defunding the group.)

This is done through Rep. Seth Moulton, D-Massachusetts, who made a short-lived 2020 presidential run and helped recruit Golden and other military veterans ahead of the 2018 race. He has been a staunch defender of the right whale and has sparred with Maine's lobster industry over federal rules that are now hanging over the fishery and this year's campaign. The document notes Moulton's financial support for Golden as well as his summer trip to Maine to campaign for the congressman.

As you might expect, it does not note that Golden has been on the other side of him on lobstering issues. That is how the ad sausage is made. Now you will be prepared when you see these ads against him and his opponent.

🗞 The Daily Brief is made possible by Bangor Daily News subscribers. Support the work of our politics team and enjoy unlimited access to everything the BDN has to offer by subscribing here.

What we're reading


🏁  A former NASCAR driver is the favorite to replace Maine's most legendary lawmaker in a politically shifting St. John Valley.

💨 Progressives including Rep. Chellie Pingree of the 1st District rescinded a letter to the White House calling for negotiations with Russia to end the war in Ukraine after criticism, Maine Public reported.

🌱 Maine is giving companies more time to report whether "forever chemicals" are in their products to the chagrin of advocates.

📉 The lowest enrollment in recent memory has forced a $5 million shortfall at Maine's public universities and sets up a worrisome picture for next year.

💼 A district attorney race has turned into a battle over how to prioritize Washington County cases.
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News and notes

📷 Gov. Janet Mills and former Gov. Paul LePage debate at CBS 13's Portland studio on Monday. (BDN photo by Troy R. Bennett)
🔇 The third TV gubernatorial debate is tonight.

◉ Gov. Janet Mills and former Gov. Paul LePage will be hosted by News Center Maine and the Maine State Chamber of Commerce at the Holiday Inn by the Bay in Portland for an hourlong debate starting at 7 p.m.

◉ Same as the Monday debate from CBS 13 and the Bangor Daily News, independent Sam Hunkler did not meet a polling threshold to participate.

◉ It will be the second-to-last meeting between the candidates ahead of Election Day. The last one comes next Thursday in Presque Isle aired statewide by WAGM, WABI of Bangor and WMTW of Portland.

💅 There were no major ethics penalties among the pre-election complaints.

◉ The Maine Ethics Commission, the state's campaign finance watchdog, found that a national Democratic group violated two areas of law with a round of mailers against Republican legislative candidates, but it imposed no penalties for now while staff investigate the expenses.

◉ Rep. Sue Bernard, R-Caribou, got a nominal $75 fine for some mailers lacking disclosures that they were paid for by her Maine Senate campaign. She attributed it to an accident. Her race against Senate President Troy Jackson, D-Allagash, has turned into one of Maine's top elections next month.
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