Tech giants remember what disappointment feels like | Shell's still facing its own storm |

Hi John, here's what you need to know for October 29th in 3:15 minutes.

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Today's big stories

  1. Apple and Amazon’s earnings fell well below expectations, as they struggle to maintain their post-pandemic momentum
  2. Our analyst has looked into whether this Amazon-backed EV-maker could become the next Tesla – Read Now
  3. Oil giant Shell reported worse-than-expected results, and the road to recovery could be paved with renewables

Water Damage

Water Damage

What’s Going On Here?

Amazon and Apple both reported worse-than-expected results late on Thursday, and it’s going to take more than a bag of rice to fix this.

What Does This Mean?

Amazon finally has something to grumble about: revenue from the company’s ecommerce segment climbed by a weaker-than-expected 12% last quarter versus the same time last year. It has reservations about the next few months too: it’s not expecting labor shortages to go away, even as it offers tasty incentives to poach workers off smaller outfits. Investors, then, initially sent its stock down 5%.

Apple had better luck: revenue from its services segment – Apple TV, Music, and the like – grew by more than expected. But the company said it reckons the chip shortage has cost it as much as $6 billion, and iPhone sales – which represent the company’s biggest source of revenue – came in below expectations too. Investors noticed: they sent its shares down 5%.

Why Should I Care?

Zooming in: Apple doth protest too much.
If you followed Facebook and Snapchat’s earnings updates, you’ll know Apple’s new privacy settings have made it harder for advertisers to target would-be shoppers. And while Apple keeps waxing lyrical about how the move was in iOS users’ interests, that virtuousness looks a little threadbare considering that advertisers now have to pay Apple directly if they want to get noticed. It’s hardly a coincidence, after all, that the segment has more than tripled its market share in the six months since the changes were introduced…

The bigger picture: A very wary Christmas.
Amazon’s disappointing ecommerce update reflects a bigger problem: US consumer spending is dropping off, which is partly why the country’s economy grew just 2% last quarter versus the same time the year before. That’s the slowest growth since the beginning of the recovery. So while your mom might think it’s the thought that counts this Christmas, economists beg to differ…

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Analyst Take

Could This Amazon-Backed EV Manufacturer Become The Next Tesla?

Could This Amazon-Backed EV Manufacturer Become The Next Tesla?
Photo of Stéphane Renevier

Stéphane Renevier, Analyst

What’s Going On Here?

You’d be forgiven for thinking Tesla’s Cybertruck – which Elon announced in typically understated fashion in 2019 – is the world’s first electric truck.

But one little-known company has actually beaten both Tesla and the long-established stalwarts to production.

And now, as part of its victory lap, that carmaker has filed to list on the stock market by the end of the year.

A lot of investors will see this as a prime opportunity to buy in: the company, after all, is already backed by Amazon, BlackRock, and even Ford.

But others might be a bit more hesitant, not least because this carmaker – which is reportedly aiming for a $80 billion valuation – is yet to make one dollar in revenue.

So that’s today’s Insight: whether this carmaker really has what it takes to become the next Tesla.

Read or listen to the Insight here.

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Greenwashing

Greenwashing

What’s Going On Here?

Shell’s quarterly results missed expectations on Thursday, so the oil giant will do whatever it has to do to prove its green credentials and win investors back.

What Does This Mean?

You’d think that Shell would be raking it in as energy prices soar, but Hurricane Ida had other plans: the storm dented the energy giant’s oil and gas production in the Gulf of Mexico in late August, and sent its profit down by a higher-than-expected 25% last quarter versus the one before. So you can bet Shell’s doing everything it can to keep investors on side. And since they’re increasingly pushing the company to turn away from fossil fuels, that’s as good a place as any to start: it just sold its business in the Permian Basin – the biggest oil production site in America – for almost $10 billion, and announced on Thursday it’d be cutting its 2016 emissions level in half by 2030 (tweet this).

Why Should I Care?

The bigger picture: Oil and water don’t mix.
Shell’s been using the profit it makes from its oil and gas business to fund its renewable energy segment, but legendary activist investor Dan Loeb reckons the two opposing businesses are actually dragging down the overall value of the company. And he’s putting his money where his mouth is: Loeb’s firm, Third Point, has reportedly taken a $750 million stake in Shell, and he’s using this newfound sway to urge Shell to split its business in half.

Zooming out: Ford’s not doing Shell any favors.
Shell makes a big chunk of its revenue from fuel for vehicles, but it can’t count on that income forever as electric vehicles (EVs) gain in popularity. And that’s only going to keep accelerating if Ford’s latest announcement is anything to go by: the carmaker said this week that it’ll be spending $7 billion on four new plants that are forecast to produce 1 million EVs. It’s all part of a bid to make 40% of all the cars it sells electric by 2030.

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💬 Quote of the day

“I really think a champion is defined not by their wins but by how they can recover when they fall.”

– Serena Williams (an American professional tennis player)
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🥊 How To Defend Against Inflation: 5pm UK time, November 1st
✈️ Are Space Flights And Self-Driving Cars The Future?: 5pm UK time, November 2nd
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