Take that, Paddington 2 | Investors get conspiratorial |

Hi John, here's what you need to know for June 4th in 3:13 minutes.

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Today's big stories

  1. AMC Entertainment has become one of the biggest companies in America...
  2. … and there’s a smart way to take advantage of meme stocks like AMC without risking it all – Read Now
  3. The US central bank is planning to sell some of the bonds it bought at the height of the pandemic

Movies And Shakers

Movies And Shakers

What’s Going On Here?

AMC Entertainment hit a nearly $30 billion valuation early on Thursday, making the theater chain superstar bigger than half the companies in the key US stock market index.

What Does This Mean?

AMC’s stock is up around 400% this week and over 2,800% this year alone, but it’s hard to put this rally solely down to Redditors (tweet this). The bigger a company, after all, the tougher it is for retail investors – whose wallets are a lot smaller than their institutional counterparts’ – to influence its value.

Then again, they do have the means to tussle with the heavy-hitters: retail investors have leverage and call options at their fingertips, both of which amplify the impact of small bets. And given how quickly “short sellers” – investors betting AMC’s price will fall – were losing money earlier this week, they might’ve raced to buy shares in hopes of reversing their bets and limiting their losses. That, in turn, would’ve pushed AMC’s stock even higher.

Why Should I Care?

For markets: AMC is making hay while the sun shines.
AMC has been taking full advantage of the hype around its stock: the company’s been selling new shares at their recently bolstered price, and it just announced it’d be selling almost 12 million more in due course. And you can’t exactly blame the firm, which has been hemorrhaging cash since the pandemic forced its theaters shut. Now that its coffers are refilled, though, it should be better able to bounce back as things reopen.

Zooming in: AMC’s valuation is hard to justify.
AMC’s shares are currently trading for approximately 12 times next year’s forecasted sales, compared to US rivals Cinemark and IMAX’s 3 and 5 times respectively. But that lead probably isn’t sustainable: Goldman Sachs said on Wednesday that the short-term boost from a recovery has already been factored into cinema stocks, and that the acceleration toward streaming platforms will crimp earnings in the longer run.

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2. Analyst Take

A Smarter Way To Play Meme Stocks

What’s Going On Here?

Plenty of investors made a lot of money in January, when meme stocks like GameStop and AMC Entertainment’s share prices rose dramatically.

Of course, plenty of investors lost it again when they fell dramatically too.

But with AMC’s stock now three times higher than its January high, you might think things are different this time.

And if you do, there is a way to responsibly trade speculative bubbles. It’s just not always easy.

So that’s today’s Insight: how to take advantage of these speculative plays as carefully as possible.

Read or listen to the Insight here

SPONSORED BY CROWDSTREET

Not today, inflation

No one knows exactly how inflation is going to shake out, but it’s making stock investors edgy.

And if it’s making you edgy, it’s a good time to start diversifying into alternative markets. And as luck would have it, CrowdStreet has an excellent opportunity.

With CrowdStreet, you’ll get access to a constant flow of real estate investments – from individual deals, investment funds, and tailored portfolios.

“But I don’t know anything about the real estate market!” we hear you cry.

Well, it’s a good thing CrowdStreet’s put together a Definitive Guide To Real Estate Investing, laying out its predictions for the year, the best places to invest, and much more besides.

That does sound pretty definitive: get your free guide here.

Get The Guide

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Conspiracy Theory

Conspiracy Theory

What’s Going On Here?

The US Federal Reserve (the Fed) announced this week that it’d be selling $14 billion worth of corporate bonds, and suspicious investors might be reading too much into it…

What Does This Mean?

When the pandemic kicked off last year, the Fed bought up a host of corporate bonds to help companies stay on two feet as things descended into chaos. But now that things have settled down, it’s decided to sell some of them off. It’s worth pointing out, of course, that the Fed’s still buying around $120 billion worth of assets every month, so this sell-off is just a drop in the ocean. But for investors, it’s another in a long line of hints that interest rates are set to rise sooner rather than later.

Why Should I Care?

For markets: The interest rate fear is real. 
Investors were expecting the Fed to hold onto these bonds until they were fully paid off, so the central bank’s decision will increase the overall supply. All else equal, that’ll send prices down and yields – which move in the opposite direction – up. And since investors use existing yields to inform interest rates on new bonds, the move will effectively increase rates in the market – which isn’t great news for companies’ earnings and, by extension, their share prices.

The bigger picture: Your guess is as good as theirs.
Investors might’ve seen something like this coming: US inflation is at record highs, so this could be a stopgap before eventually raising interest rates directly. But it remains to be seen whether the sell-off will actually slow down rising prices. That’s especially true given fresh data out on Thursday that showed the private sector added more jobs than expected last month, which could lead to more consumer spending and higher economic growth. Then again, there’s hope yet: data out on Friday is expected to show that wage growth isn’t recovering even if job growth is.

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🙋 Ask a question

💬 Quote of the day

“Yes, I do have a big ego, and I’m in love with myself. Because if you don’t love yourself how can anybody love you back?”

– Mel B (an English singer-songwriter)
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🎯 On our radar

  1. “To the best house ever!” Inside the collab houses of LA-based influencers.
  2. The must-have guide to real estate investing. Crowdstreet has what you need to invest in real estate this year, and it’s free.*
  3. The millionaires of Silicon Valley. How it feels to get filthy rich overnight.
  4. Is the octopus an animal? Apparently not, and that changes how they’re being treated in labs.
  5. Church by day, strip club by night. Welcome to Church at the Manor.

When you support our sponsors, you support us. Thanks for that.

🌏 Finimize Live

🥜 China’s growth potential is nuts

So many of China’s tech giants are listed on a US stock exchange that it’s easier than ever to invest directly in Chinese companies. But why would you want to? Head to How To Capitalize On Chinese Stocks to find out (spoiler: they could be about to have a very good few years).

📈 How To Capitalize On Chinese Stocks: 1pm UK time, June 4th
🏡 How To Bet On Real Estate’s Sustainable Future: 6pm UK time, June 7th
🤔 How To Understand Fundamental Analysis: 5pm UK time, June 8th
😎 How To Make Your Own Investing Rules: 5pm UK time, June 9th
🛒 How To Not Get Lost In Supermarket Stocks: 6pm UK time, June 10th
💰 How To Get Yield From Crypto: 12pm NYC time, June 14th
💡 How To Build A Robust Portfolio: 5pm UK time, June 15th
💵 How To Bet On The Rise Of Open Banking Payments: 1pm UK time, June 16th
🤑 How To Earn A Passive Income From Crypto: 12pm NYC time, June 24th
🌿 Why Now’s The Time To Invest In Cannabis: 6pm UK time, June 28th
🍔 How To Make Money Going Meat Free: 6pm UK time, June 29th
💄 How To Give Your Portfolio A Beauty Makeover: 6pm UK time, June 30th

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