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Hi John, here's what you need to know for May 15th in 3:03 minutes.

🤓 Finimized while reviewing econometrics in Freiburg, Germany (12°C/54°F ☁️)

Today's big stories

  1. Almost three million more Americans filed for unemployment benefits last week
  2. Our analysts look at why investors in search of returns might be tempted by a troubled luxury carmaker – Read Now
  3. Norwegian videoconferencing company Pexip made its stock market debut on Thursday, and its share price jumped nearly 40%
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The Customer’s Always Blight

The Customer’s Always Blight

What’s Going On Here?

Coronavirus continues to be all take and no give: the number of Americans filing for unemployment benefits remained in the millions for an eighth straight week as the US economy reels from the pandemic.

What Does This Mean?

The number of Americans filing for unemployment benefits may have fallen for six weeks in a row, but the three million added last week was still 20% more than expected. That means the US economy's shed 36 million jobs in just eight weeks - as many as were lost in the 18 months after the global financial crisis (tweet this).

The worse-than-expected numbers underscore the ongoing impact of the lockdown, as retailers, hotels, and restaurants largely remain closed and American consumers keep their spending money to themselves. And the chairman of the Federal Reserve didn’t exactly boost the mood on Wednesday: he warned mass bankruptcies and more unemployment were to come if the US government didn’t do more to help.

Why Should I Care?

For markets: Change places!
Thursday’s unemployment benefits data comes hot on the heels of a US jobs report showing a 14.7% unemployment rate – the highest since the Second World War. This fast-changing environment is making life difficult for economists, who are constantly scrambling to update their forecasts. Take those at investment bank Goldman Sachs: they said on Wednesday that they now expect the US unemployment rate to peak at 25% – up from their earlier 15% estimate, and in line with the unemployment rate during the Great Depression.

The bigger picture: I’m feeling lucky.
With so much backward-looking economic data out there, jobless claims reports are revealing in that they reflect economic conditions as they are at that moment. That might explain why savvy investors try to use alternative data to help predict the reports: Google search trends for keywords like “unemployment insurance”, for example, can be a good indicator of the numbers before they’re officially published.

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2/3 Premium

The World Is Not Enough



What’s Going On Here?

With UK government bonds currently offering negative returns, some investors are starting to look at those of a luxury carmaker that’s long been serving the British government’s interests.

Get the full story with Finimize Premium

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📈 All’s well that trends well

Here’s some of the most popular Finimize Premium content this week…

🤘 Blackrock backs stocks
The world’s biggest money manager broke ranks to recommend buying stocks, and our analysts looked into why.

🤩 Bitcoin loves the limelight
Bitcoin’s faded from view lately, but one investment manager has turned to the cryptocurrency to protect his $40 billion hedge fund.

🎶 Please don’t stop the rally
One major fund manager argued that the demand for – and value of – US government bonds will just keep climbing.

🏡 To buy property, or not to buy
The housing market in the UK, for one, has just kicked back into action – so is now the right time to buy?

💰 What’s next for VC funds?
Hear about the innovative strategies that startups and VC funds are using to source opportunity in this bizarre new landscape.

Psst, these links go to our app – check them out on your phone.

3/3

Good Underdoggy

Good Underdoggy

What’s Going On Here?

Better watch your back, Zoom: scrappy videoconferencing newcomer Pexip made its stock market debut on Thursday, and inspired investors pushed its stock price up nearly 40%.

What Does This Mean?

The Norwegian company took advantage of its own technology to hold an all-virtual roadshow and raise more than $200 million from investors – making it Scandinavia’s biggest tech initial public offering to date. And given those investors initially wanted to buy 12 times the amount of new shares on offer, it’s potentially no wonder Pexip’s stock price surged nearly 40% after its debut, valuing the company at close to a billion dollars.

With the coronavirus-driven lockdown forcing millions to work from home, businesses have been turning to videoconferencing services like Pexip and Zoom. Both have seen a seven-fold increase in usage in recent weeks, but as Zoom’s security issues come under increasing scrutiny, Pexip has – apparently very successfully – marketed itself as the more secure alternative.

Why Should I Care?

For markets: Roll out the red carpet.
Pexip’s star-studded client list – which includes the US military, German government, Intel, and Vodafone – might be testament to that increased security. See, Pexip, unlike Zoom, allows users to store data on their own networks. But the two companies do have something important in common: their valuations have been pushed to lofty levels by investors buying up potential “coronavirus winners”. Zoom’s valuation is now 50 times this year’s forecasted revenue, while Pexip’s is an estimated 15 times.

The bigger picture: Fee-fi-fo-fum.
The market for videoconferencing services might be booming, but with big booms come big competition. Just last month, telecoms giant Verizon announced it’s buying up BlueJeans, a California-based videoconferencing company with over 15,000 business customers. And late on Wednesday, American tech conglomerate Cisco reported better-than-expected profit as the lockdown boosted demand for remote-working tools like Webex, its own videoconferencing service.

Scout out opportunity: How to spot the next hot IPO.

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💬 Quote of the day

“The greatest danger to our future is apathy.”

– Jane Goodall (an English primatologist and anthropologist)
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🙌 Can’t get enough of our events?

There’s plenty more where that came from. Over the next few weeks, we’ll be speaking to various experts on COVID’s impact on personal investing, VC funding, blockchain, and more. Sign up, y’hear?

🇬🇧 UK: Investing in Brands During COVID-19 – 3pm UK Time, May 15th
🇦🇪 UAE: Future-Proof Your Finances, Funding, & Accelerating – 5pm Dubai Time, May 17th
🇺🇸 USA: Raising Capital During a Pandemic – 1pm EST, May 20th
🇸🇬 Singapore: COVID-19’s Impact on Global M&A – 6.30pm SGT, May 21st
🇫🇷 France: The Future of Blockchain & Cryptocurrency – 6.30pm CET, June 17th

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