| Micron beats the odds | Sorry, Federer |
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Hi John, here's what you need to know for December 20th in 3:08 minutes.

The Finimize Community has met up in 30 different countries this year, and it’s all thanks to you guys. We’re already off to a flying start for 2020 too, with January events lined up for York 🇬🇧 Berlin đŸ‡©đŸ‡Ș Brussels 🇧đŸ‡Ș Paris đŸ‡«đŸ‡· Perth 🇩đŸ‡ș Jalandhar 🇼🇳 and Bangalore 🇼🇳 Grab your spot

Today's big stories

  1. Global microchip maker Micron’s latest update painted a positive picture for future economic growth
  2. The Bank of England kept UK interest rates unchanged, but revealed unscrupulous traders may have profited from leaked data – Read now
  3. Exports from high-end Swiss watchmakers fell last month, adding to already-weak retail sales data
1/3

When The Chips Are Down

When The Chips Are Down

What’s Going On Here?

Never tell US microchip maker Micron the odds: it announced a better-than-expected quarterly update late on Wednesday, and investors went all in on its stock, which rose 4% on Thursday.

What Does This Mean?

Micron’s rivals had previously suggested that a tough start to the year for chipmakers would end on a more positive note, thanks primarily to 5G rollouts and the release of major new smartphones. The US-China trade war, however, means things haven’t panned out quite as hoped.

Even so, Micron’s quarterly earnings were slightly higher than predicted, while a promising earnings forecast might’ve encouraged investors to double down on the company. The chipmaker reckons customer demand will continue to increase until at least this time next year – and that it’ll earn more in the current quarter than investors have estimated.

Why Should I Care?

For markets: Rolling the dice.
Micron’s stock has risen around 75% this year, and its positive outlook for next year may have convinced investors to buy up other chipmakers’ shares, too. The industry is globally connected: it takes over 200 suppliers from 43 countries, for example, to make an iPhone (tweet this). So if one chipmaker makes the right call, it’s likely several will cash in. And since chipmakers’ fortunes tend to mirror those of the global economy (given their products are used in everything from cell phones to cars), Micron’s forecast could suggest economic growth next year will also be better than investors expect.

The bigger picture: Counting cards.
Earlier this year, the US prohibited its companies from doing business with Chinese giant Huawei. But by November, at least some American companies were being granted exemptions from the ban – and this week, Micron revealed it was among them. Good news for Micron, but not such good news for Korean rival Samsung: it was probably rubbing its restriction-free hands together at the prospect of fulfilling Huawei’s unmet demand.

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2/3 Premium Story

Central Intelligence Agency

The UK’s central bank admitted on Thursday that some investors had got early access to details of its previous press conferences – with “high-frequency traders” potentially making a killing at others’ expense.

Get the full story in the Finimize app

3/3

You’re Taking The Swiss

You’re Taking The Swiss

What’s Going On Here?

Fresh data on Thursday showed exports of luxury Swiss watches were 13% lower than a year ago in November – fault! – and that this year would probably see the fewest exports in 35 years. Double fault!

What Does This Mean?

The rise of smartwatches has long been frustrating – if not necessarily game-changing – for leading Swiss watchmakers Richemont and Swatch. But that might now be changing, as more and more customers move away from mid-range traditional watches that lead to the pricier likes of Rolex, and toward smartwatches that cost less than $200.

Watchmakers, then, are refocusing their efforts on marketing their high-end wares, rather than gateway products. But there’s no guarantee they’ll succeed, especially with unauthorized dealers selling their surplus inventory at large, brand-damaging discounts. And it remains to be seen whether Swatch’s strategy of buying its own watches back from those dealers will work, either


Why Should I Care?

Zooming out: No tempting these shoppers.
Luxury watchmakers will hope they’re able to lure shoppers into late holiday purchases. Then again, maybe not: data released on Thursday showed UK retail sales in November missed predictions and fell for the fourth month in a row. And in Hong Kong – the home of some of the world’s biggest luxury spenders – retail sales have been falling as protests keep stores closed and shoppers housebound, hitting luxury powerhouses like Gucci-owner Kering and LVMH.

For markets: Fixed vs. flexible.
A recovery in Swiss watch exports would affect Richemont and Swatch in different ways, influencing which of the two investors decide to back. Swatch’s “fixed costs” – salaries, rent and so on – are proportionally higher than rival Richemont’s, which means it shouldn’t have to increase its expenses much to deliver any extra sales. Richemont’s greater proportion of flexible costs, on the other hand, could more easily be slashed to save money, which could help it weather a long-term slump better than its rival.

Copy to share story: https://www.finimize.com/wp/news/youre-taking-swiss/

💬 Quote of the day

“If a dog will not come to you after having looked you in the face, you should go home and examine your conscience.”

– Woodrow Wilson (an American politician, lawyer, and the 28th president of the United States)
Tweet this
đŸ€” Q&A

“Why will DuPont’s investors, rather than International Flavors and Fragrances’, get the majority of the newly formed company’s shares in their upcoming merger?”

– Markus

“Good question, Markus. International Flavors and Fragrances (IFF) is expected to generate a little over $5 billion in revenue this year, while the new combined company is expected to boast more than $11 billion of revenue. That’s because DuPont’s nutrition and biosciences business – which alone is bigger than the whole of IFF – will earn around $6 billion this year. To make sure no one loses out from the merger, this disparity is reflected in the stakes handed out to each respective company’s shareholders: DuPont’s will get 55% of the new firm, and IFF’s the remaining 45%.”

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đŸ™‹â€â™€ïž Ask a question

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Next year’s going to be cool: we’ve got loads of plans in the works we think you’ll really dig. But it’ll take great people to make them happen. So we’re looking for a growth marketer to – *checks notes* – help us grow. And a community manager intern to – you guessed it – help us manage the Finimize Community.

Sure, you’ll join a great team and get a competitive package, but you’ll also get a load of free Finimize swag you won’t get anywhere else. How could you say no to that? Join the team

🌍 Finimize Community

😏 The writing was on the wall, Paul

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Paul, Paul, Paul. What are we going to do with you? In just six months, you’ve run events which have connected over 200 Finimizers, as well as hosted some of the biggest finance firms in Hong Kong. You’ve left us with no choice: we’re making you a Community Director to thank you for all the hard work you’ve done for us.

With Finimize Communities in 30 countries around the world, we’re going to need people just like Paul to lead their own cities. If you think you have what it takes, let us know.

 

📚 What we're reading

  • Facial recognition isn’t a safe bet (Newsroom)
  • A definitive breakdown of the 2010s’ worst wellness trend (Vice)
  • All Mariah wants for Christmas is royalties (CNN)
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