Your weekly COVID-19 update Every Tuesday, the Maclean's daily newsletter will catch you up on what you need to know about Canada's fight against the coronavirus. This week, Patricia Treble focuses on one story worth watching, and you can get a sneak peek here. You'll also get the same mix of Maclean's stories you expect every day if you scroll down below. On March 29, the Public Health Agency of Canada released modelling on how it thought the pandemic would evolve this spring. In particular, it, in conjunction with McMaster University, created a longer-range model of how cases could spike as the more transmissible variants of concern spread in the community. On April 12, Dr. Theresa Tam, Canada’s chief public health officer, updated the chart on Twitter by plotting recent days onto the older model , showing that the worst-case scenario was occurring just as forecast. And again yesterday, Tam warned that “stronger public health measures and strict adherence with individual precautions were needed to counter more transmissible COVID-19 variants.” On Monday, British Columbia reported another 3,289 cases for the past three days, giving the province a daily average of 1,129. It was one of four provinces that reported more than a thousand daily cases; Alberta reported 1,136; Quebec, 1,599; and Ontario, 4,744. On the same day, Toronto reported 1,296 cases for its three million people. The city’s chief medical officer, Dr. Eileen de Villa, estimates that the city is on track for 2,500 cases daily by the end of April if rates of transmission don’t come down. While the seven-day rolling average wave shows the last effects of a gap in reporting new data over the long Easter weekend by many jurisdictions, including Alberta, the smoother 14-day chart shows an ever-upward climb for all of Canada’s largest provinces. Alberta has the highest number of cases per capita at 245.3 per million population, followed by Ontario at 228.8 and British Columbia at 204.5. Those are rates far higher than the national rate of 189.7, which has increased for 38 consecutive days. READ MORE >> |