Baker Mayfield has taken his lumps in recent years, and he's deserved a lot of the criticism that has come his way. For a No. 1 pick, the guy who was supposed to turn the Browns franchise around, he just wasn't good enough. There's no way around that.

But, if you're talking about the biggest busts from the 2018 draft class, Mayfield hardly even enters the discussion. No matter what you want to say about Mayfield, it's unquestionable that he's been better than Sam Darnold, who went two picks after Mayfield to the Jets. It's fitting, then, that Mayfield's first chance to prove himself after he and Cleveland decided to part ways comes as Darnold's replacement in Carolina, after the two teams agreed to a trade Wednesday, with the Browns settling for a conditional fifth-round pick for their former No. 1 overall pick.

And, as Heath Cummings wrote in his reaction to the trade, it's just about a best-case scenario for everyone involved -- except, perhaps, the Browns, who ended up with little leverage in their attempts to move Mayfield after trading for Deshaun Watson, who could be suspended for upwards of a full season. 

For Mayfield, he gets to start fresh heading into a contract year with a quite talented group of pass catchers headlined, of course, by Christian McCaffrey and D.J. Moore. The Panthers, meanwhile, get a legitimate upgrade at the QB spot, something they've been looking for since Cam Newton's peak. Mayfield may not be the franchise QB they've been looking for, but it's hard to overstate just how much of an upgrade he figures to be over what the Panthers have gotten in recent years.

I've been publishing my 2022 team previews over the past few weeks with my projections, biggest questions, sleepers, breakouts, busts, and rankings from the Fantasy Football Today squad (who banged out an emergency podcast on what the Mayfield deal means in Fantasy) for every team, and you can check those out here . The Panthers were one of the first teams I got to, so obviously they needed a refresh in light of this news, so that's what today's newsletter is all about. Here's what I'm expecting from the Panthers in light of the Baker Mayfield trade.

The Panthers QB carousel took another turn as they acquired the disgruntled Baker Mayfield from the Browns a few weeks before training camp. And, unlike last year's attempt to turn Darnold into a starting-caliber quarterback, you don't really need to talk yourself into Mayfield being an upgrade: All he has to do is play like he has his entire career and he's almost certainly a significant upgrade over what the Panthers have had the past few years. Mayfield may not be a franchise QB, but he should be good enough to elevate this offense. 

Record: 5 - 12 (27)
PPG: 17.9 (29)
YPG: 298.9 (30)
Pass YPG: 190.5 (29)
Rush YPG: 108.4 (20)
PAPG: 35.2 (14)
RAPG: 26.8 (14)

QB: Sam Darnold QB27, Cam Newton* QB36
RB: Chuba Hubbard RB36, Christian McCaffrey RB39
WR: D.J. Moore WR17, Robby Anderson WR49
TE: Tommy Tremble TE47
*No longer with team

That was Mayfield's yards per attempt in 2021, a season pretty much everyone agrees was an outright disaster. That Y/A was good for a full yard better than Darnold's last season. Of course, Mayfield earned the criticism he got last season, as he struggled to hit open receivers -- just ask Odell Beckham's dad -- saw his mechanics break down at the slightest hint of pressure, and ultimately had a 3.1% interception rate, the fifth-worst mark in the league.

Of course, even that interception rate was an improvement on what Darnold gave the Panthers, which just goes to underscore how bad he was. And how easy it would be for Mayfield to provide an upgrade, even if he isn't particularly good in his own right. Since they entered the league together in the 2018 draft as top-three picks, here's how Mayfield and Darnold stack up:

Sam Darnold

• Record: 17-32 (50 games total)
• Passing: 972 for 1,265 (59.8%), 10,624 yards, 54 TD, 52 INT, 6.5 yards/att, 76.9 passer rating
• Rushing: 162 attempts, 639 yards, 10 TDs, 3.9 yards/att

Baker Mayfield

• Record: 29-30 (60 games total)
• Passing: 1,185 for 1,924 (61.6%), 14,125 yards, 92 TD, 56 INT, 7.3 yards/att, 87.8 passer rating
• Rushing: 158 attempts, 571 yards, 5 TDs, 3.6 yards/att

In just about every way that matters, Mayfield has been a better player than Darnold, typically much better. That's good news for the pass-catchers here, especially D.J. Moore, who has been held back by bad QB play pretty much his entire career. The Panthers have had one season in Moore's four in the league with more than 17 touchdown passes, and their overall touchdown rate in that time is just 3.2% -- Mayfield's is 4.8% for his career. 

Mayfield is coming off surgery on his non-throwing shoulder this offseason, but all indications are he's healthy enough to be cleared for training camp, so he should get plenty of time to get up to speed. If he's just the guy he has been for his entire career, this represents a likely significant upgrade for the Panthers, and could help lead to a breakout season for Moore, who probably just needs better touchdown results to be a No. 1 WR. And Robby Anderson has some sleeper appeal now -- remember, he was WR20 in 2020 despite poor QB play. 

1. (6) Ikem Ekwonu, T
3. (94) Matt Corral, QB
4. (120) Brandon Smith, LB
6. (189) Amare Barno, DE
6. (199) Cade Mays, OL
7. (242) Kalon Barnes, CB

S Xavier Woods, RB D'Onta Foreman, WR Rashard Higgins, OL Austin Corbett, OL Bradley Bozeman

LB Haason Reddick, DT DaQuan Jones, QB Cam Newton, CB Stephon Gilmore

65 carries, 60 RB targets, 39 WR targets, 11 TE targets 

QB Baker Mayfield
Jamey Eisenberg: QB32
Dave Richard: NR
Heath Cummings: NR
Chris Towers: QB27

RB Christian McCaffrey
Jamey Eisenberg: RB2
Dave Richard: RB5
Heath Cummings: RB3
Chris Towers: RB1

RB D'Onta Foreman
Jamey Eisenberg: RB55
Dave Richard: RB47
Heath Cummings: RB53
Chris Towers: RB53

WR D.J. Moore
Jamey Eisenberg: WR15
Dave Richard: WR18
Heath Cummings: WR15
Chris Towers: WR12

WR Robby Anderson
Jamey Eisenberg: NR
Dave Richard: NR
Heath Cummings: NR
Chris Towers: WR50

TE Tommy Tremble
Jamey Eisenberg: NR
Dave Richard: NR
Heath Cummings: NR
Chris Towers: TE31

QB Baker Mayfield
PA: 594, YD: 4160, TD: 25, INT: 15
RUSH -- ATT: 45, YD: 182, TD: 3

RB Christian McCaffrey
CAR: 273, YD: 1173, TD: 11
TAR: 113, REC: 96, YD: 890, TD: 4

RB D'Onta Foreman
CAR: 136, YD: 545, TD: 5
TAR: 18, REC: 15, YD: 117, TD: 1

WR D.J. Moore
TAR: 155, REC: 93, YD: 1155, TD: 7

WR Robby Anderson
TAR: 110, REC: 60, YD: 838, TD: 5

WR Terrace Marshall Jr.
TAR: 82, REC: 49, YD: 642, TD: 3

TE Tommy Tremble
TAR: 59, REC: 37, YD: 334, TD: 3

What does Christian McCaffrey's role look like?

At his best, there's no player in Fantasy who can do what McCaffrey does. However, after playing just 10 games over the past two seasons, it's fair to wonder if he'll still have the opportunity to be the best player in Fantasy. The Panthers are heavily invested in McCaffrey, so they might decide it's in their best interests to limit his work -- another 400-touch season a la 2019 seems pretty unlikely. If D'Onta Foreman cuts into his carries, McCaffrey could still be the No. 1 RB with his passing game role, but the injury history will be enough to scare off most with the No. 1 pick.

Robby Anderson -- Anderson was such a pleasant surprise in 2020, emerging as arguably the team's No. 1 wide receiver after showing flashes primarily as a deep threat with the Jets. However, he just never got going in 2021, and it's hard not to argue that he was held back significantly by the miserable state of QB play in Carolina. Mayfield hasn't been a world-beater as a deep passer, but it cannot be said enough just how much of an upgrade over Darnold he is likely to be. I'll be looking for Anderson as a bounce-back candidate in the later rounds.  

D.J. Moore -- You may be asking, not unfairly, how long we can continue to give Moore credit for breakout potential. After all, he has seemingly settled in as a dependable, low-ceiling play, with between 1,157 and 1,193 yards in three straight seasons. I'll just point out that he's done that while being asked to fill a variety of roles -- as both a typical, go-to No. 1 WR in 2021 and  as a more downfield-oriented big-play option in 2020 -- and with arguably the worst QB play in the league. Moore has a solid floor as a No. 2 WR, but he's also still just 25 and has room to grow into a legit No. 1 for Fantasy if the QB play improves. I think Mayfield is enough to get him there. For all of the talk of Moore's inability to find the end zone, his 2.9% touchdown rate over the past three seasons is actually better than the team's 2.6% overall rate. Mayfield's career rate? 4.8%. 

Christian McCaffrey -- I don't think McCaffrey is going to bust, but that's mostly because I'm not particularly confident in my ability to predict injuries. The sheer number of maladies he's dealt with over the past few seasons -- he's played just 10 of 33 games while dealing with shoulder, hamstring, and ankle issues -- make him seem pretty risky, obviously. And, while I don't think those injuries are as likely to recur as, say, Derrick Henry's surgically repaired broken foot, I can't exactly say that with a ton of confidence.

I'm willing to draft McCaffrey as early as the No. 1 pick, but that's because I believe his upside remains significantly higher than any other player. But, if you're the type who doesn't want to bet on injury-prone players, he's an obvious bust candidate. I can't exactly argue against it.