Accenture's results impressed | The UK's rates kept on climbing |

Hi John, here's what you need to know for June 23rd in 3:13 minutes.

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Today's big stories

  1. Tech consulting giant Accenture announced some unexpectedly sunny quarterly results, as it embarks on its AI revolution
  2. Here’s why paying off all your debt could put the economy in trouble – Read Now
  3. The Bank of England raised interest rates, piling up the pressure on millions of homeowners

AI-ccenture

AI-ccenture

What’s going on here?

Accenture, the American tech consulting (and soon-to-be AI) behemoth, announced some unexpectedly strong quarterly earnings on Thursday.

What does this mean?

Accenture earns its crust by offering brains-for-hire to firms planning major system revamps, and over time it’s evolved into a top-tier adviser for cutting-edge tech endeavors. So with mega-trends like cloud computing still flying high, and corporate clients almost universally gung ho about artificial intelligence, it wasn’t a total surprise that the firm’s quarterly revenue and profit swept past analysts’ forecasts. With just one quarter of its financial year left to go, then, Accenture was able to fine-tune its earnings prediction for the rest of the year, which wound up looking brighter than before.

Why should I care?

The bigger picture: Another AI play.

Accenture announced this month that it’ll invest $3 billion – roughly half of its cash reserves – in AI. So over the next three years, the company’s game plan is to recruit hotshots in the field and develop new solutions for clients. If that gambit works, Accenture’s “bookings” – a yardstick investors use to forecast future revenue – could get a serious lift from clients keen on its AI offerings. After all, there’s probably a serious high-tech skills war brewing right now: if Accenture can snag the top talent, it might become more of a money-making machine for shareholders.

For markets: Remember the cost cycle, not just the revenue cycle.

Investors are all abuzz about AI’s revenue potential, but they might be forgetting to take stock of the cost factor. Take Microsoft: it’s pegged as an AI victor, but it hasn’t detailed the capital costs its robo-jaunts involve (think servers and equipment). And Accenture? Well, despite being a low-capital-expenditure people business, its AI expansion could squeeze profit margins. So, while the attention-grabbing tech might be a revenue bonanza, remember: firms have to shell out on pickaxes before they can hope to strike gold.

You might also like: How to play the AI opportunity.

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Analyst Take

The Very Real Threat Of A “Balance Sheet Recession”

The Very Real Threat Of A “Balance Sheet Recession”

This week’s big concern is how rising UK mortgages will eventually bite into consumer spending.

And it's not a million miles away from the talk about a possible “balance sheet recession” taking shape in China.

See, that’s the kind of recession that can happen when people and companies start to prioritize paying off debt over spending or investing.

And all that belt-tightening can spark a broad economic slowdown.

That’s today’s Insight: how to deal with the balance sheet recession risks brewing on the horizon.

Read or listen to the Insight here

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Bang Of England

Bang Of England

What’s going on here?

The Bank of England (BoE) announced a bigger-than-expected interest rate hike on Thursday, raining more pain onto Brits on the housing ladder.

What does this mean?

Fresh data out on Wednesday showed that the UK’s “core inflation” (that’s the price of goods and services, minus roller-coaster sectors like food and energy) shot to 7.1% last month, the highest level in 30 years. So the BoE decided to try and slam on the brakes by cranking up the “base rate”, which sets the tone for the rest of the country’s interest rates, from 4.5% to 5%. That jump, to the highest level since 2008, was double what economists had expected. And the kicker: investors now reckon we’re heading for at least a 6% base rate by year’s end. With Bloomberg Economics saying a 6% interest rate would trigger a UK recession, the country looks caught between an economic rock and an inflationary hard place.

Why should I care?

For you personally: Hit after hit for homeowners.

Around 40% of British mortgage holders either have a variable interest rate, which will increase quickly with central bank rates, or a two-year fixed rate, which will jump up soon enough. Case in point: around 1.6 million fixed-rate mortgages due for an update in 2024, meaning these ever-climbing rates will see millions of Brits paying more every month – an unwelcome squeeze that’ll pinch cash-strapped households even tighter.

For markets: No good deed will go unpunished.

The UK government isn’t planning any extra help for mortgage holders just yet. But if things do get worse and it eventually steps in, it’ll likely lead to even more government borrowing, with high-interest-rate repayments weighing on the economy. The relief for households, meanwhile, could stoke the fires of inflation all over again, and push interest rates higher still. In short, any well-intended short-term relief could end up making the bigger picture look even grimmer.

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💬 Quote of the day

"I've learned that you can tell a lot about a person by the way (s)he handles these three things: a rainy day, lost luggage, and tangled Christmas tree lights."

– Maya Angelou (an American poet, singer, memoirist, and civil rights activist)
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See, the Covey Legends app is bringing the top 1%’s strategies out into the open, making investing know-how more transparent than before with The Legends portfolio

If you want to explore co-trading, you could invest with The Legends here.

Disclaimer
Available to U.S. residents only. Covey Advisors LLC is an investment adviser registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. The performance of the Covey Legends Portfolio shown is hypothetical and does not reflect trading in actual client accounts by Covey Advisors. Performance is from the inception of the portfolio, Jan 2, 2022, through June 9, 2023. See coveylegends.io/disclosure for more.

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🤔 Q&A · RE: Shut Up And Drive

"With electric vehicle sales growing so quickly, what’s going to happen to Tesla’s market share?”

From Katherine in Malaga, Spain

"Well, Katherine, if only we had a crystal ball! Predicting the future is always a bit of a gamble – but we can take a peek at some educated guesses. Bank of America, for instance, has done some number crunching. They reckon that Tesla’s slice of the EV pie in the US will shrink to 18% in 2026, down from 62% last year. But here's the twist: EVs are set to claim a bigger chunk of the overall car market. So, even with a smaller slice, Tesla’s share of the total car market could actually grow to 4.7% in 2026, up from 3.4% last year."

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All events in UK time.
🔥 Co-Trading: A New Way To Beat The Market: 5pm, June 26th
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🎯 On Our Radar

1. Battle of the billionaires. Elon Musk and Mark Zuckerberg have agreed to face off in a cage fight.

2. Orca attacks might be spreading. A boat’s been rammed off the UK now too.

3. A $64,000 gaming bill. This is why you should be wary of kids using paid mobile games.

4. Wolverine returns. The ferocious animal was spotted in California for only the second time in a century. 

5. Skip those pointless meetings. Here are five easy ways to avoid time-wasting meetings and calls.

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