Big Oil's profit keeps getting bigger | Volkswagen's spluttering and stalling |

Hi John, here's what you need to know for October 31st in 3:11 minutes.

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Today's big stories

  1. Oil giants Exxon Mobil and Chevron reported hulking profit for the quarter
  2. There might be a new worldwide hub for crypto, and it could surprise you – Read Now
  3. Volkswagen reported worse-than-expected results, and Porsche cruised ahead only a month after going public

All Pumped Up

All Pumped Up

What’s Going On Here?

Big Oil’s only getting bigger: Exxon Mobil and Chevron reported staggering results on Friday.

What Does This Mean?

Exxon and Chevron are the latest big energy firms to report piled-up profit this year. Exxon, for starters, boasted its strongest quarter in its 152-year history. The oil and gas behemoth’s earnings nearly tripled from the same time last year to hit a more-than-expected $20 billion, pumped up by extra production and bumper natural gas prices. Chevron’s results weren’t too shabby either: it almost doubled its profit to hit the $11-billion mark, just shy of the record earnings it made the quarter before. Investors celebrated by sending the two companies’ shares higher on Friday, meaning both stocks have now outperformed the wider market by over 70% this year.

Why Should I Care?

The bigger picture: Mo money, mo problems.
Exxon’s shareholders will be seeing green, despite their tolerance for dirty fuel: the firm’s increasing its dividend by 3%, which – when layered on top of its $15 billion-a-year share buyback program – means shareholders should see an immense $30 billion cash back this year. But the US president might have something to say about that: he recently accused Exxon of making “more money than God”, and wants the firm (and its heavy-hitting rivals) to invest more in production, which should lower prices at the pump. He might have a point: Exxon’s long-term spending is locked just short of $23 billion a year, 30% below its pre-Covid levels.

For markets: Big Tech’s old news.
Big Tech will be watching Big Oil with envy: tech giants have held the S&P 500’s top spots for the past decade, but their worse-than-impressive earnings have shaken up the seating chart. Exxon, for one, has overtaken Meta’s market value and is back in the index’s top ten stocks for the first time since 2019. After all, Exxon’s predicted to make over $50 billion in profit this year, more than Amazon and Meta combined (tweet this).

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Analyst Take

Is the UK About To Become The World's No. 1 Crypto Hub?

Is the UK About To Become The World's No. 1 Crypto Hub?

By Jonathan Hobbs, Analyst

Rishi Sunak, the UK’s newly seated prime minister, has said he’d like to see the fifth-biggest economy become the world’s crypto hub.

So it’s not surprising that there’s a lot of speculation about whether that’s actually about to happen.

The idea is that he might push to legitimately regulate crypto assets – a move that would lend new credibility to the industry, and bring new investors into the fold.

So that’s today’s Insight: is Britain poised to become the world’s crypto hub?

Read or listen to the Insight here

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Volkswagen’s Bugging

Volkswagen’s Bugging

What’s Going On Here?

Volkswagen (VW) reported worse-than-expected results on Friday, while newly public Porsche showed its former parent how it’s done.

What Does This Mean?

VW made €4.3 billion ($4.3 billion) in operating profit last quarter, 65% more than the same time last year – despite the carmaker allotting €1.6 billion to cover one-off charges after halting Russian activities and listing Porsche. But that comes with a few caveats: chip shortages stunted last year’s sales, making that impressive uptick a little less impressive. And even then, that lower-than-expected 65% growth still leaves the firm’s operating profit below pre-pandemic levels.

That chip shortage has let up this year, but it’s far from over. Mix in ongoing supply chain delays that VW sees sticking around, and that toxic twosome pushed the firm to lower this year's delivery targets. The carmaker now expects 2022 deliveries to match last year’s, a disappointing downgrade from its previously forecast 5 to 10% rise. Investors paid attention to caveats, and sent VW’s shares down 2% after the news.

Why Should I Care?

Zooming in: The student becomes the teacher.
Porsche also reported results on Friday, after VW listed it on the stock market just last month. The luxury carmaker made 41% more operating profit during the first nine months of this year versus the same time last year, and ballooned its operating profit margin by over three percentage points too. Luxury brands find it easier to pass rising costs onto their generally affluent customers, after all, and that nifty trick might have played a part in helping Porsche steal the title of Europe's most valuable carmaker from VW earlier this month.

The bigger picture: Future focused.
The European Union (EU) reached a deal last week to effectively ban sales of combustion-engine cars from 2035, which – given the EU’s reputation for setting standards globally – will impact carmakers around the world. But VW’s already on it, having previously said it’ll stop selling combustion-engine cars in Europe sometime between 2033 and 2035.

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💬 Quote of the day

“Life is largely a matter of expectation.”

– Horace (an ancient Roman poet)
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CHART OF THE WEEK

You’re not seeing things: Qatar really did spend a gargantuan $220 billion to host this year’s World Cup. That’s about twenty times the nearly $12 billion Russia spent in 2018 – way to show up the competition.

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🥳 Coming Up This Week…

All events in UK time.

🇨🇳 What You Need To Know About Investing In China: 5pm, October 31st
🎨 How To Buy And Sell NFTs: 6pm November 1st
🤑 Asset Allocation For Young Investors: 5pm, November 2nd
🙋‍♀️ Ladies Investing Club Meet Up: 6.30pm, November 2nd (in person)
😎 How To Build A Portfolio Ready For The Next Decade: 1pm, November 3rd

👀 And After That…

💰 Strategies For Market Volatility: 1pm, November 8th
🔧 Tools Value Investors Use For Turbulent Times: 6pm, November 10th
🌍 How To Build An Eco-Friendly Crypto Portfolio: 1pm, November 14th
3️⃣ Three Investment Themes You Need To Know Now: 5pm, November 16th
🚀 Modern Investor Summit: 12pm, December 6th – 7th

🎯 On Our Radar

  1. Silver-tongued. Political persuasion can be more than smooth talking.
  2. C-ing is believing. The iPhone’s finally getting a USB-C port.
  3. You’ll never be called fake again. This luxe resale platform can tell the knock-offs from the real stuff.
  4. Influencers mean business. Go inside the weird world of LinkedIn creators.
  5. There might be a Rolex in your future. Luxury watches are going (relatively) cheap right now.
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