Meta, Microsoft, and Telsa were.... there, ASML smashed through expectations, and we entered the Year of the Snake |
Finimize

Hi John, here's what you need to know for January 30th in 3:13 minutes.

  1. Microsoft, Meta, and Tesla were first up to bat for Big Tech, but their earnings were far from a home run
  2. What your US stock returns could look like over the next ten years – Read Now
  3. ASML reported order numbers that towered over analysts’ predictions, so investors thought the stock deserved a leg-up

🧐 You usually need your wits about you to tell fact from fiction on the internet. But you can give them a break next week: join this free event series and discover an unbiased, quantitatively measured ranking of investment trusts. Register for the free events

Three’s A Crowd
Three’s A Crowd

What’s going on here?

Microsoft, Meta, and Tesla all reported mixed results, but hey – at least they have each other to lean on.

What does this mean?

Microsoft might’ve surpassed revenue expectations, but its closely watched cloud business picked up by less than hoped last quarter. That could indicate that the firm’s AI strategy isn’t quite unfolding as planned. And Meta brought a mixed bag to the boardroom table, too. The firm beat expectations on both revenue and profit, but it’s anticipating sales to slow down this quarter and expenses to pick up faster this year than last. Still, Tesla will probably make the twosome feel better. The EV titan’s revenue and profit both missed expectations, and this quarter’s projections are a serious downgrade compared to last. But at least the future bar’s been lowered to more achievable levels.

Why should I care?

For you personally: The price is… getting better.

Alibaba chimed in on Wednesday, too, revealing new stats for its latest AI model. The Chinese ecommerce giant touted its latest and greatest as a world leader, citing scores from various tasks that beat what Meta and DeepSeek can do. But rankings aside, with technology labs determined to be the smartest and cheapest, everyday users – like you – should stand to bag increasingly savvy tools for less and less.

The bigger picture: Rates, rates, go away.

Interest rates have kept investors on edge. At nearly 5% in the US, they’re high enough to squeeze companies’ future cash flows, threaten to slow the economy, and make it more appealing to hold cash. And despite many hoping the Federal Reserve would loosen its grip, Wednesday’s meeting offered no such relief. The central bank said interest rates still needed time to bring inflation totally under control, so it’s keeping them steady for now. But, in a sliver of good news, there was no mention of hiking rates either.

Copy to share story: https://app.finimize.com/content/threes-a-crowd

🙋 Ask a question

TODAY'S INSIGHT

Here’s What To Expect From S&P 500 Returns Over The Next Decade

Stéphane Renevier, CFA

Here’s What To Expect From S&P 500 Returns Over The Next Decade

The past decade made investing look easy13% returns per year from the S&P 500, no questions asked.

But the next ten years are shaping up to be a whole different story, and if you’re betting on another blockbuster decade, you might be in for a nasty (and costly) surprise.

See, even if you make some pretty optimistic assumptions, US stocks are likely to return a mere 5% per year. What’s worse, the risks are tilted to the downside.

So this is a good time for a gut check. Let me break down how things have changed now and what it means for your portfolio.

That’s today’s Research Drop: what to expect from the S&P 500 over the next decade.

Read or listen to the Research here

* SPONSORED BY KEPLER PARTNERS

See an unbiased ranking of the year’s top active funds

You can’t trust everything you see online – especially when your money is on the line.

See, even trusted ratings of investment funds and opportunities can be influenced by marketing budgets, trust size, skewed metrics, lagging indicators, and plain old unconscious bias. 

That’s why Kepler Trust Intelligence compiles its own annual ranking. Free of any commercial influence, the publication screens trusts based on a purely quantitative, fully transparent method

Investors, listen up: this is your chance to see a straightforward grading of income and growth stock market opportunities, with major asset managers treated the same as small boutiques. 

Kepler’s hosting free events next week, hosted by representatives from some of this year’s winning trusts: register here to see the numbers and rankings laid bare.

Find Out More

When you support our sponsors, you support us. Thanks for that.

If you want your brand featured here, get in touch.

Chips Ahoy!
Chips Ahoy!

What’s going on here?

Investors went sweet on ASML on Wednesday, treating the stock to its best day since 2020 after the European semiconductor firm handed out far better-than-expected results.

What does this mean?

Orders for ASML’s “EUV” machines – the ultra-precise tools that help print the tiniest, most powerful circuits onto AI chips – hit €3 billion last quarter, pushing the firm’s total bookings to nearly double what analysts predicted. That suggests its customers – including behemoth TSMC – are still rushing to produce all-important AI chips. But that’s not to say ASML is without challenges: the broader chip market seems sluggish, China’s economy leaves much to be desired, and major clients like Samsung and Intel are anticipating production hold-ups down the line. So while investors were impressed enough to send ASML’s shares 12% higher, that only bumped the stock back to where it was last week – before DeepSeek’s App Store takeover prompted a tech selloff.

Why should I care?

For markets: ASML spies opportunity – and it doesn’t matter where from.

DeepSeek’s latest model claims to challenge America’s best, and the Chinese tech was trained at a fraction of the price. That news might’ve shaken global investors’ confidence, but ASML still seems sure of itself. The logic: if AI tools get cheaper, businesses and individuals would be more inclined to buy them – and to keep up with higher sales, chipmakers would need to head straight to the likes of ASML.

The bigger picture: Europe has magnificent qualities, too.

While the US boasts the Magnificent Seven, Europe has the GRANOLAS: GSK, Roche, ASML, Nestlé, Novartis, L’Oréal, LVMH, AstraZeneca, and SAP. And they’ve managed to keep pace with the S&P 500 over the years. Major European companies like these might not be as buzzy as their US peers, but they do tend to compensate by trading for less. And with SAP’s recent strong results and ASML’s AI-fueled sales, the region can claim innovation to boot.

Copy to share story: https://app.finimize.com/content/chips-ahoy

🙋 Ask a question

QUOTE OF THE DAY

"There cannot be a crisis next week. My schedule is already full."

– Henry Kissinger (an American diplomat and political scientist)
Tweet this

You, us, and 20,000 pieces of the industry’s most engaging content

Not to assume anything here, but it seems you like us.

You’re checking us out on an almost daily basis, taking us in from head to toe. (Don’t worry, the feeling’s mutual. Nice shirt, by the way.)

But let’s not keep this exclusive: your audience might fancy getting involved, too. After all, our content pulls in 70% more engagement than the industry average.

License our stuff, and you can get your users access to 20,000-plus pieces of content a year, produced by our expert analysts who cut their teeth at leading investment banks and financial institutions.

Plus, it’s eight times cheaper than making your own version in-house.

Bear this little stat in mind, too: financially educated customers are half as likely to switch services.

There’s no reason to play it cool anymore. Start your free trial today, no strings attached.

Get In Touch

🎯 On Our Radar

1. Picture that. Imagine life without your mind’s eye.

2. Talk about being “in the money”. Get the lingo down before you trade options.*

3. Welcome to the Year of the Snake. Google’s celebrating – and not by acting slippery and insidious.

4. Like Google maps, but for technical ETFs. Direxion's guide to trading leveraged and inverse ETFs is live.*

5. Ready, set, write. Journaling is touted as a mental health hack… If you keep at it.

When you support our sponsors, you support us. Thanks for that.

🌍 Finimize Live

🤩 Grab your tickets...

(All events in UK time)

🔮 Unlock The Power Of ISAs: 5pm, February 4th

🤖 Investing Beyond AI: 5pm, February 24th

🚀 The Rise Of Cryptocurrency: 5pm, March 24th

Thanks for reading John. If you liked today’s brief, we’d love for you to share it with a friend – here’s a link: Share this email

You stay classy, John 😉

Any thoughts on today’s email? Give feedback

Want to advertise with us? Get in touch

Image credits: Midjourney | Midjourney

Preferences:

Update your email or change preferences

View in browser

Unsubscribe from all Finimize Emails

Crafted by Finimize Ltd. | 280 Bishopsgate, London, EC2M 4AG

All content provided by Finimize Ltd. is for informational and educational purposes only and is not meant to represent trade or investment recommendations. You signed up to this mailing list at finimize.com or through one of our partners. © Finimize 2024

View Online

When you support our sponsors, you support us. Thanks for that.