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The latest moves in crypto markets, in context Edited by Omkar Godbole October 7, 2021 Sponsored by Bitcoin (BTC) +5.3% $54,160 Ether (ETH) +5.3% $3,580 (Price data as of October 7 @ 11:15 UTC) If you were forwarded this newsletter and would like to receive it, sign up here.
Good morning, and welcome to First Mover. Here's what's happening this morning: Market Moves: Europe's gasflation, a blessing for bitcoin And check out the CoinDesk TV show "First Mover," hosted by Christine Lee, Emily Parker and Lawrence Lewitinn at 9:00 a.m. U.S. Eastern time. Today's show will feature guests: Denelle Dixon, CEO and Executive Director of the Stellar Development Foundation Alex Holmes, Chairman and CEO of MoneyGram International Robert Rico, Head of Open Banking at API3 Don Roberts, CEO of Small Exchange. – Omkar Godbole
Biggest Movers These are the biggest movers in the CoinDesk 20 over the past 24 hours:
Gainers: Stellar (XLM): +14.2%Polkadot (DOT): +12.8% Bitcoin Cash (BCH): 9.5%Losers: Dogecoin (DOGE): -1.6% The CoinDesk 20 are 20 digital assets filtered from the larger universe of thousands of cryptocurrencies and constitute roughly 99% of the market by volume at eight of the largest and most trustworthy exchanges.
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Market Moves by Omkar Godbole Crypto markets are a sea of green, with dogecoin rival Shiba Inu leading the way higher with 44% gains. The cryptocurrency has chalked up 300% gains since Oct. 4. As a result, its market capitalization has increased to $13.2 billion - the 14th largest in the crypto market, per data source Messari.
According to blockchain analytics firm Santiment, SHIB's blockchain data shows extremely high active deposits, and the rally could lose some steam.
In traditional markets, the Dow futures are trading 235 points higher, courtesy of easing concerns of a potential U.S. debt default. The U.S. 10-year yield is steady above 1.5%. Renewed bullish momentum in equity markets could add to bolster bullish pressures around bitcoin. Europe's Gasflation, a Blessing for Bitcoin? Bitcoin's bullish case continues to strengthen as inflation expectations in Europe, the world's largest cryptocurrency market, are surging, thanks to record gas and electricity prices.
The U.K.'s 10-year breakeven rate, a market-based measure of expected price pressures over the next decade, rose to 4% on Wednesday – twice the target of Bank of England's annual goal of 2%.
As of Wednesday, the European natural gas prices were trading at EUR 150 megawatt per hour, up 50% in two days and 630% since the start of this year versus bitcoin's 87% gain, as noted by Bloomberg's Helen Robertson.
Bitcoin is widely considered as inflation hedge like gold as a programmed code called mining reward halving reduces the pace of bitcoin's supply expansion by 50% every four years. Analysts told CoinDesk earlier this week that investors are buying the cryptocurrency as an inflation hedge amid the inflation scare.
The cryptocurrency has moved in tandem with the U.S. inflation expectations in the past, as seen in the chart below. Chart showing tight correlation between bitcoin and U.S. 10-year breakeven rate (Source: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis) States-side investors are also beginning to price in inflation scare. The 10-year U.S. breakeven rate rose to 2.45% on Tuesday, hitting the highest level since June.
Bitcoin's technical charts have flipped bullish after Wednesday's 7% gain, which breached the downtrend line connecting the April high of $64,801 and September highs near $52,000. Bitcoin's daily chart (Source: TradingView) The breakout is backed by a pickup in volumes and accumulation by so-called whales. Read the original story here: Bitcoin’s Technical Bias Flips Bullish as Price Climbs Above Descending Trendline
Technician's Take by Damanick Dantes, CMT Bull Grip Tightens on Bitcoin Bitcoin's (BTC) intermediate-term uptrend has improved over the past few months, which could keep buyers active toward the all-time high near $64,000. Bitcoin's daily chart with RSI (Source: TradingView, CoinDesk) The relative strength index (RSI) is the most overbought since September, which preceded a correction. However, a similar downturn is unlikely given strong upside momentum and a series of breakouts on the charts. Pullbacks could be limited given strong upside momentum. Read the original story here: Bitcoin Rally Holds Support Above $52K; Next Resistance Near All-Time High
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BOLO Be on the lookout for the following events today: 12:30 UTC (08:30 a.m. ET): U.S. Initial Jobless Claims (Oct. 1). Est: 350K 12:40 UTC (08:40 a.m. ET): Fed's Williams Speech 14:30 UTC (10:30 a.m. ET): U.S. Natural Gas Storage Change (Oct. 1)
ICYMI In case you missed it, here are the most recent episodes of "First Mover" on CoinDesk TV:
"First Mover" hosts dig into today's top stories: Bitcoin surging near $52K as SEC Chair Gary Gensler reiterates his agency has no plans to ban crypto, CoinDesk kicks off 2021 Bitcoin for Advisors Conference, and Origin Wealth Advisors Financial Planner Morgen Rochard gives her insights into the event and why financial advisors are advising clients to add crypto to their portfolios. Plus, Impact Theory Co-founder & CEO Tom Bilyeu explains the company's latest NFT collection as NFT becomes a mainstream gateway to crypto.
A Message from CoinDesk While the pandemic has stunted some industries, fintech development and adoption have accelerated. Join executives from across the financial and technology sectors at Accelerate Finance: Money in a Mobile World on Oct. 13 to understand what's next in tech and how consumer expectations are driving change. Register now.
Latest Headlines US FDIC Said to Be Studying Deposit Insurance for Stablecoins So-called passthrough coverage would insure the holders of these tokens against losses up to $250,000 if the bank holding the collateral were to fail. Gensler’s Crypto Testimony: 6 Key Takeaways FSB Says Adoption of Global Stablecoin Regulations Shows ‘Gaps’ and ‘Fragmentation’ The international body said its last year’s recommendations on global stablecoin regulation were still at an “early stage.” What the ‘Pandora Papers’ Mean for Bitcoin A new 2.94 terabyte data leak doxes tens of thousands of offshore accounts of prominent individuals including government officials, billionaires and more.Coinbase Likely to Top Q3 Trading, Revenue Estimates on Bitcoin Volatility: Oppenheimer There is an 18% potential upside to trading volume and an 11% upside to total revenue estimates, an analyst wrote Tuesday night. Swiss FlowBank to Open Crypto ‘Gateways’ Following $11.8M Investment from CoinShares The Nasdaq-listed digital asset manager said it was offering its expertise for the bank to start building atop its technology stack. Bitcoin Futures Premium on CME Surges, Hinting At Institutional Demand A futures-based ETF, if approved, could bring more buying pressure for the CME futures. Crypto Miners Hoarding Bitcoins as Price Surges Above $55K Riot Blockchain, Marathon Digital and Hut 8 have all been “hodling” the bitcoin they’ve mined in September.
Disclaimer: The information presented in this message is intended as a news item that provides a brief summary of various events and developments that affect, or that might in the future affect, the value of one or more of the cryptocurrencies described above. The information contained in this message, and any information liked through the items contained herein, is not intended to provide sufficient information to form the basis for an investment decision. The information presented herein is accurate only as of its date, and it was not prepared by a research analyst or other investment professional. You should seek additional information regarding the merits and risks of investing in any cryptocurrency before deciding to purchase or sell any such instruments.
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