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GM. This is Milk Road – the newsletter that just popped a mid-morning bottle of champagne. |
(Janice, if you’re reading this, I don’t care what the HR handbook says – what part of ‘Bitcoin just hit new all-time highs’ don’t you understand?) |
Here’s what we got for you today: |
✍️ Bitcoin hits all-time highs! ✍️ Stablecoins are eating the money supply 🎙️ The Milk Road Show: Bitcoin to $140k in June? 7 Charts That Back It Up w/ CryptoQuant Head of Research Julio Moreno 🍪 Hong Kong just did what the U.S. is still debating |
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$BTC HIT ALL-TIME HIGHS (CAN IT KEEP RUNNING?) 🏃♂️➡️ |
Bitcoin just hit a new all-time high (ATH) of $109,483.96! |
But something's off… usually ATHs come paired with: |
A Fear & Greed (F&G) Index that’s notched up to ‘Extreme Greed’ Funding rates that are telling us that ‘Markets are over-heated right now!’ A boom in mindshare outside of crypto (e.g. Uber drivers start giving crypto advice) |
But so far, this is what we’re seeing… |
1/ F&G is in the mid-range of ‘Greed’ |
Below 60 = Neutral. Above 80 = Extreme Greed. |
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2/ Funding rates are chill |
When funding rates move into the high positive region (0.05 – 0.08), it indicates that there’s an excess of leverage (loans) in the system and the risk of a pullback is increased… |
But right now, we’re sitting pretty at 0.005. |
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3/ Google search volume for Bitcoin is still in the gutter |
Yuh. Still no significant change from last Wednesday. Bitcoin’s search interest is still stupidly low, given its price. |
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Here’s why all of this is actually a good thing: |
As we said this time last week – the market could still turn from here… |
But if it decides it wants to keep running, it still has room to do so: |
Greed isn’t overblown, markets aren’t overheated with leverage (loans), and broad interest in $BTC isn’t saturated by any means. |
Our technical analysis: |
Hell yeah! (Higher.) |
P.S. Remember when everyone was freaking out a month ago, saying Bitcoin was about to implode – but all of us Roadies collectively kept our cool? |
Give yourselves a well-deserved pat on the back. |
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STABLECOINS ARE EATING UP THE U.S.’ MONEY SUPPLY 🍽️ |
We’ve said it once, we’ll say it again: stablecoins = crypto’s killer use case. |
For example, this just happened: |
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Minting = an expectation of future demand. Demand that’s likely only going to continue growing. |
The crazy part? The ‘big-dogs’ (institutions) haven’t even entered the sector yet… at least not in any meaningful way. |
But that’s quickly changing, thanks to the following: |
1/ Stablecoins vs. M2 Money Supply |
The amount of money held in cash, checking/savings deposits, time deposits, and retail money market mutual funds is called ‘M2’ – so when you hear M2, think: ‘US dollar supply’. |
Now, get this… 👇 |
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2/ The Genius Act is progressing |
The Genius Act would set regulatory guidelines designed to support the growth/proliferation of stablecoins in the US – and yesterday, the US Senate voted to continue voting on it. |
(Translation: the bill ain’t dead, as some had feared!) |
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3/ Stablecoin issuers = Top Gainers |
That forward movement on the Genius Act may seem like a nothing burger on the surface – but it seems to have had a tangible effect on the stablecoin market. |
4 of the top 7 gainers yesterday were issuers of yield-bearing stablecoins (i.e. stablecoins that pay users interest simply for holding them.) 👇 |
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So, to recap: |
Stablecoins are gobbling up M2 supply and regulatory clarity is on the horizon… |
But the biggest carrot of them all? |
If you’re an issuer, stablecoins can absolutely print cash for you! (Tether made $13B in net profit last year.) |
If that’s not incentive enough for the big-dogs to ape into the stablecoin space, we don’t know what is. |
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“$ETH IS STILL UNDERVALUED” – CRYPTOQUANT |
CryptoQuant = the onchain analytics provider whose insights always stop us scrolling on X. |
And on today's episode of The Milk Road Show, we’re joined by Julio Moreno, Head of Research at CryptoQuant! |
Here’s what we covered: |
Bitcoin demand post tariff scare $BTC price prediction within the next 1-2 months Why CryptoQuant believes Ethereum is undervalued |
Plus a whole lot more! Click below to watch it now. 👇 |
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YouTube | Spotify | Apple Podcasts |
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BITE-SIZED COOKIES FOR THE ROAD 🍪 |
Maple is shaking up onchain asset management. From lending to various yield products, Maple’s got a foothold everywhere.* |
Solana is launching a new token - $SKR! Looks like I might finally be diversifying my portfolio. |
Polymarket’s got the wildest bets. You can now bet on which New Orleans jailbreak inmate gets caught next. |
Hong Kong just did what the U.S. is still debating. They’ve officially passed their new bill to regulate stablecoins. |
Invest as you spend with the Gemini Credit Card®. Get approved by 6/30/25 to earn $200 in Bitcoin when you spend $3,000 in your first 90 days. Issued by WebBank. Terms apply.** |
*this is sponsored content. **this is partner content. |
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MILKY MEMES 🤣 |
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