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June 30, 2021
The original NFT:Rembrandt was an innovator not only in painting but also in commerce. He helped establish a full-fledged art market in seventeenth-century Amsterdam. Rembrandt’s obsession with the intricacies of the market system permeated his life and his work.

John McMillan, Reinventing the Bazaar
(From our Read and Grow Rich reading list)
Hi Everyone,

As part of the lessons learned from the global financial crisis, regulators from around the world set up a special committee to figure out what went wrong and how it can be avoided in the future.

The main result of this became known as the Basel Accords, part of which will go into affect tomorrow with rather interesting implications for markets.
The Net Stable Funding Ratio, or NSFR, not to be confused with NSFW, creates a great barrier between physical gold and paper-traded gold derivatives, regarding the level of risk they present and how financial institutions will need to treat them on their respective balance sheets.

Physical gold is of course a lot safer then the hypothecated stuff, and so it makes sense that it should be seen as lower risk.

The article linked above makes it very clear that this will likely have an effect on the price of gold, but stops way short of giving us a clue as to which direction it might move in.

Based on the input provided by experts, nobody really knows. Some people think it will drive demand for physical gold, as funds rush to replace paper for metals on their balance sheets.

However, others feel like it will constrain the market, making prices less fluid and stifling price discovery.

Of course, the smart ones are taking a wait-and-see approach.
The point

If you ask me, and if you're reading this I must assume that you are, the notion that regulators are intervening in this way is beyond ridiculous.

Investment firms pay loads of money to the smartest people on the planet to make sure that they are accurately hedging their own risk, and they don't need any sort of extremal committee to tell them what sort of gold they should hold on their balance sheets.

The global financial crisis wasn't caused by paper gold, nor even by banks mismanaging their risk. The banks most likely knew that if they ever got in more trouble than they could handle, the authorities would come and bail them out.

As a result, they were able to take ludicrous risks with other people's money, and when they lost, the banks would not pay a dime, which is exactly what happened.

Future economists will no doubt understand very well that in order to avert crisis, institutions need to be held accountable for the risks they take. Micromanaging said risks without that layer of accountability is nothing short of preposterous.

After all, government officials who tend to create these rules do not pay billions in bonuses for a deep understanding of financial risks, nor could they, even with an endless budget, attempt to comprehend all the intricacies of these organizations' respective balance sheets. 

So we can see that these rubber stamp officials are rather content offering gold as an experimental sacrificial lamb.

I wonder if the members of The Basel Committee on Banking Supervision truly understand that by taking this approach, they are giving a free pass to the actual culprits and very likely ensuring that what they seek to prevent will happen again soon.
Case in point

As I'm writing to you today, we just received headlines that Robinhood, the trading platform responsible for the January GameStop debacle, has been issued a fine of $70 million for harming millions of customers, $12.6 million of which will actually go to the customers themselves. This is apparently the highest-ever fine levied by FINRA. Really?

Well, you might think that their reputation with their customers is shot, and that must have impacted their valuation somehow...nope!

Last December, as Goldman Sachs worked on the Robinhood initial public offering (IPO), it was reported that this primary offering could be worth more than $20 billion

That number has now doubled, and they're planning for an IPO next month at a valuation of $40 billion. See what I mean?? Absolutely no accountability.

These days, financial institutions are literally incentivized to rip off their customers. Sorry for the rant. Feel free to pass it forward.

Have a good one!







Mati Greenspan
Analysis, Advisory, Money Management