Disney’s former CEO took the reins again | Buffett’s buying in Japan |

Hi John, here's what you need to know for November 22nd in 3:09 minutes.

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Today's big stories

  1. Berkshire Hathaway upped its stake in Japan’s biggest trading houses
  2. The world’s biggest hedge fund says we're yet to hit the bottom – Read Now
  3. Disney’s recently retired veteran made a dramatic return to the kingdom’s helm

Buffett’s Looking East

Buffett’s Looking East

What’s Going On Here?

Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway upped its stake in Japan’s five biggest trading houses, according to news out on Monday.

What Does This Mean?

Buffett sings the praises of American enterprise, but he’s not shy about looking further afield when things get pricey on home turf (tweet this). And lately the Far East seems to have caught his and Berkshire's eye with the firm pouring even more money into Japan’s mega trading firms, or “sogo shosha”, shortly after claiming a $5-billion chunk of Taiwanese chipmaker TSMC. And it looks like there’s more to come: when Berkshire picked up its original 5% stake in each firm back in August 2020, it hinted that there was room to buy up to 9.99%. That might be why the sogo shoshas’ stock prices inched higher when the latest news broke.

Why Should I Care?

Zooming out: Read between the lines.
You might not have Warren Buffett on speed dial, but you can get a sense of what he’s thinking without a one-on-one catch up: Berkshire’s bulked-up stakes in the Japanese trading firms could tell us something about Buffett’s views on inflation. After all, these businesses make money by importing, trading, and investing in all sorts of commodities, from oil to metals and textiles – and the more those materials cost, the bigger the firm’s profit. Reading between the lines, then, this move suggests Buffett could be betting on raw materials getting more expensive down the line.

The bigger picture: Benjamin Buffett.
It looks like the Oracle of Omaha is having a Benjamin Button moment, switching back to his youthful investing style at the twilight of his career. Buffett’s been the poster boy for “quality investing” for decades: that’s a safe, stable investment strategy that focuses on buying great businesses at fair prices. But recent moves – like his big buys in Occidental Petroleum and TSMC – have seen Buffett wade into riskier, more volatile industries, in a throwback to his early “one-last-cigar-puff” bargain-hunting days.

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Analyst Take

Bridgewater’s Still Waiting For The Stock Market Bottom

Bridgewater’s Still Waiting For The Stock Market Bottom
Photo of Stéphane Renevier

Stéphane Renevier, Analyst

Stocks have fallen, that’s for sure, but Bridgewater says we haven’t hit rock bottom yet.

The world’s biggest hedge fund has compared today’s conditions to previous inflation-driven bear markets, and it thinks things will get worse before they get better. 

I’ve broken down exactly why that is, and how you could invest if you agree with Bridgewater’s expectations.

So that’s today’s Insight: why Bridgewater thinks we’re yet to hit the bottom, and what needs to happen to get us there.

Read or listen to the Insight here

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Can’t Wait To Be King (Again)

Can’t Wait To Be King (Again)

What’s Going On Here?

Disney's former CEO Bob Iger confirmed his return to the kingdom’s throne in an email sent to Disney staff late on Sunday.

What Does This Mean?

Bob Chepak probably didn’t realize what a hospital pass he’d been thrown when he took the reins of Disney back in February 2020. The Covid-haunted months that followed forced Disney to shut theme parks, halt blockbuster releases, and watch Netflix gallop ahead in the streaming wars while the locked-down world binge-watched Tiger King. But even given those challenges, Disney seems to think Chepak fumbled the pass, and after two and a half years of his mixed performance, the entertainment titan has handed the throne to his predecessor Iger once more.

Why Should I Care?

Zooming in: Striking balance at the media empire.
Disney’s gone all-in on streaming since 2019, sparing no expense to woo customers to its fledgling Disney+ platform. And with a two-hundred-million subscriber count to boast about, you’d assume the gambit hit the mark. Well, not according to shareholders: they’re worried that Disney’s golden geese, like theme parks, could get slaughtered in order to fatten streaming numbers. So with Iger returning to the helm, they’ll be hoping to see a much more even keel from now on.

Zooming out: From kings to paupers.
Disney had it easy back in the pre-streaming days: content was king and media giants called the shots, dictating their fees to cable companies with a kind of unquestionable royal power. But everything changed when Netflix appeared on the scene and started toppling old favorites from their thrones. It’s no surprise, then, that the oldies eventually jumped on the streaming bandwagon. But since life outside the cozy cable bundle can be a lot more expensive and a lot less lucrative, many old media firms are facing a pretty uncertain future right now.

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💬 Quote of the day

“I’d rather be a failure at something I love than a success at something I hate.”

– George Burns (an American comedian)
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How To Successfully Invest In Dividend Stocks: 6pm, November 22nd
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