| | Today, we’ve got a special Deep Dive to share with you. | Deep Dives are teardowns of interesting companies. They’re designed to illuminate the pros & cons and help you with your investment research. | Today’s issue is on Zette, a startup which is bundling newspaper paywalls into a single subscription. Read the full issue here. |
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Hi everyone, |
Last month, we published an issue on the economics of media bundling. |
In that piece, we emphasized a crucial piece of information: Media is currently in the middle of a major consolidation phase. |
With a weak ad market, ugly margins, and AI looming large on the horizon, media giants are looking for new sources of cash in all sorts of places. |
Some are turning to bundles and paywalls to increase revenue. Others are pivoting towards live events. And as Americans may have noticed, sports media companies have thrown caution to the wind and fully embraced gambling. |
| US sports media has become very cozy with the sports betting companies. |
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Regardless of whether you’re someone who regularly pays for content, or someone who U-turns the minute they see a paywall, three things are clear: |
Paywalls aren’t going away anytime soon There is only so much paid content a person can be expected to subscribe to, and There is a huge, unmet need for news bundling
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Today, we’re looking at one of the most important, exciting media tech companies to come across our radar in the past year: Zette. |
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Zette is a single subscription that lets you unlock paywalls at hundreds of publications. |
Yes, this news bundling idea has been tried before, and yes, it has failed in the past. But times are much different now. |
They’re off to a terrific start, their early bird round is open to both accredited and non-accredited investors. |
Let’s find out more 👇 |
Newspapers are struggling |
It’s no secret that newspapers and magazines are struggling. |
In just the past few months, legacy publications like TIME, National Geographic, and the LA Times have cut jobs amid a persistent struggle to stay afloat. |
That’s on the back of an awful 2023, where publications like The Washington Post, NPR, and Vox all had layoffs. |
| In 2018, the 40+ Pulitzer Prize winning Los Angeles Times newspaper had to abandon the iconic Kaufmann Building, their historic home in the city Image: Jim Winstead |
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We all know why this happened. For decades, newspapers essentially had a monopoly on local advertising. The internet nuked all that. |
In 2003, weekday circulation for US dailies sat at 55 million and ad revenue was a healthy $45 billion per year. |
But just ten years later, circulation had dropped by 15 million readers and ad revenue had fallen by more than half. |
| US daily newspaper circulation has fallen to below 1940 levels — and that's without adjusting for the massive population growth since then. Image: Pew Research |
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And sure, newspapers have adapted to the online world, with half of all their ad revenue now coming from digital advertising. But digital advertising has its own problems (which I won’t get into here.) Suffice to say, it hasn’t done enough to stop the bleeding. |
The fundamental problem here is that newspapers now have to compete with social media and lean digital publications for eyeballs + ad revenue. |
In searching for a new economic model that actually works, paywalls seemed like a logical conclusion… |
Paywalls showed promise.. |
Print newspapers have pretty much always been “paywalled.” Even today, you have to pay for a copy of the New York Times, whether you get it delivered to your house or buy from a shop. |
So it’s kind of odd that newspapers took so long to implement digital paywalls – but the practice really only went mainstream in the mid-2010s. |
| Paywalls are so ubiquitous now that it’s hard to imagine an internet without them. But before 2010, the idea someone would actually pay to read stuff on the internet was a bit weird. |
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Today, paywalls are experiencing something of a renaissance. The rise of platforms like Substack and to a lesser degree, Memberful, prove that people are definitely willing to pay for written content. |
..but paywalls only work for heavy readers |
Here’s the real problem: paywalls only work for a very specific type of reader. |
Most publications have found paywalls ideal for bona fide fans, who read on a regular basis, and ineffective for everyone else. |
Think about it: If you encounter a random paywalled article online, how likely are you to pony up and read it? |
Exactly. Although you might want to read that specific content, you’re not necessarily a committed fan of the publication. |
These people are known as light readers, and paywalls aren’t a good fit for them at all: |
Paywalls usually unlock access to an entire publication’s archive. Why would light readers pay for all articles when they just want one? Paywalls usually come in the form of a subscription. Light readers don’t want to sign up for ongoing payments to content they don’t read regularly. Finally, light readers of one publication may be heavy readers of another — and there are only so many subscriptions you can manage before expenses start adding up.
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Unsurprisingly, paywalled articles have a bounce rate of (get ready...) 99.7%. |
| That’s right, for every thousand readers who encounter a paywall online, whether from Google, or Medium, or Substack, on average 997 of them click off immediately. |
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Substack is an especially interesting case, because when Substack started out, their goal was to create a “utopia” with no advertising (paywalls only). But recently, even Substack has been quietly experimenting with creating an ad network for their top writers — much like Beehiiv and ConvertKit have today. |
For mega media companies, paywall strategies are a double-edged sword. You capture more revenue from heavy readers, but you lose light readers, and organic web traffic. |
It’s not that light readers are totally unwilling to pay for what they’re reading – it’s just that the traditional paywall approach of paying for a bunch of different subscriptions isn’t the right model. |
Enter Zette. |
Zette: Bundling paywalls (what a concept!) |
Zette is solving the paywall problem with a fresh, sorely-needed approach. |
The idea is simple: Pay one monthly subscription and receive credits, which you use to unlock paywalled articles at hundreds of different publications. |
| Readers install a browser extension. When you see an article you want to unlock, just activate the extension and the paywall disappears. Boom. Works like a charm. |
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This is a huge improvement over ad-driven models |
Zette prices 30 credits at $9.99 per month, or .33 cents an article. On the back end, they target a 50/50 revenue split with publishers This is about 16.7 cents per article unlock. Estimates of the cost per thousand views (CPM) for digital ads is around $6.00. (This is just .06 cents per impression)
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So on a per-article basis, Zette is hundreds of times more lucrative for publishers than the traditional model. |
Having a single subscription has popular with users. Over 50,000 registered readers have already signed up. They’re on track to hit 1 million before next year. |
What publishers has Zette connected to? |
To date, Zette has signed on more than 100 publications, including prestigious outlets like Forbes and the New Scientist. |
| They are targeting several hundred more publications by 2025. Many partners are local newspapers like The Sacramento Bee or The Charlotte Gazette. |
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It might seem counterintuitive to target local newspapers first — shouldn’t you try to draw in bigger newspapers to provide the most value to readers? |
Here’s the thing: smaller newspapers are exactly the types of outlets that has lots of light readers. |
If you live in, say, Boston, you probably wouldn’t be willing to subscribe to a paper like The Miami Herald just to read an article about crypto. But every now and then, you might stumble across something really interesting. Zette to the rescue. |
Zette's success is predicated on BD |
Ultimately, Zette will only be as successful as the publications they partner with. |
The more quality publications they have, the stronger their product becomes. They are bound by nothing except their own ability to really sell their service. |
Investing in Zette is a bet that they’ll be able to continue bringing in names Big ones, too. I’m talking LA times, Boston Globe, Washington Post. |
| Do you happen to personally know Jeff Bezos? If so get in touch! |
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This is what will blast open the top of their funnel, keep the value prop high, and create a flywheel effect, where eventually publishers feel they have to partner with Zette if they want to generate revenue from light readers, not just heavy readers. |
Does Zette have competitors? |
So far, we’ve thrown around terms like “first” and “new” to describe Zette’s approach – but that’s not entirely accurate. |
Bundled access to media has been popular model for a while now, just not with print media. Think about it: We have Netflix for TV/movies, Spotify for music, and Kindle Unlimited for books. |
But this doesn't exist for newspapers, magazines, or newsletters! |
So has this been tried before? Why doesn’t Zette have competitors? |
It’s been tried before — but not like this |
There are actually a few other newspaper bundlers out there. Critically, though, all of them have either adopted a worse user experience or a worse payment model. |
Apple News+ |
Apple News+ is one of the most high-profile newspaper bundlers, offering readers access to stories from major publishers like TIME, The New Yorker, and The Wall Street Journal for $12.99 a month. |
| Image: Apple |
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Like Zette, Apple News+ is a subscription-based bundling service that pays publishers based on how many people read their articles. |
Unlike Zette, however, the service fails to actually solve the problem of paywalls since (in typical Apple fashion) you can only access News+ articles within the app. |
That means if you don’t have an Apple product, you can’t even use News+ |
But it also means that if you’re browsing online and stumble across a paywalled article you want to read, you’ll need to go to the News+ app and relocate the article first (using a search feature that’s been subject to a number of user complaints). Ugh. |
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That’s all for today. Did I miss anything? Smash the reply button to let me know. | Cheers, | Wyatt |
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Disclosures |
This issue was sponsored by Zette I have personally invested in Zette's early bird round. The ALTS 1 Fund holds no interest in any companies mentioned in this issue. This issue contains an affiliate link to Beehiiv
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This issue is a sponsored deep dive, meaning Alts has been paid to write an independent analysis of Zette and their associated markets. Zette has agreed to offer an unconstrained look at its business, offerings, and operations. Zette is also a sponsor of Alts, but our research is neutral and unbiased. This should not be considered financial, legal, tax, or investment advice, but rather an independent analysis to help readers make their own investment decisions. All opinions expressed here are ours, and ours alone. We hope you find it informative and fair. |
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