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Business Today
Business live
UK house prices forecast to rise 3% in 2024; oil prices back below $80
Live  
UK house prices forecast to rise 3% in 2024; oil prices back below $80
Oil prices nudge higher again; China’s central bank defies expectations of a cut and holds interest rates steady amid weaker currency
Headlines
Property  
UK prices on track to rise 3% in 2024, says leading agent
UK prices on track to rise 3% in 2024, says leading agent
Wealth  
World’s five richest men double their money as poorest get poorer
London Stock Exchange  
Six arrested over suspected plot to disrupt market
‘A sledgehammer to crack a nut’  
Readers voice fears at HMRC crackdown on ‘side-hustles’
Pharmaceuticals  
NHS medicines shortage putting lives at risk, pharmacists warn
Transport  
UK potholes and road defects have led to surge in callouts
Society  
UK faces a cost of dying crisis as funeral costs reach record high
Electric buses  
Oxford becomes UK’s capital as 159 vehicles join fleet
World Bank  
Red Sea crisis could shatter hopes of global economic recovery
Le Gavroche  
Michel Roux Jr to close doors for final time after 56 years
Today's agenda
Business and political leaders as well as key players from charities, academia and other organisations are heading to the annual World Economic Forum in the Swiss ski resort of Davos, which will be held under the shadow of global crises.

Over here, UK house prices are forecast to rise 3% this year, beating estimates of a decline, a leading estate agent has said, amid a mortgage pricing war and expectations of Bank of England interest rate cuts.

The surge in oil prices on Friday following US and UK airstrikes against Houthi rebel sites in Yemen was short lived. Houthi rebel attacks on ships in the Red Sea have fuelled fears over disruption to trade.

Brent crude, which rose above $80 last week, is back at $78.32 a barrel this morning while US crude is at $72.63 a barrel.

Ipek Ozkardeskaya, senior analyst at Swissquote Bank, said: "Friday’s producer price inflation came as a certain relief to inflation worries as the latest data showed an unexpected contraction in the monthly figure. The jump in oil prices, following the US and UK airstrikes in areas in Yemen controlled by the Houthis, which sent the barrel of American crude to past the $75 per barrel level, didn’t last long.

"The risks are tilted to the upside as conflict news continues to flow in this Monday. Rishi Sunak will address parliament as his government is ready to intensify strikes on Houthi targets. Yet there is a strong barricade into the $74/75 a barrel level in the US crude and near $80 a barrel level in Brent, as the rising global supply, increasing competition to Poec and the globally weak economic outlook weigh heavier and convince the bears to sell every geopolitically supported rallies."

China’s central bank left interest rates unchanged today despite expectations of a cut, while pumping more cash into the financial system. The reaction on the Chinese stock market was muted, with the Chinese CSI 300 index edging 0.15% higher.

A weakening Chinese currency has limited the room for the People’s Bank of China to reduce borrowing costs and rate cuts could be postponed until later this year. The yuan has weakened more than 1% against the dollar so far this year.

Economists at Capital Economics said: "We suspect the main reason the PBOC failed to deliver this time is a desire to avoid triggering renewed depreciation pressure on the renminbi."

Wall Street is closed for Martin Luther King Day today. The US stock markets ended last week flattish (the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq rose slightly, while the Dow Jones slipped 0.3%).

The agenda
• 9am GMT: Germany 2023 GDP growth (forecast: -0.3%, previous: 1.9%)
• 10am GMT: Eurozone trade for November

We’ll be tracking all the main events throughout the day ...
Opinion
Red Sea threat lays bare economic risks ahead of US and UK elections
Red Sea threat lays bare economic risks ahead of US and UK elections
Watch out, Rachel Reeves: the old guard is ganging up on your borrowing ambitions
The abuse of unaccountable power is at the wicked heart of the Post Office scandal
Media
Reach  
Alison Phillips ‘to quit as Daily Mirror editor’ amid budget cuts
Alison Phillips ‘to quit as Daily Mirror editor’ amid budget cuts
PR  
Edelman worked with Koch network, despite climate pledges
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