What’s going on here? Warren Buffett – one of the most successful investors of all time – announced on Saturday that he’ll step down as Berkshire Hathaway’s CEO after an exemplary six-decade run. What does this mean? Buffett’s retirement will end a remarkable era: sixty years of market-beating returns, gutsy dealmaking (including billion-dollar bets during financial crises), and plain-spoken wisdom. In that time, the Oracle of Omaha transformed Berkshire from a flailing textile company into a trillion-dollar-plus behemoth spanning everything from railroads and insurance to Dairy Queen and Apple stock. Wall Street will be closely watching Buffett’s soon-to-be successor: Greg Abel, a current Berkshire vice chair. He’ll soon control a cash pile the size of Chile’s economy, after all. Why should I care? For markets: Wall Street’s equivalent to the Beatles breaking up. You can’t blame traders for crying over their Buffett posters: the Oracle had enough clout to make billion-dollar deals with a phone call, calm market fears with a folksy phrase, and hold cash with near-spiritual levels of shareholder trust. That public trust, together with Buffett’s legendary stock-picking instinct, is credited for Berkshire’s success – a run marked by annual returns of nearly 20% since 1965. So even though Buffett plans to stay on as chair, Berkshire’s shares fell 5% on Monday. Because no matter how capable Abel is, he’s no market icon – at least not yet. Which means Berkshire may start looking less like an investment masterclass and more like a “regular” large holding company. Zooming out: Tortoise, meet hare. Buffett’s market-beating career was a result of meticulously devouring hundreds of thousands of financial statements and deeply understanding companies and markets – all hard, manual work. But Abel is tasked with leading Berkshire at a time when firms are expected to use technology (namely, AI) to work harder and faster. No one’s expecting him to match Buffett’s investment record, but he could set a new precedent by transforming Berkshire from a stock-picking legend to an empire-scale operator. |