Golden Creek, Rock Creek Park, November 2 2016. (Erin via Flickr)

TODAY’S DAILY DIGIT
A somewhat subjective rating of the day’s weather, on a scale of 0 to 10.

6/10: Not enough rain, nor sun, nor cool. This digit’s a pain, not fun … but the Cubs rule!

EXPRESS FORECAST

Today: Near record warmth, afternoon showers (possible thunder). Highs: 75-81
Tonight: Evening showers linger then breezy and clearing. Lows: 45-51
Tomorrow: Mostly sunny and windy. Highs: 58-62

View the current weather conditions at The Washington Post headquarters.

FORECAST IN DETAIL

The race is on: Will we warm to a record (80 at Reagan National and BWI, 81 Dulles) before showers put an end to this crazy, confused weather? Once again, rain amounts amount to little and the garden grumbling grows louder. Still, for all you “fallists,” this is a weekend to celebrate so get out and glory as the abundant sunshine highlights the autumn foliage. But best of all … an extra hour to sleep in Sunday morning!

Today (Thursday): Clouds should start to gather by midmorning but the warmup is still likely to be impressive. Showers are expected to begin scattering across the region by early afternoon and timing will determine whether we capture records or fall short in the mid-to-upper 70s. My bet is we just make it. There could be a rumble of thunder in some parts of the area but rain amounts are still mainly enough to settle the dust and little more. Winds are brisk from the west with gusts into the 20s when the showers arrive. Confidence: Medium-High

Tonight: Showers are likely to linger over the area through the evening but are mainly a nuisance with amounts unlikely to exceed a tenth of an inch in most cases. Winds remain gusty from the west through the night but showers end around midnight with clearing near dawn. Lows range from mid-40s northwest to lower 50s downtown and southeast. Confidence: Medium-High