Good morning. Last push today for my three-part series to wrap up 2023 and look ahead to 2024. | ICYMI: | | I’ll have something new and/or more interesting to say tomorrow. |
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|  | *past 24-hour performance |
| | 📰 Market Headlines | Markets were green across the board yesterday as Wall Street clawed back most of its yearly losses. Boeing was a notable loser, though none of its planes fell out of the sky yesterday, which they must count as a win. Both oil and treasury yields bounced back after declines. Asian shares advanced off the back of yesterday’s rally on Wall Street. Likewise Europe. Despite yesterday’s optimism, the US Congress is nowhere near a finalized deal. American credit card debt was up more than 17% in 2023. Natural disasters were responsible for $250 billion in losses last year worldwide. Typhoon Doksuri cost China $23 billion alone. Congrats to Michigan, who pummelled Washington to win its first College Football National Championship since 1997.
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| | 🕶️ Market Vibes | 🎰 Market Forecasts and Futures | There’s a wide variance between the Kalshi markets and the CME prediction tool. If you think the pros have it right, you can get $25 to play around with on Kalshi. | | The electric boiler market is set to grow 9.7% per year through 2031, topping out at $17.4 billion. | 😱 Fear and Greed Index | | | 🧠 What do you think? | Has your homeowner insurance rate gone up this year? Or has it been cancelled entirely?Best comments in tomorrow's issue. | Yes, and I live near floods, hurricanes, or fires | Yes, and I don't live near floods, hurricanes, or fires | No, and I live near floods, hurricanes, or fires | No, and I don't live near floods, hurricanes, or fires |
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| 🎤 What you said last time | There’s a decent-sized preference here for presidential election odds, so we’ll start sprinkling those into the forecast sections above. Generally speaking, though, we’ll keep politics out as much as possible. |
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| | | 📊 Stocks | | Want to invest like Buffet? With Public.com, you can emulate Berkshire Hathaway’s portfolio with just a few clicks. | Winners and losers | Earnings, upgrades, and acquisitions | Boston Scientific is looking to acquire Axonics for around $3.7 billion. Not to be outdone, GSK is buying Aiolos Bio for $1.4 billion. Activist investor Elliott Investment Management has acquired a big stake in Match Group Inc. HP is looking to acquire Juniper Networks for around $13 billion. Samsung’s Q4 2023 profit likely fell 35% YoY.
| Market movers | Both Exxon and Marathon had a tough day yesterday as Saudi Arabia lowered its oil prices. Shares were down 1.7% and 2.7%, respectively. A JV between Blackstone and Canada Pension Plan Investment Board (CPPIB) “won a stake in a nearly US$17-billion portfolio of commercial-property loans from the failed Signature Bank.” Gamemaker Unity Software is cutting 1800 jobs. Instacart, following Amazon’s lead, will feature ads in its AI-powered shopping cart. Nike and Tiger Woods have broken up after 27 years. Wells Fargo branch employees in Delaware are voting to unionize. ads
| Ideas, trends, and analysis |
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| | | | | 📊 Crypto | | Crypto rallied as a BTC ETF got closer to approval. Jim Cramer says it’s time to sell, which means it’s time to buy.
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| | 🌍 Global Perspectives | 🇨🇳 What you need to know about China’s military purge. | 🇹🇼 🇨🇳 A Taiwanese candidate alleges China’s election meddling is the “most serious ever.” | 🇰🇷 🇰🇵 🇮🇱 South Korea’s intelligence agency says Hamas is using North Korean weapons. | 🇬🇧 A gloomy outlook for British retailers and consumers. | 🇦🇷 🇺🇸 What lessons can America learn from Argentina’s new president? |
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| | | | | | 📺 What to Watch Today | I watched this on Netflix last night. Highly recommended. It pairs well with The Founder. |  | Bitconned | Official Trailer | Netflix |
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| | 📈 Trends you need to know | Search results are from our friends at Glimpse, my favorite way to spot trends. | |
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| Search volume for credit card balance transfers is at an all-time high. |
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| | That’s all for today. Did we miss anything? Smash the reply button to let us know. | Cheers, | Wyatt |
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