New home sales finished the year less spectacularly than they started it, but the 11.9 percent month-over-month increase was the best since last March. The U.S. Census Bureau and Department of Housing and Urban Development reported that newly constructed homes sold during the month at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 811,000 compared to a revised rate of 725,000 (from the 744,000 originally reported) in November. The December sales were 14.0 percent below the annual rate of 943,000 in December 2020. Sales rose the following month to 993,000 which proved to be the high point for 2021. [newhomesall] Analysts polled by both Econoday and Trading Economics had forecast the month’s sales at an annual rate of 760,000 units. Predictions from Econoday ranged from 710,000 to 800,000. On a non-adjusted basis there were 57,000 new homes sold during the month compared to 51,000 in November and 63,000 the prior December. New home sales across all of 2021 totaled 762,000 new homes, a 7.3 percent decline from 822,000 total sales in 2020. The median price of a home sold during the month was $377,700 and the average was $457,300. In December 2020, the relative numbers were $365,300 and $401,700. [newhomeprices] Inventories have improved substantially this year. In December 2020 only 299,000 new homes were on the market, a 3.8-month supply. At the end of the year the inventory had risen to 403,000 available new homes, an estimated 6.0-month supply. However, only 39,000 of those homes were completed and construction on a quarter was only in the permitted stage. At the end of November, the inventory was estimated at 6.6 months at the then current sales pace.
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January 26, 2022
Housing News
New home sales finished the year less spectacularly than they started it, but the 11.9 percent month-over-month increase was the best since last March. The U.S. Census Bureau and Department of Housing and Urban Development reported that newly const... (read more)
Housing News
Even for a week containing a holiday, last week was a bad one. The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) said its Market Composite Index, a measure of mortgage loan application volume, fell 7.1 percent on a seasonally adjusted basis from one week ea... (read more)
Rob Chrisman
One conversation topic not in the hallways here at the MBA’s Independent Mortgage Banker Conference in Tennessee is the death of the original voice of Charlie Brown. The huge cost of health care is, however, and lenders can lower costs by negotiating... (read more)
Mortgage Rates
It's a tale as old as time for those who closely follow the day to day gyrations in the mortgage market.  Bond volatility forces lenders to raise rates fairly quickly.  Lenders then wait for market gains AND stability before adjusting rates back toward previous levels.  Even then, rates remain slightly higher than the bond market says they s... (read more)
MBS / Treasuries
Intraday Volatility But Mostly For Treasuries; Fed On Deck Bonds began the day trading right in line with yesterday afternoon's higher yields (or lower prices).  The first two hours saw a decent rally with trading levels nearly returning to yesterday's stronger range.  A bounce in stocks just after 10am mad... (read more)