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Thursday, November 3, 2022 |
Welcome to the Thursday edition of the Pick Six newsletter! |
It's a big night for everyone in Philadelphia and Houston, and let me just say it's not because the Eagles and Texans are playing tonight. As a matter of fact, I'm not sure anyone in either of those two cities will be watching the football game considering Game 5 of the World Series will also be going on tonight. |
If I was a Texans fan, I'm definitely watching the Astros game, just so I don't have to watch the Texans. If I'm an Eagles fan, I'm watching both games because there's no way I want to miss the World Series or the Eagles trying to get to 8-0 for the first time in franchise history. |
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As always, here's your weekly reminder to tell all your friends to sign up for the Pick Six newsletter. To get your friends to sign up, all you have to do is click here and then share this link with them. |
1. Today's show: Brady Quinn breaks down the latest NFL news |
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If you're going to listen to just one episode of the Pick Six podcast every week, then you should definitely make sure that you're listening every Thursday, because that's when Brady Quinn joins the show. For today's episode, the former first-round pick chatted with Will Brinson about a multitude of topics, including whether the Jets should think about benching Zach Wilson. |
If anyone knows what Wilson is going through right now, it's definitely Quinn, who has a lot in common with Wilson: Both players are former first-round picks who got drafted by struggling franchises. |
So what's Quinn's take on benching Wilson? He says there's no way the Jets should even think about it. |
- "We're not going to talk about Zach Wilson getting benched because it's the stupidest conversation ever," Quinn said. "The Jets need to see what they have in him, they need to play him, he needs to play, he needs the experience."
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Not only did Quinn talk about the Jets, but he was also asked to rank the best teams in the NF. And although the Eagles are undefeated, they didn't crack Quinn's top-two. |
- "I would say the Bills and right next to the Bills, I'd say the Chiefs," Quinn said before tossing the Eagles in at No. 3. "Philly's one of those teams that looks great, they're schematically tough to prepare for because of the way they run the football and Hurts adds to that. And obviously, their receivers, they have size and ability."
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2. Thursday night preview: Prepping you for Eagles at Texans |
It's a big night for Philadelphia and Houston, and that's because Game 5 of the World Series is happening at 8 p.m. ET. Oh, and there's also this game, which i'm guessing most people in Houston and Philly won't be watching. However, I will be watching as the Eagles (7-0) look to keep their undefeated season alive against the a Texans (1-5-1) team that has never beaten them. (Houston is 0-5 all-time against Philadelphia.) |
My good buddy Jared Dubin wrote our deep-dive preview for this game here at CBSSports.com, and here's how he sees the game playing out: |
- Why the Eagles can win: The Eagles have one of the best offenses in the NFL, and they'll be going up against one of the worst defenses, which means that as long as Philadelphia doesn't overlook the Texans, the Eagles should find a lot of offensive success tonight. The Texans have the worst rushing defense in the NFL through eight weeks (they're surrendering 186 yards per game), so theoretically, the Eagles should be able to control the game with their high-powered rushing attack that has put up 149.6 yards per game this year.
- Why the Texans can win: We're not going to go over this part, because the Texans actually can't win. Just kidding, Texans fans. This is the NFL, where any team can beat any team. The Texans' opponents have only managed to score a TD on 47.83% of their red zone trips this season, which makes Houston's defense the fifth-best in the NFL at preventing touchdowns in the red zone. If the Texans can keep the Eagles out of the end zone and force them to kick field goals, that would give them a chance to win this game. Also, if the Eagles defense is susceptible to one thing, it's the run. The Eagles are surrendering nearly 115 yards per game on the ground, and if Houston can take advantage of that with Dameon Pierce, that could make this game interesting. One offensive weapon the Texans won't have tonight is Brandin Cooks, who will be sidelined after missing practice this week due to "personal reasons." Cooks was hoping he would be traded on Tuesday, but that didn't happen.
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If you're thinking about betting on the game, Jordan Dajani put together a full gambling preview (odds via Caesars Sportsbook). You can check out Jordan's full gambling preview by clicking here, but if you don't feel like clicking over, here's one prop from both of us for tonight's game. |
- ONE PROP Jordan LIKES: Dameon Pierce OVER 15.5 rushing attempts (-129): "With the uncertainty surrounding Brandin Cooks, Pierce is probably Houston's best offensive weapon. The Texans would be smart to feed him. The rookie running back has crossed this line in two out of the past three games."
- ONE PROP I LIKE: Miles Sanders OVER 78.5 rushing yards (-117): I like this prop for two reasons: One, Sanders is averaging 80.4 yards per game on the ground this season, so if he stays in line with that average, he should hit the over. Also, Sanders is going up against the WORST rushing defense in the NFL. The Texans are surrendering 186 rushing yards per game, which is an insanely high number when you consider that no other NFL team is even giving up 160 yards per game.
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Finally, if you're wondering who we're picking, here's who we have tonight in a game where the Eagles are favored by nearly two touchdowns (13.5 points to be exact): |
Dubin's pick: Eagles 31-10 over Texans Dajani's pick: Eagles 34-17 over Texans My pick: Eagles 31-20 over Texans |
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3. Bradley Chubb lands monstrous extension from Dolphins |
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After giving up a first-round pick to land Bradley Chubb in a trade Tuesday, it was pretty much a given that the Dolphins were going to sign him to a massive extension, and that's exactly what happened today. |
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- Terms of the deal. The Dolphins gave Chubb a five-year extension that's worth $110 million while also including $63.2 million in guaranteed money, according to ESPN . With incentives, the deal could be worth a total of $111.25 million. Chubb is also still due $7.75 million for the remainder of this season, which means he has a chance to pull in a total of $119 million over the next five and a half years.
- Chubb doesn't crack the top five for highest-paid pass rushers. With a new money value of $22 million per year, that makes Chubb the sixth-highest paid pass rusher. T.J. Watt is at the top of the list at $28 million per year, followed by Joey Bosa ($27 million), Myles Garrett ($25 million), Khalil Mack ($23.5 million) and Maxx Crosby ($23.5 million).
- Why the Dolphins made the deal. If the Dolphins are going to be Super Bowl contenders in the AFC, they need to be able to stop quarterbacks like Josh Allen and Patrick Mahomes. The best way to do that is to put pressure on them, and that's one thing Miami has been struggling with. Through eight weeks, the Dolphins only had 15 sacks on the season. Now, they'll be adding Chubb, who has more than one-third of that total by himself this year with 5.5 sacks.
- Chubb does come with some risk. Although Chubb is definitely talented, he has had some major injury issues over the past few years. Since the start of the 2019 season, he's missed a total of 24 games. There have also been spurts in his career where he was ineffective. In 2021, he recorded zero sacks in seven games, and he only has 14 sacks total since the start of the 2019 season. If Chubb can't stay healthy, this trade could backfire on the Dolphins.
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4. Playoff projections: Tom Brady and Aaron Rodgers left out |
Now that we're officially halfway through the NFL season, I think it's safe to finally start talking about the playoff race, and we're going to do that today with some playoff projections. CBSSports.com's Jordan Dajani went through the remaining schedule for each team to come up with his list of 14 playoff teams. |
Let's take a look at who Dajani has in the postseason. |
AFC 1. Bills 2. Chiefs 3. Ravens 4. Titans 5. Dolphins 6. Patriots 7. Chargers |
Jordan clearly hates me, which is the only way to explain why he left the Bengals out of the AFC playoffs. He also has the Jets staying at home for the postseason even though they currently are tied for the fourth-best record in the AFC. |
NFC 1. Eagles 2. Vikings 3. 49ers 4. Saints 5. Cowboys 6. Seahawks 7. Giants |
The most notable thing here is definitely the fact that Jordan has both Tom Brady and Aaron Rodgers missing the playoffs. Besides having no confidence in Brady, Jordan also doesn't seem to believe in the Falcons, who are currently in first place in the NFC South. Instead, Jordan has the Saints stealing the NFC South crown. |
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5. Three NFL trades that should have happened |
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One of the best things about having a former NFL agent on staff here at CBSSports.com is that there aren't very many people who understand the inner-workings of the league quite like our guy Joel Corry. Although we watched an NFL-record 13 trades go down Tuesday, Corry says there should have been at least three more. |
So what are the three trades that should have gone down? He revealed those this week and even included the compensation that each team should have gotten for trading away its player. |
Texans WR Brandin Cooks to the Packers Texans would have gotten: 2023 fourth-round pick and 2024 sixth-round pick |
Browns RB Kareem Hunt to the Rams Browns would have gotten: 2023 compensatory fifth-round pick and RB Cam Akers |
Titans TE Austin Hooper to the Giants Titans would have gotten: 2023 conditional sixth-round pick (fifth-rounder if Giants win playoff game). |
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6. Rapid-fire roundup: Hall of Fame punter Ray Guy passes away |
It's been a busy 24 hours in the NFL, and since it's nearly impossible to keep track of everything that happened, I went ahead and put together a roundup for you. |
- Ray Guy passes dies at age 72. Guy, who is considered by most to be the greatest punter in NFL history, passed away Tuesday after a lengthy illness. To this day, he's the only full-time punter in the Pro Football of Fame, and it's easy to see why he got there: He went to seven Pro Bowls, was voted first-team All-Pro three times, led the NFL in punting three times and won three Super Bowls during his time with the Raiders. He was also named the punter on the NFL's 75th anniversary team in 1994. He spent his entire 14-year career with the Raiders after they made him a first-round pick in 1973.
- Commanders under investigation by U.S. attorney's office. With Dan Snyder surprisingly looking to sell the team, one reason he might have decided to explore his options is because he's now being investigated by the U.S. attorney's office in the Eastern District of Virginia for financial improprieties. For a more detailed look at this situation, be sure to click here.
- Police nab man suspected of shooting Brian Robinson Jr. After more than two months of investigating, the man suspected of shooting the Commanders running back has finally been apprehended. The 17-year-old has been charged with assault with intent to rob while armed. Robinson was shot twice in the leg back on Aug. 28, but recovered quickly enough that he was able to return to the field in October. Although he's only played in four games, he's already the team's second-leading rusher.
- Cam Akers returning to Rams practice. The Rams running back was hoping to get traded before Tuesday's deadline, but since that didn't happen, it appears he has now come to accept the fact that he's stuck with the Rams for the rest of the season. After missing several weeks due to "personal reasons," Akers is now back with the team.
- Eagles rookie Jordan Davis placed on IR. The defensive tackle will be sidelined for at least the next four weeks after being placed on injured reserve this week. Davis suffered an ankle injury during Philadelphia's Week 8 win over the Steelers, and it was serious enough that the team now feels he'll need at least a month to recover. The earliest Davis can return to the field is Dec. 4 against the Titans.
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| | | | | | Saturday, your day of college football starts with the Lockheed Martin Commanders' Classic presented by USAA. Watch the epic matchup between Air Force and Army, only on CBS! Watch Live | | This Saturday, it’s the biggest game of the season! Watch as #1 Tennessee challenges #3 Georgia in Athens. Catch the most anticipated day of SEC football at 3:30 PM ET, only on CBS and streaming on Paramount+. Watch Live |
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