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Thursday, September 19, 2024
Jayden Daniels doesn't play on the main slate this weekend, so we're shifting over to Kyler Murray and the red-hot Arizona Cardinals. Or, if you really want to get weird, join me in playing Andy Dalton and Carson Steele on FanDuel! That's right! This might be a very fun week, or maybe we'll lose all our money. Remember to always gamble responsibly. 
If you're not here for DFS, you can find the Week 3 rankings update at the bottom of today's newsletter.
And when you have time, the podcast that I recorded with Dan Schneier of FFT and Pat Fitzmaurice of Fantasy Pros today was a lot of fun. You can find the most-recent Beyond the Box Score episode here.
If you'd like to give me feedback on the newsletter or which players/teams you'd like to read about in Friday's write-up, fill out this google form!
The DFS Helper should help point you in the right direction, but feel free to reach out to me on Twitter if you have any further questions! I try to respond to tweets throughout the week; I also have a weekly Twitter Q&A each Sunday morning to answer any lineup setting questions you have. Good luck this weekend everybody!
DraftKings Main Slate Tiers
Quarterback
Tier 1 -- Cash Game Considerations
Kyler Murray ($6,900)
Tier 2 -- Preferred Tournament Options
Geno Smith ($5,600), Jalen Hurts ($7,300), Andy Dalton ($4,800), Jared Goff ($6,500 - this is an awesome spot to stack the Lions if the rostered rates end up being low as expected), Derek Carr ($5,800), C.J. Stroud ($7,100 - I'll only be playing him in a mega-stack involving both Nico Collins and Tank Dell)
Running Back
Tier 1 -- Cash Game Locks
None
Tier 2 -- Cash Game Consideration
De'Von Achane ($7,000), Jordan Mason ($6,200), Zach Charbonnet ($6,000), Cam Akers ($4,700)
Tier 3 -- Preferred Tournament Options
Derrick Henry ($6,500), Jahmyr Gibbs ($6,800), De'Von Achane ($7,000), Jordan Mason ($6,200), James Conner ($6,600), Zach Charbonnet ($6,000), Rachaad White ($6,100), Zamir White ($5,500)
Wide Receiver
Tier 1 -- Cash Game Locks
None
Tier 2 -- Cash Game Consideration
Chris Godwin ($6,500), Brandon Aiyuk ($6,200), Jaxon Smith-Njigba ($5,400), Nico Collins ($7,300), Chris Olave ($6,300), DK Metcalf ($6,300), Amon-Ra St. Brown ($8,200)
Tier 3 -- Preferred Tournament Options
Chris Olave ($6,300), Brandon Aiyuk ($6,200), Tank Dell ($5,200), Justin Jefferson ($8,600), Jameson Williams ($5,800), Nico Collins ($7,300), Davante Adams ($7,600), Rashid Shaheed ($5,300), Jaxon Smith-Njigba ($5,400), D.J. Moore ($6,700), CeeDee Lamb ($8,800), DK Metcalf ($6,300), Diontae Johnson ($4,900), DeVonta Smith ($6,900), Jordan Whittington ($4,200), Courtland Sutton ($5,400)
Tight End
Tier 1 -- Cash Game Consideration
George Kittle ($5,700) (Q)
Trey McBride ($6,200), Brock Bowers ($5,400)
Tier 2 -- Preferred Tournament Options
Trey McBride ($6,200), Foster Moreau ($2,600)
FanDuel Main Slate Tiers
Quarterback
Tier 1 -- Cash Game Considerations
Andy Dalton ($6,000), Kyler Murray ($8,300)
Tier 2 -- Preferred Tournament Options
Jalen Hurts ($8,500), Jared Goff ($7,500), Andy Dalton ($6,000), Geno Smith ($7,600)
Running Back
Tier 1 -- Cash Game Locks
None
Tier 2 -- Cash Game Consideration
De'Von Achane ($7,700), Zach Charbonnet ($6,700), Jordan Mason ($8,300), Carson Steele ($5,200)
Tier 3 -- Preferred Tournament Options
Carson Steele ($5,200), Jahmyr Gibbs ($7,900), Derrick Henry ($7,800), De'Von Achane ($7,700), Jordan Mason ($8,300), James Conner ($7,400), Zach Charbonnet ($6,700), Zamir White ($6,000)
Wide Receiver
Tier 1 -- Cash Game Locks
None
Tier 2 -- Cash Game Consideration
Brandon Aiyuk ($6,500), Chris Godwin ($6,600), Nico Collins ($7,600), Rashee Rice ($7,300), Jaxon Smith-Njigba ($6,100), Chris Olave ($6,700)
Tier 3 -- Preferred Tournament Options
Chris Olave ($6,700), Davante Adams ($7,800), Justin Jefferson ($9,200), Nico Collins ($7,600), Brandon Aiyuk ($6,500), Tank Dell ($6,200), CeeDee Lamb ($9,300), D.J. Moore ($6,500), Jameson Williams ($6,300), Amon-Ra St. Brown ($9,100), Jaxon Smith-Njigba ($6,100), DK Metcalf ($7,200), Rashid Shaheed ($6,300), Courtland Sutton ($5,300), Marvin Harrison Jr. ($7,500), Diontae Johnson ($5,300)
Tight End
Tier 1 -- Cash Game Consideration
George Kittle ($7,100) (Q)
Trey McBride ($6,800)
Tier 2 -- Preferred Tournament Options
Trey McBride ($6,800), Noah Fant ($4,900)
Optimal FanDuel Lineup
*Be sure to check back for updates.*
QB -- Kyler Murray
RB -- De'Von Achane
RB -- TBD -- check back on Sunday!
WR -- Chris Godwin
WR -- Brandon Aiyuk
WR -- TBD -- check back on Sunday!
TE -- Trey McBride
FLEX -- TBD -- check back on Sunday!
D/ST -- TBD -- check back on Sunday!
Tournament FanDuel Lineup
Designed for large-field tournaments
QB -- Andy Dalton
RB -- Carson Steele
RB -- TBD -- check back on Sunday!
WR -- Justin Jefferson
WR -- Nico Collins
WR -- TBD -- check back on Sunday!
TE -- TBD -- check back on Sunday!
FLEX -- TBD -- check back on Sunday!
D/ST -- Chiefs
Week 3 Rankings Update
Quarterback
Tier 1 -- Locked-in
Tier 1 -- Locked-in
QB1 - Josh Allen
QB2 - Lamar Jackson
QB3 - Jalen Hurts
QB4 - Kyler Murray
Tier 2 -- Upside to finish as the top scorer in Fantasy, but there's risk
QB5 - Jayden Daniels
QB9 - Anthony Richardson
QB15 - Justin Fields
Tier 3 -- Betting on touchdowns with pocket passers
QB6 - Joe Burrow
QB7 - C.J. Stroud
QB8 - Patrick Mahomes
QB10 - Brock Purdy
QB11 - Jared Goff
QB12 - Baker Mayfield
QB13 - Dak Prescott
QB14 - Derek Carr
QB16 - Geno Smith
Tier 4 -- Fine to start if needed, I would not want to use these players
QB17 - Deshaun Watson
QB18 - Garnder Minshew
QB19 - Caleb Williams
QB20 - Sam Darnold
QB21 - Trevor Lawrence
QB22 - Kirk Cousins
QB23 - Aaron Rodgers
QB24 - Matthew Stafford
QB25 - Justin Herbert
QB26 - Daniel Jones
QB27 - Malik Willis
QB28 - Will Levis
QB29 - Andy Dalton
QB30 - Bo Nix
QB31 - Skylar Thompson
QB32 - Jacoby Brissett
Running Backs
Tier 1 -- Locked-in
RB1 - Bijan Robinson
RB2 - Breece Hall
RB3 - Jordan Mason
RB4 - De'Von Achane
RB5 - Alvin Kamara
RB6 - Jahmyr Gibbs
RB7 - Saquon Barkley
RB8 - James Conner
RB11 - James Cook
RB12 - Zach Charbonnet
RB14 - David Montgomery
RB15 - Zack Moss
Tier 2 -- Role checks out, but can we trust the offensive environment?
RB9 - Jonathan Taylor
RB10 - Derrick Henry
RB13 - Josh Jacobs
RB16 - Kyren Williams
RB18 - Travis Etienne (he'll move down if Tank Bigsby plays)
RB19 - Rhamondre Stevenson
RB20 - Tony Pollard
RB22 - Brian Robinson Jr. (Commanders are massive road dogs)
Tier 5 -- I have several concerns
RB21 - J.K. Dobbins (matchup + no real change in role from Week 1 to Week 2 + Chargers only implied for 17.5 points)
RB26 - Aaron Jones (brutal matchup + splitting carries)
RB27 - D'Andre Swift (it's been so rough)
RB28 - Devin Singletary (Daniel Jones + Browns D)
RB29 - Javonte Williams (Bo Nix + slow start)
RB30 - Chuba Hubbard (Maxx Crosby + slow start)
RB33 - Jerome Ford (Dexter Lawrence + splitting carries)
Tier 6 -- I also like to live dangerously
RB23 - Carson Steele
RB24 - Zamir White
RB31 - Jaylen Warren
RB32 - Bucky Irving
Tier 7 -- Desperation plays
RB25 - Najee Harris (feels bad to start Najee Harris, doesn't it! Surely, he'll score a TD at some point)
RB34 - Austin Ekeler
RB35 - Samaje Perine
RB36 - Ezekiel Elliott
RB37 - Ty Chandler
RB38 - Justice Hill
RB39 - Cam Akers
RB40 - Tyjae Spears
Wide Receivers
Tier 1 -- Locked-in
WR7 - Brandon Aiyuk
WR9 - Garrett Wilson
WR10 - Marvin Harrison Jr.
WR11 - Tyreek Hill
WR12 - Chris Olave
WR14 - Mike Evans
WR16 - DJ Moore
WR18 - DK Metcalf
WR19 - George Pickens
WR20 - Zay Flowers
WR21 - Jaxon Smith-Njigba
WR22 - Jameson Williams
WR23 - Stefon Diggs
WR24 - Rashid Shaheed
Tier 3 -- Offensive environment or matchup concerns keeping them out of Tier 2
WR17 - Malik Nabers (the Giants are only implied for 16 points -- for reference, DJ Moore's Bears implied total is 20 points -- and we could see a total implosion from Daniel Jones against this Browns defense)
WR25 - Diontae Johnson (I honestly do expect Carolina's offensive environment to be fine with Dalton at QB)
WR26 - Terry McLaurin
WR27 - Drake London
Tier 4 -- Super solid projections (even if there's not quite as much blow-up game potential)
WR28 - Michael Pittman
WR35 - Khalil Shakir
WR39 - Keenan Allen
WR40 - Demarcus Robinson
WR46 - Jakobi Meyers
WR48 - Andrei Iosivas
WR49 - Jauan Jennings
Tier 5 -- I have no idea what to expect from this group, but it could be fun!
WR29 - Tank Dell
WR30 - Amari Cooper
WR31 - Jaylen Waddle
WR32 - Courtland Sutton
WR33 - Calvin Ridley
WR34 - Christian Kirk
WR35 - Brian Thomas Jr. (the schematic matchup strongly favors Kirk, and BTJ isn't yet playing a full-time role)
WR36 - Xavier Worthy
WR38 - Jayden Reed
WR41 - Quentin Johnston
WR42 - Ladd McConkey
Tier 6 -- Desperation plays
WR43 - Brandin Cooks
WR44 - Tyler Lockett
WR45 - Rome Odunze (playing through injury)
WR47 - Jerry Jeudy
WR50 - Tyler Johnson
Tight Ends
Tier 1 -- Locked-in
TE1 - George Kittle (Q)
Kittle sat out practice with a hamstring injury today. If he is out, it'd push Brock Purdy down even further and elevate ancillary pass-catchers like Jacob Cowing and Jauan Jennings. If he plays, Kittle is locked in for a prime matchup vs. the Rams!
For context on Kittle's PPR point per route run rate, see below.
TE2 - Trey McBride
TE3 - Brock Bowers
TE4 - Sam LaPorta
TE5 - Travis Kelce
TE6 - Mark Andrews
TE7 - Dalton Kincaid
TE8 - Hunter Henry
TE9 - Kyle Pitts (here we are free falling again!)
Tier 2 -- Don't love the matchup/game set-up
TE10 - Dallas Goedert
TE11 - Pat Freiermuth
TE14 - Isaiah Likely
Tier 3 -- Streamers
TE12 - Mike Gesicki
TE13 - Zach Ertz
TE15 - Noah Fant
TE16 - Taysom Hill
TE17 - Dalton Schultz
TE18 - Colby Parkinson
TE19 - Greg Dulcich
TE20 - Jonnu Smith
If you have any feedback on the newsletter, feel free to send them my way. Thank you for reading! And please, do check out Beyond the Boxscore on FFT! Dan and I put a lot of work into that podcast project and aim to make it fun and accessible for any level of NFL fan!
 
 
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