If this email is not being displayed properly, please click here.

ma_header_ecca
March 08, 2016

Dismal Scientist Daily Update

Highlights from Moody's Analytics forward looking, up-to-the-minute coverage of the global economy.


» Today's Commentary
» Insight on Critical Issues
» Today's Releases
» Survey of Business Confidence
» Reader's Choice

Today's Commentary

Economic Roundup: Some Encouraging Signs in the Euro Zone
Revisions show better composition of growth in the fourth quarter; long road still ahead.

Venezuela’s Oil Production Keeps Declining
Lack of investment in recent years is taking a toll on output.

Hungary's Q4 GDP Holds
The economy accelerated from the third quarter.

Is 2% Trend GDP Growth the Sweet Spot?
It is enough to eliminate job market slack but won't lead to a significant overshoot on inflation.

View More Analysis


Insight on Critical Issues

U.S. Chartbook: Silencing the Critics
Job growth and vehicle sales in February should allay concerns about the economy.

Brave New World of Negative Interest Rates
The broadening trend was initiated by the ECB. We give a brief history, and explain.

U.S. Weekly Highlights and Preview, March 4, 2016
The job market shows little sign of slowing down.

Candidate Report Card: The Republicans
Tax proposals are transparent, simple and expensive.

View More Analysis


Today's Releases

FlagCanadaBuilding Permits
January-9.8%
The value of Canadian building permits in January fell 9.8% from December to $6.4 billion. This is the ...
 
FlagChileConsumer Price Index
February4.7%
Chile’s inflation remains above the 4% upper limit with the core components showing no signs of receding ...
 
FlagEuro ZoneGDP
2015Q40.3%
The euro zone’s real GDP growth remained at 0.3% q/q in the three months to December from the previous ...
 
FlagFranceFiscal balance
January-€9.2 bil
France's fiscal deficit was €9.2 billion, not seasonally adjusted, in January. Moody's Analytics had ...
 
FlagFranceTrade balance
January-€ 3.7 bil
France's foreign trade deficit decreased to €3.7 billion seasonally adjusted in January, the same as ...
 
FlagGermanyIndustrial Production
January3.3%
German industrial production rose 3.3% m/m in January, following a revised 0.3% decrease in December. ...
 
FlagJapanConsumer Confidence
February40.1
Japan's consumer confidence index fell by 2.4 points to 40.1 in February. The decline in sentiment was ...
 
FlagOECDComposite Leading Indicators
January99.6
The OECD composite leading indicator was 99.6 in January, a touch lower than in December. This is the ...
 
FlagSpainIndustrial Production
January3.2%
Spain's industrial production rose 3.2% in January in calendar-adjusted year-ago terms, down from a revised ...
 
FlagUnited StatesManpower Employment Outlook Survey
2016Q218%
The Manpower survey indicates that global hiring intentions are set to weaken over the second quarter ...
 
FlagUnited StatesManpower Employment Outlook Survey
2016Q218%
The Manpower survey indicates that global hiring intentions are set to weaken over the second quarter ...
 
FlagUnited StatesManpower Employment Outlook Survey
2016Q218%
The Manpower survey indicates that global hiring intentions are set to weaken over the second quarter ...
 
FlagUnited StatesNFIB Small Business Survey
February92.9
Small business sentiment weakened in February, but some of the details are more troubling than the dip ...
 
View More Releases


Survey of Business Confidence

Latest: 29.2

The slide in global business confidence that began during the summer seems to be over. Sentiment still appears fragile, but survey responses are no longer eroding. The weakest response is to businesses’ assessments of present conditions; there are roughly as many respondents saying conditions are improving as saying they are weakening. Expectations regarding the outlook this summer remain stronger. And despite the decline in confidence in recent months, in a broader historical context, business sentiment is good, and consistent with an economy that is expanding at the high end of its potential.

View Full Analysis


Reader's Choice

Global Outlook: Calling All Hands
Collective action is needed to protect the recovery.

U.S. Chartbook: Shifting Mix Between Growth and Inflation
Fed should punt in March but may not be able to delay too long.

Fed Should Allow Inflation to Overshoot the 2% Target
The anticipated acceleration in inflation appears under way, but the Fed should remain patient.

Candidate Report Card: The Republicans
Tax proposals are transparent, simple and expensive.

Economic Roundup: Boom Goes the U.S. Labor Market
Job growth exceeds expectations and slack is quickly vanishing.



About Moody's Analytics

Moody's Analytics, a subsidiary of Moody's Corporation, helps capital markets and credit risk management professionals worldwide respond to an evolving marketplace with confidence. Through its team of economists, Moody’s Analytics is a leading independent provider of research, credit risk management, modeling, data, and forecasts at the global, national and subnational levels.

Moody's Analytics Economic & Consumer Credit Analytics
customized models, concise and timely research, and one of the largest assembled financial, economic and demographic databases support firms and policymakers in strategic planning, product and sales forecasting, credit risk and sensitivity management, and investment research. Learn more:

»
Access more than 260 million economic, demographic and financial time series for more than 180 countries, updated daily, at the global, macro and regional levels.
»
Consult more than 40 forecast databases covering global, macro and regional economics as well as specific concepts such as industry and consumer credit.
»
Utilize comprehensive, concise and timely analysis on the current and expected economic conditions of global, macro and regional economies to manage exposure to potential risks.
»
Forecast and stress-test consumer credit portfolios from default risk to revenue growth.
»
Optimize your decision-making process by leveraging our extensive expertise (research, models, data, consulting) as well as your own internal information systems.

 



NOT A SUBSCRIBER?

Start a FREE 14-Day Trial


UPCOMING EVENTS
Moody's Analytics Economic Briefing - Stamford CT
March 24, 2016


Moody's Analytics Economic & Consumer Credit Briefing - San Francisco CA
April 05, 2016


Moody's Analytics Economic & Consumer Credit Briefing - Orange County CA
April 06, 2016


Moody's Analytics Economic & Consumer Credit Briefing - Los Angeles CA
April 07, 2016


View More Events

STAY IN TOUCH
Economy.com economy.com
LinkedIn linkedIn
Twitter twitter
RSS rss
CONTACT US

Visit us online at www.economy.com, email help@economy.com, or use one of the numbers below:
AMERICAS
+1.866.275.3266

EUROPE
+44.20.7772.5454
 
ASIA-PACIFIC
+852.3551.3077

ALL OTHERS
+1.610.235.5299

This email was sent by Moody's Analytics
121 North Walnut Street, Suite 500
West Chester, PA 19380-3166
United States

We respect your right to privacy - View our privacy policy

Click here to unsubscribe from this email.

-----------------------------------------
The information contained in this e-mail message, and any attachment thereto, is confidential and may not be disclosed without our express permission. If you are not the intended recipient or an employee or agent responsible for delivering this message to the intended recipient, you are hereby notified that you have received this message in error and that any review, dissemination, distribution or copying of this message, or any attachment thereto, in whole or in part, is strictly prohibited. If you have received this message in error, please immediately notify us by telephone, fax or e-mail and delete the message and all of its attachments. Thank you. Every effort is made to keep our network free from viruses. You should, however, review this e-mail message, as well as any attachment thereto, for viruses. We take no responsibility and have no liability for any computer virus which may be transferred via this e-mail message.

g:F8A33ED83AA248C893A7CCFE2555C676 d:29FE1F1EB5514AD1AB7E2BA93747E216