November 2, 2022 | Issue #243
 MUST READS 

Dogecoin Pumps 80% Over The Last Week

What do you call a coin that’s up 115% over the last month and 80% over the past week?

We call that a coin on a heater, but you can also call it Dogecoin (DOGE).

Don’t worry; you didn’t wake up in 2021. However, the catalyst behind Doge’s trip to the moon is a familiar one.

The Elon Pump
If you’ve been anywhere near the internet – or society for that matter – over the last week, then you know that Elon Musk has formally taken control of Twitter, and as a result, control over the internet’s attention.

And if you’re a seasoned crypto investor, then you also know that Elon is a big fan of Dogecoin and has pumped it in the past.

Put two and two together, and you have this tweet

Resulting in this chart…

Why would we expect anything less?

What Should You Do About It?
Honestly, this is a tough call.

Elon definitely has a lot of eyeballs on him right now. If he announces DOGE as the official currency of Twitter, for example, Dogecoin could actually continue its upward performance. We’ve seen plenty of people make investments on much weaker thesis than this.

However, as we’ve learned in the past, these meme coins can go down just as fast as they go up.

As the 8th largest token by market cap, Dogecoin is no small coin, but that doesn’t mean there isn’t an upside.

At the end of the day, you have to ask yourself, are you in crypto for short-term gains? Or are you in crypto for a more fundamental nature?

Invest accordingly…

Related: ​You will soon be able to buy, sell, and display NFTs directly through tweets
 DEEP DIVES 

FTX and The Second Great Stablecoin War

There’s a new competitor in the Great Stablecoin War, as FTX CEO Sam Bankman-Fried is teasing an FTX stablecoin.

Let’s break down what this means and why it’s a big deal.

Importance of Stablecoins
Stablecoins (tokens pegged to an underlying asset or commodity) are vitally important to crypto. Besides being the best way to send money on-chain, they are also the dominant form of on-chain collateral. In other words, in most crypto lending and borrowing apps, stablecoins are the token used to lend and borrow.

Whoever controls the stablecoins controls a large portion of crypto. The hearty revenue from interest rates is just an added plus.

And that is why the big players are now at war.

The Second Great Stablecoin War
The Second Great Stablecoin War was coined by SBF, and it follows (naturally) the First Great Stablecoin War of ~2018 in which USDC and USDT were the victors.

However, that dominance is now under attack. The first shots came from Binance auto-converting every stablecoin on the exchange into BUSD, Binance’s native stablecoin.

The result has been a surge in BUSD supply and a decline in USDC supply.

Now, FTX wants its own stablecoin too. This carries two main consequences for investors:

  1. It is bearish for decentralized stablecoins such as DAI and FRAX, as it is likely that FTX would force all trading to go through its own stablecoin.
  2. It is bullish for stablecoin exchanges such as Curve, as a fragmented stablecoin market means traders need a place to swap between coins. 
Regardless of what FTX ultimately does, considering that DeFi powerhouses Aave and Curve are both also developing their own stablecoins, it is clear that the Second Great Stablecoin War is here to stay.
 REGULATORY FRONT 

Hong Kong To Consider Legalizing Retail Crypto Trading

One of crypto’s greatest historic hubs might be back in the game.

Hong Kong, the Chinese city that was once the premier spot for crypto innovation, is now considering legalizing retail crypto trading. We say “was” because although Hong Kong was at one time a market leader, it has declined in recent years due to zero-covid policies and Chinese anti-crypto crackdowns.

If the reports are true, the consequences are potentially massive.

A Dimming Star
Hong Kong and Greater China are, by and large, the birthplace of crypto. As Arthur Hayes points out, socialized loss derivatives margin systems, margin trading, stablecoins, perpetual swaps, and today’s dominant exchange (Binance) all come from Hong Kong and Greater China.

Unfortunately, due to Chinese crackdowns on crypto and damaging zero-covid policies, much of Hong Kong’s crypto citizenry left for Dubai, the Bahamas, and Singapore. As a result, what once was the world’s crypto hub is now no longer even the crypto hub of Asia.

Now, Hong Kong wants the crown back.

But why?

One theory is that Hong Kong and China are concerned over Singapore’s growing financial might. It makes sense, seeing how Singapore is Hong Kong’s leading economic and cultural competitor.

Hayes has another more interesting theory. He breaks it down better than we ever could, but it basically comes down to China having too much USD and not enough trust in the US government.

Recent moves by the US government, such as the control of chip exports, are exacerbating the rift between the two world superpowers.

And, as was evident by the West’s sanctions against Russia, just because you hold US securities, doesn’t mean in the long run they are actually yours. China saw what happened with Russia and, most likely, quickly realized that they hold too much US debt.

Simply put, China needs to reduce its USD exposure. But, what to buy?

Of course, they could follow the Russian playbook and purchase hard assets such as gold, but that could take years.

Perhaps the cleaner (and quicker) play is to buy Bitcoin.

What This Means For Investors
This is some of the best news you’ll ever see as an investor.

Besides the fact that this would allow Hong Kong and Chinese capital to flow back into the market, it would also mean that Hong Kong developers would again be able to build and innovate.

The city has historically been a critical contributor to crypto’s growth. There’s no reason it can’t be again.

 TWEET OF THE WEEK 

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