Astral gets smashed

Good Morning Voornaam,

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Dololo dividends

Dololo is possibly my favourite South African slang word. It loosely describes the concept of "nothing" and is used in a delicious way in sentences. There's nothing delicious about the results at Astral Foods, with the business in all kinds of pain thanks to our government's spectacular track record in service delivery. Profits in the prior interim period were R785 million and in the latest period, Astral spent R741 million on load shedding. It was almost a case of dololo profits as well, with the Feed Division pulling the group into the green - barely.

To make it worse, net working capital has jumped sharply as the balance sheet has come under pressure, so the cash position has deteriorated significantly in the pa st six months.

It's fascinating to see various themes coming through in the company updates yesterday. For example, Balwin's earnings report lays bare the trend of semigration and the impact it is having on the property market in both the Gauteng and coastal regions, particularly the Western Cape. I semigrated around 8 years ago (a 5-star experience that I would highly recommend) and I cannot believe the growth that I've witnessed down here, along with the pressure on the residential property market around Cape Town.

Another company with interesting insights was Famous Brands, particularly around how sit-down evening meals have not recovered to pre-Covid levels. Where bookings are being made, they are happening earlier. I have a strong theory here that people were busy in the pandemic staying home, staying safe and making more people. Fast forward a couple of years and trust me, the fun stops after 6pm in a restaurant with a toddler.

But my favourite of all yesterday was Netcare, a company that has chosen to take the concept of normalised EBITDA to an entirely new and ridiculous level. Let's just say that if every company on the JSE adjusted for this particular item, they would all be shooting the lights out.

To find out what it is and to get updates on the likes of Adcorp, Barloworld, Premier, Stefanutti Stocks and Spear REIT, click here to read Ghost Bites>>>

And remember, you can stay on top of the most interesting stories of the past week on the JSE by listening to the Ghost Wrap podcast. Brought to you by Mazars, the latest episode features my views on Dis-Chem, Grindrod Shipping, NEPI Rockcastle, Telkom, Nampak, Purple Group and Investec, Find it here>>>

Learn from the pros

One thing that Ghost Mail definitely can't be accused of is dololo insights. To keep your knowledge base moving in the right direction, you should read these articles:

  • Nico Katzke of Satrix gives a visual and powerful explanation of compound returns in action and how critical it is to take equity risk over the long term. Read it here>>>
  • The team at Trive South Africa looks at the energy sector with four great company examples including fundamental and technical analysis. The focus is on Sasol, Chevron, Renergen and Brookfield Renewable Partners. Read it here>>>
  • TreasuryONE has written a piece on what the debt ceiling in the US is and why it matters. Learn here>>>

Audio and visual

If you're in the mood to watch something, then the recording of the recent TreasuryONE webinar on the state of the rand is a great choice. You'll learn so much about what truly drives our currency market. Find it here>>>

Bookmark the latest episode of Magic Markets for one of your drives this week, with Craig Antonie of AnBro Capital Investments joining us to talk about two stocks on their watchlist. You've probably not heard of either, as AnBro focuses on offshore markets and looks well beyond household names. To learn about International Flavors and Fragrances, as well as Runway Growth Finance, listen to the show>>>

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The rand claws its way back - but only slightly

Look, a 1% gain in the rand is a whole lot better than what we've seen recently. Our currency is now hovering between the R19.00 and R19.50 range. It's really not long ago that TreasuryONE was indicating a range of R18.00 to R18.50, until the issues with the US - South Africa relationship caused a blowout in the currency. We remain massively disconnected from other emerging markets.

The dollar was relatively range bound on the day against its counterparts, which is likely the only reason that the rand held on.

Notably, gold struggled to gain any ground as Fed speakers talked about interest rates remaining higher for longer. Copper contracts traded at multiple-week lows, which isn't a happy indicator of economic activity.

If only our country was as rich as the content in Ghost Mail, so many problems would be solved!

Have a lovely Tuesday.

Ghost Bites (Adcorp | Astral Foods | Balwin | Barloworld | Famous Brands | Netcare | Premier | Stefanutti Stocks | Spear REIT)

It was a busy day of news on the JSE, ranging from horrible numbers at Astral through to solid results at Barloworld, Famous Brands, Premier and Spear REIT among others. It's all here, one click away,

In this hard-hitting piece on the differences between saving and investing, Nico Katzke of Satrix shows you some charts that may shock (and inspire) you.

Saving vs Investing: How to (Really) Make Compounding Returns Work
The Energy Boom - with Trive South Africa

Trive South Africa takes a look at local and international energy stocks that are making interesting moves, including Sasol, Chevron, Renergen and Brookfield Renewable Partners.

 

We've got a bit of everything in Ghost Wrap this week, from companies that are fighting for survival through to strong performers like NEPI Rockcastle and Investec. Ghost Wrap is brought to you by Mazars.

 

There are two companies on the AnBro watchlist that you've possibly never heard of. Not only is this is a great way to learn about these stocks, but you'll also get insights from Craig Antonie on how AnBro manages its investment watchlist.

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