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| | | | Later today, Benedict will show you how to bet on Boeing shares crashing and burning after the next earnings call. | Make sure to sign up ahead of time to get the whole thing. |
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📰 Market Headlines |
| *past 24-hour performance |
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🕶️ Market Vibes |
🎰 Market Forecasts and Futures |
21% of traders continue to think the Fed will cut rates in March. The number on Kalshi is much closer to reality. |
The CME also still shows six full rate cuts in 2024 as the most likely outcome. It’s four on Kalshi. I think 2 - 3 is right. |
Easy money there if you want it [disclosure: I have tiny positions on No rate cuts in March and between one and three rate cuts in 2024.] |
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😱 Fear and Greed Index |
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🧠 What do you think? |
Who's going to win this weekend's Super Bowl? |
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🎤 What you said last time |
Tiny sample size this time but a clear lean toward the jobs market weakening. | |
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A tougher market than usual |
“Every time you think the layoffs and 'performance' releases are done....another round hits.” |
“Tech talent is getting murdered” |
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📈 Trends you need to know | Search results are from our friends at Glimpse, my favorite way to spot trends. | |
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It’s pretty clear who the Swifties are cheering for Sunday. What about you? |
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📊 Stocks |
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Want to invest like Buffet? With Public.com, you can emulate Berkshire Hathaway’s portfolio with just a few clicks. |
Winners and losers |
Earnings, upgrades, and acquisitions |
McDonald’s beat earnings but missed estimates, blaming the Israel-Hamas war. Shares were down around 4%. Chipotle beat both top and bottom line. Shares up 3%. Ford, which complained mightily about auto strikes, beat both top and bottom line and raised guidance. Shares up 7%. GE Healthcare Technologies beat both revenue and estimates and leaped 12%. Palantir continues to go up and to the right despite only meeting expectations. Shares soared 31%. Eli Lilly smashed both estimates and revenue off the back of its new weight loss drug, Zepbound. Shares up 5%. Spotify reported decent subscriber growth numbers but missed on revenue. Shares up were 4%. Snap missed both estimates and revenue while beating on user stats. Shares cratered 30%. |
Market movers |
The head of the FAA is talking tough on Boeing. Probably because the door that fell out of one of its planes was missing several bolts. The company is also being sued by investors for “failing to disclose material information.” More layoffs: DocuSign is cutting 6%, or 440 jobs. Amazon is slashing “hundreds” of roles in its Pharmacy and One Medical division. Snap is laying off 10%, or around 500 employees. ESPN, Fox, and Warner Bros are teaming up to offer a sports streaming service. It could be the final nail in Cable’s coffin. |
Ideas, trends, and analysis |
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Silver could smash gold in 2024. Is it finally time to jump back into Carvana? Or is it a car crash waiting to happen? It's time to get short Nvidia. |
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🌍 Global Perspectives | 🌎 Global debt hit a record $307.4 trillion in 2023, spread across both emerging and developed markets. “As a share of the global gross domestic product, debt has risen to 336%.” That’s more than 3x what it was in 2012. | 🇨🇳 Chinese vehicle sales were up 48% in January. |
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📊 Crypto | | Bitcoin mining is heating up ahead of April’s halving. |
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📺 What to Watch Today |
| Using Apple Vision Pro: What It’s Actually Like! |
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That’s all for today. Did I miss anything? Smash the reply button to let me know. | Cheers, | Wyatt |
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