| Today's Economy
U.S. Census Day Arrives Full of Uncertainty Household self-response rates could decrease the need for temporary workers. LatAm Daily Briefing: Trouble Ahead, Trouble Behind Making things more difficult for policymakers amid the COVID-19 pandemic is a paucity of real-time indicators. Europe Daily Briefing: February Data a Sweet Memory More recent data should show conditions deteriorating in the euro zone and the U.K. Asia-Pacific Daily Briefing: Virus Weakens South Korea's Exports Korea's March data are an important signal of what's likely to come for Asia. » VIEW MORE TODAY'S ECONOMY
Commentary
Forecasting COVID-19 Cases An accurate forecast of the spread and duration of the disease is a critical component for estimating the economic impact of the virus. Will COVID-19 Overwhelm U.S. Hospitals? A quantitative analysis of how the pandemic will play out in the U.S. U.S. Consumer Outlook: Fundamentals Do a 180 Consumer fundamentals have changed dramatically, mostly to the bad. U.S. Chartbook: The First Shock Wave The COVID-19 pandemic’s toll is only beginning to appear in the hard data. » VIEW MORE COMMENTARY
Today's Economic Indicators
United States
Semiconductor Billings
Feb. 2020:
United States
Vehicle Sales - AutoData
Mar. 2020:
Germany
Retail Sales
Feb. 2020: 1.2%
Real, calendar and seasonally adjusted retail sales excluding motor vehicles trumped market expectations in February, growing 1.2% m/m and 2.5% y/y. Italy
Unemployment
Feb. 2020: 9.7%
Italy’s unemployment rate ticked down by 0.1 percentage point to 9.7% m/m in February. Euro Zone
Unemployment
Feb. 2020: 7.3%
The euro zone’s jobless rate beat expectations and fell to 7.3% in February, its lowest since March 2008, from 7.4% in January. United States
MBA Mortgage Applications Survey
March 27: 15.3%
Mortgage applications increased by 15.3% over the week of March 27, after declining by 29.4% in the previous week. Chile
Monthly Economic Activity Indicator
Feb. 2020: 2.7%
Despite the deterioration of global conditions, economic activity continued to advance in February. Brazil
Industrial Production
Feb. 2020: 0.0%
Brazil’s industry started to show incipient effects of the global slowdown in February. United States
ADP National Employment Report
Mar. 2020: -27,000
The labor market joyride is over as the impact from COVID-19 has just begun. United States
Construction Spending (C30)
Feb. 2020: -1.3%
Construction spending in February registered below consensus expectations of a 0.6% increase. United States
ISM Manufacturing Index
Mar. 2020: 49.1
The ISM manufacturing survey only slipped in March, but it was propped up by a jump in supplier deliveries. Russian Federation
GDP
2019Q4: 2.1%
Russian GDP picked up steam in the fourth quarter, with growth accelerating to 2.1% year over year, compared with a downwardly revised 1.5% in the third quarter. United States
Oil Inventories
March 27: 469.2 mil barrels
Crude oil inventories rose by much more than analysts predicted, which is bad news for struggling oil prices. China
Manufacturing PMI
Mar. 2020: 52.0
South Korea
Consumer Price Index
Mar. 2020:
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