| Today's Economy
COVID-19 Could Hurt Productivity for Years Weaker trend productivity growth will lower the economy’s potential speed limit. OPEC Deal Will Take Time to Boost Oil Prices WTI price increases will lag those of Brent, and U.S. producers will bleed cash for months. LatAm Daily Briefing: When a Surplus Is Not Enough Trade balances have helped central bank reserve accounts, but the roots of the surfeit are nothing to celebrate. Changes to the April U.S. Baseline Forecast The economy is headed down a dark path. » VIEW MORE TODAY'S ECONOMY
Commentary
U.S. Road to Recovery: A Painful Recession The most likely scenario is a W-shaped recovery. U.S. Banks Will Be OK COVID-19-related disruptions present several layers of risk to the banking system. U.S. Weekly Highlights and Preview, April 13, 2020 Our preliminary forecast is for initial claims to have been 6.1 million in the week ended April 11. COVID-19: Q&A Our April 6 webinar was largely devoted to answering your questions. » VIEW MORE COMMENTARY
Today's Economic Indicators
India
Consumer Price Index
Mar. 2020: 5.9%
India’s consumer price index decelerated further in March, coming in at 5.9%, below the Moody’s Analytics forecast of 6.4% and February’s 6.6%. World
Moody's Analytics Global CPI
Mar. 2020:
Peru
Consumer Price Index
Mar. 2020: 1.8%
Inflation in the Lima metropolitan area rose 1.8% in March on a year-ago basis, 0.1 percentage point less than the annual inflation rate in February. World
Moody's Analytics Survey of Business Confidence
April 10: -14.3
Businesses remain deeply pessimistic as COVID-19 has forced shutdowns across much of the globe. China
Monetary Aggregates
Mar. 2020:
China
Foreign Trade
Mar. 2020:
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